Comments on: CNBC : Online housing searches indicate bounce http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2006/08/31/cnbc-online-housing-searches-indicate-bounce/ local real estate news, statistics, and commentary without the sales spin. Fri, 19 Mar 2010 03:38:30 -0700 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: SeattleMoosehttp://seattlebubble.com/blog/2006/08/31/cnbc-online-housing-searches-indicate-bounce/#comment-6307 SeattleMoose Fri, 01 Sep 2006 13:15:04 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=353#comment-6307 This sort of deduction is simply someone "guessing" what a given set of statistics might mean and reading their own bias into it.<br/><br/>This sort of thing is especially rampant in "medical news". How many times have you seen some medical story that follows this "formula"?<br/><br/>"Researchers in [fill in blank] found that out of [fill in blank] people who [fill in the blank], [fill in the blank] percent of these people had [fill in the blank]. Therefore, researchers think that [fill in the blank].<br/><br/>Then another study comes out the following week to prove exactly the opposite!!<br/><br/>No hard science here. Just hit and miss guessing.<br/><br/>Gives the word "speculation" yet another negative connotation.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('6307','SeattleMoose',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('6307','SeattleMoose','This sort of deduction is simply someone \"guessing\" what a given set of statistics might mean and reading their own bias into it.<br\/><br\/>This sort of thing is especially rampant in \"medical news\". How many times have you seen some medical story that follows this \"formula\"?<br\/><br\/>\"Researchers in [fill in blank] found that out of [fill in blank] people who [fill in the blank], [fill in the blank] percent of these people had [fill in the blank]. Therefore, researchers think that [fill in the blank].<br\/><br\/>Then another study comes out the following week to prove exactly the opposite!!<br\/><br\/>No hard science here. Just hit and miss guessing.<br\/><br\/>Gives the word \"speculation\" yet another negative connotation.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> This sort of deduction is simply someone “guessing” what a given set of statistics might mean and reading their own bias into it.

This sort of thing is especially rampant in “medical news”. How many times have you seen some medical story that follows this “formula”?

“Researchers in [fill in blank] found that out of [fill in blank] people who [fill in the blank], [fill in the blank] percent of these people had [fill in the blank]. Therefore, researchers think that [fill in the blank].

Then another study comes out the following week to prove exactly the opposite!!

No hard science here. Just hit and miss guessing.

Gives the word “speculation” yet another negative connotation.

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]]> By: Anonymoushttp://seattlebubble.com/blog/2006/08/31/cnbc-online-housing-searches-indicate-bounce/#comment-6300 Anonymous Fri, 01 Sep 2006 04:19:33 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=353#comment-6300 You can tell they're getting desperate when they're resorting to stats like this. When it goes from "homes closed" to "homes shown" to "homes asked about on the internet" you know things are bad.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('6300','Anonymous',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('6300','Anonymous','You can tell they\'re getting desperate when they\'re resorting to stats like this. When it goes from \"homes closed\" to \"homes shown\" to \"homes asked about on the internet\" you know things are bad.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> You can tell they’re getting desperate when they’re resorting to stats like this. When it goes from “homes closed” to “homes shown” to “homes asked about on the internet” you know things are bad.
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]]> By: plymsterhttp://seattlebubble.com/blog/2006/08/31/cnbc-online-housing-searches-indicate-bounce/#comment-6274 plymster Thu, 31 Aug 2006 21:11:10 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=353#comment-6274 So by checking the market to watch it fall, people are using this as an indicator that buyers are itching to buy?<br/><br/>It's like Schrodinger's cat. Buyers exist and don't exist at the same time.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('6274','plymster',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('6274','plymster','So by checking the market to watch it fall, people are using this as an indicator that buyers are itching to buy?<br\/><br\/>It\'s like Schrodinger\'s cat. Buyers exist and don\'t exist at the same time.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> So by checking the market to watch it fall, people are using this as an indicator that buyers are itching to buy?

It’s like Schrodinger’s cat. Buyers exist and don’t exist at the same time.

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]]> By: Anonymoushttp://seattlebubble.com/blog/2006/08/31/cnbc-online-housing-searches-indicate-bounce/#comment-6272 Anonymous Thu, 31 Aug 2006 20:56:38 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=353#comment-6272 Just signed up and did a search of listings with price reductions in Ballard (zip 98117). 77 listings...<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('6272','Anonymous',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('6272','Anonymous','Just signed up and did a search of listings with price reductions in Ballard (zip 98117). 77 listings...',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> Just signed up and did a search of listings with price reductions in Ballard (zip 98117). 77 listings…
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]]> By: seattle price drophttp://seattlebubble.com/blog/2006/08/31/cnbc-online-housing-searches-indicate-bounce/#comment-6263 seattle price drop Thu, 31 Aug 2006 19:43:57 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=353#comment-6263 Just some anecdotal evidence :<br/><br/>I've been telling anyone who would listen, since last winter, to get a free Zip account and watch DOM's increases and price reductions.<br/><br/>Last winter and spring hardly anyone took me up on that. They just didn't believe it was actually happening.<br/><br/>But now that the evidence is mounting and word's getting out about the turning market, more people are geting those accounts and watching the market.<br/><br/>It's giving a lot of would-be buyers hope to watch it fall.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('6263','seattle price drop',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('6263','seattle price drop','Just some anecdotal evidence :<br\/><br\/>I\'ve been telling anyone who would listen, since last winter, to get a free Zip account and watch DOM\'s increases and price reductions.<br\/><br\/>Last winter and spring hardly anyone took me up on that. They just didn\'t believe it was actually happening.<br\/><br\/>But now that the evidence is mounting and word\'s getting out about the turning market, more people are geting those accounts and watching the market.<br\/><br\/>It\'s giving a lot of would-be buyers hope to watch it fall.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> Just some anecdotal evidence :

I’ve been telling anyone who would listen, since last winter, to get a free Zip account and watch DOM’s increases and price reductions.

Last winter and spring hardly anyone took me up on that. They just didn’t believe it was actually happening.

But now that the evidence is mounting and word’s getting out about the turning market, more people are geting those accounts and watching the market.

It’s giving a lot of would-be buyers hope to watch it fall.

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]]> By: Peckhammerhttp://seattlebubble.com/blog/2006/08/31/cnbc-online-housing-searches-indicate-bounce/#comment-6257 Peckhammer Thu, 31 Aug 2006 16:43:08 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=353#comment-6257 I'd be willing to bet that on-line seaches for [insert stock or mutual fund symbol] were up 42% in early 2000. Did that indicate a bounce?<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('6257','Peckhammer',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('6257','Peckhammer','I\'d be willing to bet that on-line seaches for [insert stock or mutual fund symbol] were up 42% in early 2000. Did that indicate a bounce?',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> I’d be willing to bet that on-line seaches for [insert stock or mutual fund symbol] were up 42% in early 2000. Did that indicate a bounce?
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