Posted by: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market.

7 responses

  1. I posted this in the weekend thread, but it’s relevent to this topic too. There’s a house on my route to work that has been for sale for at least a month. They had an open house this weekend and put up a “Just Listed!” placcard on the sign. After the open house was over, the placcard stayed. So how is this “just listed”? Either they had it on the market for a month without ever listing it, or they did the switch you talked about in the post. I guess it could always just be the realtor lying, but that never happens.

  2. Take a look at my market history & forecast report for Bakersfield, Modesto and Los Angeles at
    http://homepricehistory.blogspot.com/. The Seattle report will published in a few days, along with a new city every day.

  3. Ha! Well, no wonder it isn’t selling, it looks like the new location for the Woodenville REI?

    Heck, if they’re going to go ahead and stage it they might as well throw in a climbing wall to boot!

  4. Some anecdote:

    I just learned over the weekend a coworker of my spouse working for Boeing that seems to fit quite well with the typical profile of a housing speculator in Seattle as well as the rest of the nation:
    - Young, 20 something
    - Just out of college for a few years – never experienced a housing bust before, or any asset bust before
    - Own 3 properties: one is sitting empty, one is rented out, one is primary residence
    - Serious cash flow negative on the rented property
    - Increasing debt burden on all 3 properties – is looking at selling the rented property
    - Is looking for a company job outside of this state – When being asked about the properties here – The answer is “Who care?” – Does it mean cut an run and leave the lender holding the bag?

    Make your own conclusion.

  5. What can I do if I know a listing who appears as new on the market, but I know the MLS# it had before? They even used a trick: posted a fake address for two days and then changed it to the real address. The fake address was from a unit with a different sq. ft. and floorplan. Can I complain somewhere about it?

  6. Wait a minute, it’s 4 bedroom, 4.5 baths?

    In other words, there is one potty per occupant (including the dog)?

    Bwahahahahahahahaha!!!!! The last time that was common was prior to the depression, when indoor plumbing was the new “it” thing and having lots of water closets was considered a status symbol.

  7. You know, I’m as concerned about housing as you are, but anecdotes are funny. Every time I see a home in my neighborhood listed (north capitol hill) it’s snatched up within a week or two, with the exception of homes over $1 million.

    And some of these homes have been pretty crappy (requiring gutting and rebuilding, or even tearing down).
    It would make me nervous to buy a $750-1m home right now that required another $250k worth of work, but there are clearly still a bunch of buyers out there.

    I keep waiting for the “other shoe” to drop, but have a feeling it won’t feel as “obvious” as the dot com crash did.

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