Posted by: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market.

32 responses to “Seattle Go Boom?”

  1. Ira Sacharoff

    Don’t know how the SLUT will survive, but at least a couple of the old Hiroshima streetcars survived the blast just fine.
    Perhaps if he uses the mind meld, Paul Allen can deter the enemy.

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  2. Dogggis

    Whheewww, I was worried there for a minute, I guess we’ll be okay here in Renton ;)

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  3. Scotsman

    Dang, Ira, ya beat me to it!

    That looks bad, Tim. Must be “Rooski” bombers- they’re red. I’m moving to Montanna.

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  4. David McManus

    By The Tim @ 3:

    By Dogggis @ 2:
    Whheewww, I was worried there for a minute, I guess we’ll be okay here in Renton ;)

    Looks like New Orleans is safe from attack. Parrrrrrrrrtayyyyyyyyyyyyyyy!

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  5. Kary L. Krismer

    Property values will skyrocket in Maple Valley!

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  6. Cheap South

    That’s one way to clear excess inventory.

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  7. anna

    i think long range missiles have error radius of 10+ miles. so no big city suburb is safe if nuclear war breaks out.

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  8. softwarengineer

    RE: anna @ 8

    ESPECIALLY IF IT’S A N. KOREAN ONE

    I imagine their missiles are about as accurate as the lions share of the RE experts were in predicting the bubble in 2005…LOL

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  9. Dave Lincoln

    RE: anna @ 8
    Maybe the N.K. ones don’t have much for guidance, Anna, but the intercontinental missiles made during the cold war had accuracies of much better than that, maybe within 100 yards of target. The idea for both the US and the USSR was to launch the first round of missiles at the other countries missile silos, and you had to get pretty close, as these silos were hardened big-time. After they took out the missiles at the bases in N. Dakota and others, the next round from the Russkies would be headed for Ballard, with maybe a short detour over Skyway and Rainier valley just to put the fear of God into some folks there.

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  10. Dave Lincoln

    Also, if our enemy is still flying straight-wing turbo-prop bombers, per the Tim’s map., I don’t think we have too much to worry about. I knew about this “bomber gap” as President Kennedy just told us (seems like last year, but maybe it was the year before), but dang, this is ridiculous. I think our new century-series fighters and the upcoming Phantom jet will make mincemeat out of these evil bastards. [/T-Warp]

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  11. Dave Lincoln

    Yeah, that’s right – HTML was done with square braces back then, smart guy!

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  12. Racket

    By David McManus @ 5:

    By The Tim @ 3:
    By Dogggis @ 2:
    Whheewww, I was worried there for a minute, I guess we’ll be okay here in Renton ;)

    Looks like New Orleans is safe from attack. Parrrrrrrrrtayyyyyyyyyyyyyyy!

    I dunno that might have the appeal of putting a m-80 into a porta-potty.

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  13. softwarengineer

    SPEAKING OF NUCLEAR BOMBS

    Did you bloggers look up the 30 year fixed rates home mortgages on BECU this morning? No wonder the banks mull offers for five months now, by the time they accept them the interest rates will be 15%, LOL

    They’re now up to 6%+ and growing almost daily. It may sound nice to add trillions to the stimulus debt; but the treasuries [with mortgage interest rates] are going through the roof like a mushroom cloud….even the stock market is shocked today.

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  14. One Eyed Man

    RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 1

    golly, I’m going to have to get a new personal plan to deal with the North Korean nuclear threat. During the 1960’s my plan was to spend the last 15 minutes before the big one hit checking off the only item a 15 year old suburban kid has on his bucket list. Now days, I’d never make it through traffic to South Lake Union to ride the SLUT. Maybe I’ll have to settle for the public transit on Pacific Hwy So.

    Live long and prosper.

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  15. anna

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/2564241.stm

    north korean missile accuracies estimated in this article.

    The Nodong missile is thought to have a range of around 1,300km and could potentially carry a nuclear warhead,..However, this missile is only thought to have been tested twice and it is not accurate. A March 2006 report, by the US Center for Non-proliferation Studies, said it had a ‘circular error probable’ of 2km to 4km, meaning that half of the missiles fired would fall outside a circle of that radius.

    The Taepodong-1 is a two-stage missile comprising Nodong and Scud parts and can reach a distance of 2,900km. With this range it would be able to reach US bases on Okinawa but the missile is thought to be even less accurate than the Nodong.

    The Taepodong-2 long-range missile is estimated to have a range of between 4,000km and 10,000km and, like the Taepodong-1, it requires a fixed launch site…Defence experts say that the original Taepodong-2 is now being replaced by a newer model, which can have two or three stages giving it an extended range of up to 15,000km.
    The three-stage Taepodong-2 was used in a failed attempt to launch a satellite in April 2009. The launch was widely condemned by the US and South Korea, among others, as cover for a long-range missile test…..However, it could only carry a small payload to its maximum range and is not thought to be particularly accurate.

    My Conclusion: NK’s missiles just glorified dart throwing contraptions capable of long distances and carrying nuks.

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  16. Ray Pepper

    Appears Wyoming is the safest according to the map. Hmmmm. Maybe I should plan a trip.

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  17. Scotsman

    RE: One Eyed Man @ 15

    Fifteen years old? First time? Fifteen minutes? Aint gonna happen. Five minutes- max. Even for you. Sorry. ;-)

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  18. Scotsman

    RE: anna @ 16

    Even the polar bears are afraid. Montana is not safe.

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  19. Groundhogday

    RE: anna @ 16
    Given the accuracy of those North Korean specials, I’d better start working on my bomb shelter here in Pullman.

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  20. David Losh

    Bangor is the number one target for nukes on the west coast.

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  21. anony

    RE: anna @ 16 – “NK’s missiles just glorified dart throwing contraptions capable of long distances… ”

    Sounds a lot like the Hyundais in the 90s. Now they are producing better cars than the US ever did. If the North Koreans are as smart and motivated as the South they’ll be able to hit Robert Gates right in the middle of his comb-over in a couple years.

    David Losh at 21, good point.

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  22. anna

    I don’t think NK is very motivated to actually:
    a. hit the any real military target in the US, given they have no hope to actually take out US nuke capacity
    b. improve their nuke’s accuracy

    the same reasons that NK is not very motivated to improve its people’s quality of life.

    NK is interested the survival of its regime by nuclear intimidation, and if that fails, they will try to maximize the
    damage inflicted on the world, just out of spite.

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  23. The Sherm

    I assume they still have the bomb shelter in the basement of Fredrick and Nelson’s, don’t they?

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  24. jon

    The accuracy is not determined by the nuclear device, it is determined by the missile. NK is highly motivated to improve the accuracy of the missiles, because they sell them to other countries for use with conventional weapons. Iran would even be interested in buying a highly accurate nuclear missile because they would need to take out hardened Israeli targets if they wanted to present a credible threat.

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  25. Racket

    RE: The Sherm @ 24

    That’s Nordstrom now, and I think it’s the mens department.

    + it was a fallout shelter not a bomb shelter.

    BTW unless Canada launches a nuke at us, I don’t see one hitting a US city without a plane, or other missle taking it out of the sky.

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  26. Hugh Dominic

    RE: anony @ 22
    North Korea is a basket case. Communism ruins peoples’ ability to innovate….just look at the difference between East and West Germany – and that was only 40 years….

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  27. anon e. moose

    It’s unclear to me why the North Koreans would want to blow up Lake Union.

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  28. Kary L. Krismer

    By anon e. moose @ 28:

    It’s unclear to me why the North Koreans would want to blow up Lake Union.

    They don’t like the sponsor of the 4th of July fireworks.

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  29. Ira Sacharoff

    By Kary L. Krismer @ 29:

    By anon e. moose @ 28:
    It’s unclear to me why the North Koreans would want to blow up Lake Union.

    They don’t like the sponsor of the 4th of July fireworks.

    JP Morgan Chase? Chances are better that they’d blow themselves up before North Korea go to them.

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  30. Racket

    RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 30

    Fratelli’s?

    those were the days.

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  31. Ira Sacharoff

    By Racket @ 31:

    RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 30

    Fratelli’s?

    those were the days.

    These young Whippersnappers don’t even know what Fratelli’s was.
    It was ice cream, and danged fine ice cream at that. And made on Capitol Hill, with a cow mural on the side of the building.

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