Posted by: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market.

18 responses

  1. Do you have any access to California graphs? I think they started this about a month and a half before us. I was just interested in how their YOY numbers compared after their law went into effect.

  2. King County is back to a 1,200 NTS per month clip. There were very few NTS filed from the end of July when the law was passed to about the middle of August, but it seems back to the old level again. I checked yesterday and about 300 had already been filed in September despite the holiday and furlough last Friday.

  3. Thank goodness the government has fixed the foreclosure problem.

  4. RE: DrShort @ 2 – I think it should have only caused a 30 day delay, absent a problem with the trustee’s setting up new procedures, and from memory I think the law went into effect July 26.

  5. There is no “fixing” this problem other then time. People are NOT stupid. People getting free loan Mods to 5% on rentals for not paying while other homeowners with perfect credit can’t refi because of diminished values..

    Its not a question of if…….Just when…………The short sales,foreclosures, and personal bankruptcy’s will continue year after year. People do not have the cash to close and they will not have the cash for a very long time. The banks will be taking it on the chin for at least a decade……..They are all coming back………………………..

    GEMS galore!

  6. CA., NV., and FL. stats are in the full article.

    IRVINE, Calif., Sept. 10 /PRNewswire/ — RealtyTrac(R) (www.realtytrac.com), the leading online marketplace for foreclosure properties, today released its August 2009 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report(TM), which shows foreclosure filings – default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions – were reported on 358,471 U.S. properties during the month, a decrease of less than 1 percent from the previous month but still an increase of nearly 18 percent from August 2008. The report also shows one in every 357 U.S. housing units received a foreclosure filing in August.

    http://news.prnewswire.com/DisplayReleaseContent.aspx?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/09-10-2009/0005091125&EDATE=

  7. Plus, Using the New RE Activity Slowdown Paradigm Today

    Yesterday’s foreclosure rate low, is today’s foreclosure rate high; adjusting for the activity slowdown.

  8. RE: Scotsman @ 6

    That cant happen here. The economy is too diverse and this area is “special”.

  9. Two reasons why we truly our Special Acerun and will hold up better then the rest of the Nation!

    http://www.pagliacci.com/index.shtml

    http://www.ddir.com/Dicks_Drive_In_Restaurants/About_Us.html

    Can’t put a price on living close to one of these establishments!

  10. By Acerun @ 3:

    Thank goodness the government has fixed the foreclosure problem.

    Heh, I remember when I was young, liberal, and thought the government could actually fix things. I guess it is helpful of them to keep propping up the bubble while I stash more savings to put to use when the wheels finally come off.

  11. RE: ray pepper @ 9

    That local coffee joint called Starbucks is pretty good too!

  12. More govt stupidity…as if the banks weren’t overwhelmed enough,

    The number of people that will be living in their homes rent and mortgage free is growing by the day….what a great system.

  13. RE: Scott Weitz @ 12 – I would tend to agree. A system that would compel banks to give serious consideration to short sale offers would be much better than a system that simply helps an owner find out that they can try to do a short sale that the bank will never approve.

  14. RE: Acerun @ 11

    Ace…..Starbucks is everywhere therefore no longer making Seattle Special………..But, Dicks and Pagliacci are not.

    Us 400pd+ guys are wlling to pay TOP dollar to live near these establishments! Don’t you agree?

  15. My observations as a BK lawyer are:

    1. A lot of attorneys, including creditor attorneys, go on vacation during this time period and that may have contributed to the decrease in NTS;

    2. I am seeing a dramatic increase of people who are walking away from their homes and people who have exhausted unemployment benefits;

    3. I modified a client’s loan today at 5% over 30 years. I didn’t even have to ask or try. The lender offered it. They haven’t paid their mortgage in about 14 months. What a great country!

    Paradoxically I have been working on my own home loan for a new purchase for about 60 days. I am a self employed BK attorney and being put through the ringer.

    Go figure.

  16. RE: Kary L. Krismer @ 13 – Well, it doesn’t compel anything, but uses the magic of free-money incentives. I would prefer a bank regulation with firmer requirements, but this may be the best we get.

    Federal Incentives Coming for Short Sales, Deeds-in-Lieu

  17. RE: BK Lawyer @ 15 – Hi BK Lawyer. Know anyone looking to hire a new junior associate? Any advice for someone who wants to get into bankruptcy law?

  18. Local Antedote – I am in the north bend area and my Neighbors got a Notice of Default in February – they got behind by 20K then worked out a deal with the bank. Seemed like they got a loan modification over the summer, then the end of last month the house went back into foreclosure. They have told us they will be moving out this weekend… now i will have an empty house next door and expect it to be that way untill spring at least…

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