Posted by: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market.

3 responses

  1. What’s gonna happen to these million dollar condos when the air comes out of the bubble before they’re completed?

    Easy- they will turn into 500K condos.

    Either that or they’ll sit and rot-which is REALLY BAD for the community they’re in.

  2. That project out in Ruston is surprising in that you don’t usually find luxury homes being built on superfund sites.

    In 1983, the EPA added the Ruston smelter site to its Superfund national priorities list

    Think if it as an upscale and scenic version of Love Canal.

  3. maybe if you’re lucky, you’ll get some PCBs in your salad….Ruston? GRIM in the winter, people….why live in those outlying areas when you can drive to the wilderness in 1-2 hours out of Seattle and not commute like a wretch and pay through he nose for your gas and electricity. This market needs to go
    back to 2001 prices just to get reasonable again.
    Whether it drops below that is anybody’s guess, but it is intriguing that the long-term drop in Japan is what people preodict for real estate decreases in general. Since RE is illiquid, it can go down over the course of a decade. When all those boomers counting on all their retirement in their houses get wind of a decline, that’s when the real fun begins.
    I would’ve bought the last year, not with an ARM but with a fixed mortgage and 20% down, but I got so poed at what’s going on and the prospect of living in a dump (still not the greatest place, and likely to stay that way in a recession) that I’m waiting til next winter. Of course, the new light rail will make the south end more attractive. More sunlight down there down, too, and better traffic than the stinky dumbdude Dori Monson Shoreline/north end. Plus, the airport. FAR better…but not a place you want your gf to walk around much. Too many homies.
    I say Lynnwood turns into S Central LA in 2007.

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