Seattle Bubble

News & discussion about real estate & the housing bubble in the Seattle area.

Seattle Bubble - News & discussion about real estate & the housing bubble in the Seattle area.

Poll: How far will Seattle’s Case-Shiller HPI fall from the July ‘07 peak?

By The Tim on June 15th, 2008 at 12:05 AM · 12 Comments

Please vote in this poll using the sidebar.

How far will Seattle's Case-Shiller HPI fall from the July '07 peak?

  • 7.3% (March was the bottom) (1%, 3 Votes)
  • >7.3% - <10% (3%, 8 Votes)
  • >10% - <15% (12%, 28 Votes)
  • >15% - <20% (24%, 58 Votes)
  • >20% - <30% (33%, 80 Votes)
  • >30% - <40% (17%, 42 Votes)
  • More than 40% (10%, 22 Votes)

Total Voters: 241


This poll will be active and displayed on the sidebar through 06.21.2008.

→ 12 CommentsCategories: Polls
Tags: ,

12 responses so far ↓

  • 1.

    femto

    by when? I expect several bumpy bottoms, with the lowest as far out as 2010/11.

  • 2.

    what goes up comes down

    off topic, but does anyone know how I can find out the sale price of the house at the following address:

    8233 41st Ave NE
    Seattle, WA 98115

    it was a flip that sat for a long time and finally went STI on redfin but now I can not find the final sale on redfin and when I looked on the King County website it states sales records are only available per request in person and not via the web.

    Thanks

  • 3.

    Garth

    what goes up,

    There are long contingencies on some sales now, so it can take a while for the sales numbers to appear on zillow or redfin.

  • 4.

    SeattleMoose

    WGUCD….over at Zillow it lists for 689K while the Zestimate is 563K.

    Last sale was 10/31/2007 for $426K

    Based on a 1998 sales price of 224K my “Moostimate” is 331K based on a “normal” appreciation of 4%/year over the last 10 years. Of course, any improvements made during this time would have be tacked on as well.

  • 5.

    softwarengineer

    SHOULD BE A 5TH CHOICE: GREATER THAN 20%

  • 6.

    Scotsman

    Software- try using the scroll bar. You will find, grasshopper, that which you seek….

  • 7.

    faster

    You can’t find the sale price until it’s recorded by King County.

    You need the parcel number, which you can find at Zilliow under the Home Info:
    0442000075

    And you need the King County Parcel Viewer which is here:
    http://www5.metrokc.gov/parcelviewer/Viewer/KingCounty/Viewer.asp?App=Parcels&SearchFor=Pstart

    Plug that parcel number into the website, and eventually you’ll see the price it sold for.

  • 8.

    B&W Nikes

    I voted without stopping to consider what was meant by Seattle. The entire area between Bitterlake and Lake City down to Westwood and Rainier Beach? Before this spring I would have said 30%, with “Americas Oil Crisis” in full swing I think 10-20% at most. Anyone else think that equalizing influences of gas prices and disruptive transportation projects are leaning rickity against over-valuation and overbuilding? I know this is Seattle Bubble, but also I wonder what the group’s prognosis is for the Eastside or Southend? Those areas will likely feel the descent more acutely.

  • 9.

    The Tim

    B&W, the Case-Shiller “Seattle” index includes the entirety of King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.

  • 10.

    B&W Nikes

    aahh… the CSSI then consider the vote changed. Definitely average of >20<30. Wasn’t sure if we were centering or regioneering. Something tells me they did not check the soundness of the tiles for possible re-entry burn up on this mission.

  • 11.

    patient

    The Tim, how about a half year follow up on how the more official predictors are doing so far on their predictions from the prediciton thread earlier this year? Official as the posters here (yourself & dj ) I don’t think s-crow made one and predicitons from journalists etc. I think Steve Tytler mentioned that he is on track.

  • 12.

    patient

    I think predicitons were done on both medain and C/S so it might be more interresting to wait until the June C/S numbers are released at the end of August.

Leave a Comment

Do you want a nifty avatar picture next to your name, instead of a photograph of Tim's dog? Just sign up with Gravatar, and make sure to use the same email address in the form below. It's that easy!

Read the comment policy before submitting comments.
Off-topic comments will be subject to deletion.
(Post off-topic thoughts on open threads instead.)