Posted by: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market.

7 responses

  1. Don’t they know that it’s different this time? That real estate only goes up? Hello?

  2. How can you say that cooling has not begun?

    Check the Zip Realty list and see for yourself how many properties have undergone *reduced pricing*.

    Also check the *Days on the Market* numbers on Zip.

  3. Prices are reduced all the time, in all markets.

    It may be that flippers misjudge the market, price way too high and then reduce the price when the get no bites. That’s what I’m seeing around me.

    It may be that the amount of price reductions are just exactly the same as what we saw a year or two years ago.

    Or it may be that the market is cooling.

    But just because you see price reductions doesn’t mean diddly.

    Inventory is still very tight, and I think prices have reached a plateau, but I haven’t seen any evidence of a fall yet. Maybe in 6 months.

  4. I don’t know, I think that what I’m seeing right now on the MLS lists is not something that would have happened 2 years ago.

    I would be very very careful if I were a buyer right now- unless I had money to burn of course.

  5. Looks like inventory is creeping up to me:

    1/2: 7,938
    1/10: 8,666
    1/20: 8,330
    1/30: 8,425___1/06 sold: 2,468__1/05 sold: 2,491
    2/10: 8,703
    2/14: 8,660

  6. From the NW MLS for last 24 hours…

    24-hour Market Watch

    New Listings 562
    Solds 303
    Pendings 393
    Expireds 78
    Price Increases 85
    Price Reductions 212

  7. dukes, thanks for the numbers.

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