Comments on: Poll: How far will Seattle’s Case-Shiller HPI fall from the July ‘07 peak? http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/ News & discussion about real estate & the housing bubble in the Seattle area. Sat, 21 Nov 2009 10:02:55 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 By: patient http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50521 patient Fri, 20 Jun 2008 21:34:55 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50521 I think predicitons were done on both medain and C/S so it might be more interresting to wait until the June C/S numbers are released at the end of August.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50521','patient',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50521','patient','I think predicitons were done on both medain and C\/S so it might be more interresting to wait until the June C\/S numbers are released at the end of August.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> I think predicitons were done on both medain and C/S so it might be more interresting to wait until the June C/S numbers are released at the end of August.
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]]> By: patient http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50520 patient Fri, 20 Jun 2008 21:33:52 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50520 The Tim, how about a half year follow up on how the more official predictors are doing so far on their predictions from the prediciton thread earlier this year? Official as the posters here (yourself & dj ) I don't think s-crow made one and predicitons from journalists etc. I think Steve Tytler mentioned that he is on track.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50520','patient',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50520','patient','The Tim, how about a half year follow up on how the more official predictors are doing so far on their predictions from the prediciton thread earlier this year? Official as the posters here (yourself & dj ) I don\'t think s-crow made one and predicitons from journalists etc. I think Steve Tytler mentioned that he is on track.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> The Tim, how about a half year follow up on how the more official predictors are doing so far on their predictions from the prediciton thread earlier this year? Official as the posters here (yourself & dj ) I don’t think s-crow made one and predicitons from journalists etc. I think Steve Tytler mentioned that he is on track.
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]]> By: B&W Nikes http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50519 B&W Nikes Fri, 20 Jun 2008 21:32:29 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50519 aahh... the CSSI then consider the vote changed. Definitely average of >20<30. Wasn't sure if we were centering or regioneering. Something tells me they did not check the soundness of the tiles for possible re-entry burn up on this mission.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50519','B&W Nikes',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50519','B&W Nikes','aahh... the CSSI then consider the vote changed. Definitely average of >20<30. Wasn\'t sure if we were centering or regioneering. Something tells me they did not check the soundness of the tiles for possible re-entry burn up on this mission.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> aahh… the CSSI then consider the vote changed. Definitely average of >20<30. Wasn’t sure if we were centering or regioneering. Something tells me they did not check the soundness of the tiles for possible re-entry burn up on this mission.
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]]> By: The Tim http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50518 The Tim Fri, 20 Jun 2008 21:21:40 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50518 B&W, the Case-Shiller "Seattle" index includes the entirety of King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50518','The Tim',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50518','The Tim','B&W, the Case-Shiller \"Seattle\" index includes the entirety of King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> B&W, the Case-Shiller “Seattle” index includes the entirety of King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.
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]]> By: B&W Nikes http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50517 B&W Nikes Fri, 20 Jun 2008 21:20:20 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50517 I voted without stopping to consider what was meant by Seattle. The entire area between Bitterlake and Lake City down to Westwood and Rainier Beach? Before this spring I would have said 30%, with "Americas Oil Crisis" in full swing I think 10-20% at most. Anyone else think that equalizing influences of gas prices and disruptive transportation projects are leaning rickity against over-valuation and overbuilding? I know this is Seattle Bubble, but also I wonder what the group's prognosis is for the Eastside or Southend? Those areas will likely feel the descent more acutely.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50517','B&W Nikes',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50517','B&W Nikes','I voted without stopping to consider what was meant by Seattle. The entire area between Bitterlake and Lake City down to Westwood and Rainier Beach? Before this spring I would have said 30%, with \"Americas Oil Crisis\" in full swing I think 10-20% at most. Anyone else think that equalizing influences of gas prices and disruptive transportation projects are leaning rickity against over-valuation and overbuilding? I know this is Seattle Bubble, but also I wonder what the group\'s prognosis is for the Eastside or Southend? Those areas will likely feel the descent more acutely.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> I voted without stopping to consider what was meant by Seattle. The entire area between Bitterlake and Lake City down to Westwood and Rainier Beach? Before this spring I would have said 30%, with “Americas Oil Crisis” in full swing I think 10-20% at most. Anyone else think that equalizing influences of gas prices and disruptive transportation projects are leaning rickity against over-valuation and overbuilding? I know this is Seattle Bubble, but also I wonder what the group’s prognosis is for the Eastside or Southend? Those areas will likely feel the descent more acutely.
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]]> By: faster http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50292 faster Tue, 17 Jun 2008 04:52:28 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50292 You can't find the sale price until it's recorded by King County. You need the parcel number, which you can find at Zilliow under the Home Info: 0442000075 And you need the King County Parcel Viewer which is here: http://www5.metrokc.gov/parcelviewer/Viewer/KingCounty/Viewer.asp?App=Parcels&SearchFor=Pstart Plug that parcel number into the website, and eventually you'll see the price it sold for.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50292','faster',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50292','faster','You can\'t find the sale price until it\'s recorded by King County.\r\n\r\nYou need the parcel number, which you can find at Zilliow under the Home Info:\r\n0442000075\r\n\r\nAnd you need the King County Parcel Viewer which is here:\r\nhttp:\/\/www5.metrokc.gov\/parcelviewer\/Viewer\/KingCounty\/Viewer.asp?App=Parcels&SearchFor=Pstart\r\n\r\nPlug that parcel number into the website, and eventually you\'ll see the price it sold for.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> You can’t find the sale price until it’s recorded by King County.

You need the parcel number, which you can find at Zilliow under the Home Info:
0442000075

And you need the King County Parcel Viewer which is here:
http://www5.metrokc.gov/parcelviewer/Viewer/KingCounty/Viewer.asp?App=Parcels&SearchFor=Pstart

Plug that parcel number into the website, and eventually you’ll see the price it sold for.

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]]> By: Scotsman http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50289 Scotsman Tue, 17 Jun 2008 00:41:30 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50289 Software- try using the scroll bar. You will find, grasshopper, that which you seek....<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50289','Scotsman',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50289','Scotsman','Software- try using the scroll bar. You will find, grasshopper, that which you seek....',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> Software- try using the scroll bar. You will find, grasshopper, that which you seek….
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]]> By: softwarengineer http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50271 softwarengineer Mon, 16 Jun 2008 15:31:59 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50271 SHOULD BE A 5TH CHOICE: GREATER THAN 20%<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50271','softwarengineer',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50271','softwarengineer','SHOULD BE A 5TH CHOICE: GREATER THAN 20%',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> SHOULD BE A 5TH CHOICE: GREATER THAN 20%
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]]> By: SeattleMoose http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50270 SeattleMoose Mon, 16 Jun 2008 14:48:17 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50270 WGUCD....over at Zillow it lists for 689K while the Zestimate is 563K. Last sale was 10/31/2007 for $426K Based on a 1998 sales price of 224K my "Moostimate" is 331K based on a "normal" appreciation of 4%/year over the last 10 years. Of course, any improvements made during this time would have be tacked on as well.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50270','SeattleMoose',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50270','SeattleMoose','WGUCD....over at Zillow it lists for 689K while the Zestimate is 563K.\r\n\r\nLast sale was 10\/31\/2007 for $426K\r\n\r\nBased on a 1998 sales price of 224K my \"Moostimate\" is 331K based on a \"normal\" appreciation of 4%\/year over the last 10 years. Of course, any improvements made during this time would have be tacked on as well.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> WGUCD….over at Zillow it lists for 689K while the Zestimate is 563K.

Last sale was 10/31/2007 for $426K

Based on a 1998 sales price of 224K my “Moostimate” is 331K based on a “normal” appreciation of 4%/year over the last 10 years. Of course, any improvements made during this time would have be tacked on as well.

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]]> By: Garth http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50269 Garth Mon, 16 Jun 2008 14:19:01 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50269 what goes up, There are long contingencies on some sales now, so it can take a while for the sales numbers to appear on zillow or redfin.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50269','Garth',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50269','Garth','what goes up,\r\n\r\nThere are long contingencies on some sales now, so it can take a while for the sales numbers to appear on zillow or redfin.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> what goes up,

There are long contingencies on some sales now, so it can take a while for the sales numbers to appear on zillow or redfin.

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]]> By: what goes up comes down http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50267 what goes up comes down Mon, 16 Jun 2008 10:19:10 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50267 off topic, but does anyone know how I can find out the sale price of the house at the following address: 8233 41st Ave NE Seattle, WA 98115 it was a flip that sat for a long time and finally went STI on redfin but now I can not find the final sale on redfin and when I looked on the King County website it states sales records are only available per request in person and not via the web. Thanks<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50267','what goes up comes down',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50267','what goes up comes down','off topic, but does anyone know how I can find out the sale price of the house at the following address:\r\n\r\n8233 41st Ave NE\r\nSeattle, WA 98115\r\n\r\nit was a flip that sat for a long time and finally went STI on redfin but now I can not find the final sale on redfin and when I looked on the King County website it states sales records are only available per request in person and not via the web.\r\n\r\nThanks',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> off topic, but does anyone know how I can find out the sale price of the house at the following address:

8233 41st Ave NE
Seattle, WA 98115

it was a flip that sat for a long time and finally went STI on redfin but now I can not find the final sale on redfin and when I looked on the King County website it states sales records are only available per request in person and not via the web.

Thanks

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]]> By: femto http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/06/15/poll-how-far-will-seattles-case-shiller-hpi-fall-from-the-july-07-peak/#comment-50266 femto Mon, 16 Jun 2008 06:29:36 +0000 http://seattlebubble.com/blog/?p=2039#comment-50266 by when? I expect several bumpy bottoms, with the lowest as far out as 2010/11.<div class="comment-remix-meta"><a href="#" class="replyto" onclick="replyto('50266','femto',''); return false;">Reply</a> - <a href="#" class="quote" onclick="quote('50266','femto','by when? I expect several bumpy bottoms, with the lowest as far out as 2010\/11.',''); return false;">Quote</a></div> by when? I expect several bumpy bottoms, with the lowest as far out as 2010/11.
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