Posted by: Timothy Ellis (The Tim)

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market.

48 responses to “Seattle Bubble Partners with The Seattle Times”

  1. Scotsman

    Congrats! It will be interesting to see if it brings “new blood” and diversity.

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  2. Peter Witting

    Congratulations!

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  3. Matt the Engineer

    Eeeew. Have you seen the comments they have over there? I’d take thinly veiled real estate ads over the knuckle-draggers they have there.

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  4. Jesse

    I’m with Matt – I only read the comments over there if my view of society gets too idealistic and needs grounding.

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  5. Lake Hills Renter

    In before sellout claims.

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  6. SSMayer

    Great going, Tim! The Seattle Times is lucky to have you!

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  7. Jill Schlicke

    Congratulations, Tim! You’ve worked hard to build an online community and we love you for it! How’s the baby sleeping??

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  8. Feedback

    Congratulations on the partnership! I wouldn’t worry about bias creeping in to Seattle Bubble; after all, the Seattle Times puts its editorial and business staffs in different buildings to underscore its objectivity. I know Seattle Bubble will have the same commitment.

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  9. Howard

    By Feedback @ 8:

    Congratulations on the partnership! I wouldn’t worry about bias creeping in to Seattle Bubble; after all, the Seattle Times puts its editorial and business staffs in different buildings to underscore its objectivity. I know Seattle Bubble will have the same commitment.

    Does that imply that Tim the chart maker will never get to see Tim the witty commentator?

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  10. Macro Investor

    Congrats Tim. Now you’ll have more help getting out your message that the bubble is over and it’s never been a better time to buy. Welcome to SeattleExBubble ;)

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  11. Jonness

    New readers? That’s great! So now is about as good a time as any to inform them that the real mortgage rate right now is 10% and not the 4% currently being claimed by the mainstream media.

    What do I mean by 10% mortgage rates in the current market? I’m glad you asked. A 6% year over year price drop coupled with a 4% lending rate.

    Yes, yes, I know. Supposedly prices have bottomed out, and cheap lending rates make it “a great time to buy.”

    But isn’t that what we were told last year, the year before, the year before, the year before, the year before, the year before, the year before, and the year before?

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  12. Ray Pepper

    Thank God!

    We need more excitement as of late. The DavidL v. Kary or Ardell v Kary or MichaelB v. Tim show has run its course!

    Bring on the new BLOOD and lets get the SHOW ROLLING!

    Topic # 1……….How far underwater are you? Seattle Bubble hosts a party for ALL new readers and the MOST BURIED homeowner gets a FREE ROUND of drinks along with a Wa Law,500 Realty, and a Red Fin T Shirt… ……………(proof of indebtedness req’d)

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  13. Scotsman

    RE: Jonness @ 11

    No, really- this is the bottom. I’m pretty sure Ardell called it last spring for the areas north of I-90 facing south on the east/west streets. Other areas? Well, you pays your money and takes your chances! ;-)

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  14. Peter Witting

    Maybe Kary will find someone besides Ardell to flirt with.

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  15. ARDELL

    RE: Peter Witting @ 14

    From your lips to God’s ears…

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  16. ARDELL

    RE: Scotsman @ 13

    …that would be North or East facing doors. Vaastu. South no. West…only with a view. :) Not “Spring” though…I would never call a “bottom” during Spring Bump.

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  17. No Name Guy

    RE: Ray Pepper @ 12

    LOL

    In the spirit of being frugal, let those drinks be cheap shots of vodka or tequila – the underwater stooges need it.

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  18. Ira Sacharoff

    By No Name Guy @ 17:

    RE: Ray Pepper @ 12

    LOL

    In the spirit of being frugal, let those drinks be cheap shots of vodka or tequila – the underwater stooges need it.

    We can just buy one of those two gallon bottles of Kirkland Signature vodka from Costco.

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  19. Ray Pepper

    RE: No Name Guy @ 17

    also Ira..LOVE IT! I’m all in!

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  20. Still Anonymous

    RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 18

    Oh man, I am going to daydream about this for the next 12 hours.

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  21. softwarengineer

    Seattle Times Prints Mostly “Free Press” to My Knowledge on Editorials

    Unlike the, i.e., AP or US News and World Report…which frequently editted out my blogs. The Seattle Times never has. This union has my full support :-)

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  22. redmondjp

    By Ira Sacharoff @ 18:

    By No Name Guy @ 17:
    RE: Ray Pepper @ 12

    LOL

    In the spirit of being frugal, let those drinks be cheap shots of vodka or tequila – the underwater stooges need it.

    We can just buy one of those two gallon bottles of Kirkland Signature vodka from Costco.

    Yes, but we’ll have to wait until next July to do so (and if just a tiny percentage of the predictions for 2012 come true, a lot of us will probably be lining up at the door with you, our Costco cards in hand).

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  23. No Name Guy

    RE: Ray Pepper @ 19

    In the meantime, until the multi-gallon size Kirkland brand comes along, how about some Popov Vodka – cheap & nasty in its plastic bottle. And Quervo on the tequila. (shuddering at the thought). ;-)

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  24. Ira Sacharoff

    RE: No Name Guy @ 23
    I knew the Seattle Bubble readership was full of taste and class.

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  25. Scotsman

    I love those plastic bottles- they don’t break when I drop ‘em, and they don’t clank when I conceal them. Another advance for mankind.

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  26. MichaelB

    RE: Ray Pepper @ 12

    Sounds like a low cost joint marketing event for your business to me. Too bad you can’t aggregate the underwater homeowners like the Seattle Times aggregates underwater blogs. But what else would you expect for a real estate bubble blog proclaiming “It’s a Great Time to Buy!”

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  27. No Name Guy

    RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 24

    I’d only pass that rot gut off on poor saps who bought in 2008 with 3% down.

    In No Name’s home, it’s nothing but mid grade for the personally consumed (and offered to friends). If it doesn’t have a real cork or come in a glass bottle, it’s not good enough. :-)

    Crown Royal, Chateau Ste Michelle reds, Stoli and good ole Jack.

    And Scottsman – don’t you know to repackage into a platypus container for traveling or concealment? They’re practically indestructible and a much better form factor for stashing.

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  28. Scotsman

    RE: No Name Guy @ 27

    You are, of course, correct. Being from the bota bag generation, I had to google platypus container. Nice. The greater capacity will help me overwhelm both the direness of the situation and any tolerance i may have developed.

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  29. Dave0

    RE: Scotsman @ 28 – I just had to google what a bota bag was…. I must be from the platypus container generation…

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  30. David Losh

    RE: Ray Pepper @ 12

    I’m not sure about the drinks, but seeing as you never contributed to the donation drive, I’ll match you $50 for buying food at a Seattle Bubbe meet up.

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  31. Scotsman

    RE: Dave0 @ 29

    Ah, yes. I’m closer to “groovy” than “rad.” You, I presume, are closer to “rad” than “like, awesome.” It’s a complicated world. Be careful out there. ;-)

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  32. Ray Pepper

    RE: MichaelB @ 26

    Michael what I love about 90% of your posts is they ALWAYS…. AT SOMEPOINT….. SLAM the Tim.. I always know its coming. Not sure where its gonna pop up…

    Since we all kind of slam each other its nice seeing the BIG CHEESE get shredded a bit.

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  33. Ray Pepper

    RE: David Losh @ 30

    David, I offer Tim something far more important then money….I give him ADVICE………always for free and always factual yet informative on things he can do to improve his well-being, and his relationship: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0XrZ3i__T5M&feature=related

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  34. MichaelB

    RE: Ray Pepper @ 32

    We’re not laughing at him…We’re laughing with him! Of course, the booze helps!

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  35. Crashcadia

    I can’t say I am happy about this at all. This has become a MSM realtor blog. So long Seattle Bubble.

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  36. Jonness

    By Ray Pepper @ 12:

    Topic # 1……….How far underwater are you? Seattle Bubble hosts a party for ALL new readers and the MOST BURIED homeowner gets a FREE ROUND of drinks along with a Wa Law,500 Realty, and a Red Fin T Shirt… ……………(proof of indebtedness req’d)

    I’m massively in debt. Give me a free t-shirt and free meal at Claim Jumper! Wait, I can’t afford to take 2-days off of work to recover. How about the t-shirt and a fifth of whiskey. It will take me much less time to recover from the whiskey than it will the Claim Jumper clam chowder.

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  37. Jonness

    By Scotsman @ 13:

    RE: Jonness @ 11

    No, really- this is the bottom. I’m pretty sure Ardell called it last spring for the areas north of I-90 facing south on the east/west streets. Other areas? Well, you pays your money and takes your chances! ;-)

    Great idea for a new article. Tim finds claims from well-known bottom callers at specific points in time and contrasts their claims to the real interest rate through time (percent loss + percent mortgage rates). The winner (whomever has the highest rate) gets 3 free bowls of Claim Jumper clam chowder, but they have to eat them all in one sitting.

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  38. ARDELL

    RE: No Name Guy @ 27

    Actually the people who bought in 2008 with 3% down are better off than those who bought in summer of 2007 all cash.

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  39. raymond pepper

    RE: Crashcadia @ 35

    If you must leave just don’t forget what you learned. Pass on the wisdom to the masses. It IS your civic duty.

    you’ll be back….they all come back….maybe under a different name…but they come back…The Bubble is like crack! Don’t hide from your demons! Confront them here!!!

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  40. Ira Sacharoff

    By Jonness @ 36:

    By Ray Pepper @ 12:
    Topic # 1……….How far underwater are you? Seattle Bubble hosts a party for ALL new readers and the MOST BURIED homeowner gets a FREE ROUND of drinks along with a Wa Law,500 Realty, and a Red Fin T Shirt… ……………(proof of indebtedness req’d)

    I’m massively in debt. Give me a free t-shirt and free meal at Claim Jumper! Wait, I can’t afford to take 2-days off of work to recover. How about the t-shirt and a fifth of whiskey. It will take me much less time to recover from the whiskey than it will the Claim Jumper clam chowder.

    They’re a mighty fine combination too. Two bowls of Claim Jumper chowder, a side of their cheese dip, and a fifth of Jack.

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  41. David Losh

    RE: Ray Pepper @ 33

    Well, yes that is excellent advice.

    I can see your point.

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  42. Peter Witting

    RE: Crashcadia @ 35 – Ciao!

    But seriously – MSM media blog? That’s a laugh. John Jacobi or Lennox Scott, NAR press releases assuring us that Suzanne says it’s affordable, someone shilling Olive 8 condos with threats of “buy now or be priced out forever”: THAT is mainstream.

    I like to think of the realtors here as a little, well, different.

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  43. Scotsman

    RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 40

    “Two bowls of Claim Jumper chowder, a side of their cheese dip, and a fifth of Jack.”

    Whoa! You first, cowboy! I’ll be dialing 9-1-1.

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  44. Macro Investor

    By Ray Pepper @ 32:

    RE: MichaelB @ 26

    Michael what I love about 90% of your posts is they ALWAYS…. AT SOMEPOINT….. SLAM the Tim.. I always know its coming. Not sure where its gonna pop up…

    Since we all kind of slam each other its nice seeing the BIG CHEESE get shredded a bit.

    Every day you show your jealousy and resentment at not getting a bluey. Buy more ad space and you’ll get the approval you so crave.

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  45. One Eyed Man

    RE: Scotsman @ 43RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 40

    Wait, I’ve seen that before.

    “Two bowls of Claim Jumper chowder, a side of their cheese dip, and a fifth of Jack.
    Mix in 50 gallon drum and leave in panel van parked outside structure.

    That’s Starter Recipe no. 6 from The Anarchist’s Holiday Cookbook.

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  46. Ira Sacharoff

    By One Eyed Man @ 45:

    RE: Scotsman @ 43RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 40

    Wait, I’ve seen that before.

    “Two bowls of Claim Jumper chowder, a side of their cheese dip, and a fifth of Jack.
    Mix in 50 gallon drum and leave in panel van parked outside structure.

    That’s Starter Recipe no. 6 from The Anarchist’s Holiday Cookbook.

    Well, it’s going to explode somewhere. In your stomach, to dazzle your friends and family, or to blow up The First National Bank of the 1%.. Tough choice, though. When they bring that cheese dip, all idealism goes out the window. You forget about the struggle of the people, and before you can say ” We are the 99%” or ask about whether the cheese came from humanely raised cows, you dip the bread in, and into your stomach it goes.Your body will pay the price, and you’ll be ostracized for selfishly betraying the revolution.

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  47. synthetik

    Congrats Tim :)

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  48. Scotsman

    RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 46

    ” from humanely raised cows”

    So you too have heard the ads from the Washington Dairy Farmers. Who are they afraid of?

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