Posted by: The Tim

Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer / internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market.

59 responses to “Weekly Open Thread (2014-02-03)”

  1. Kary L. Krismer

    The first 30:12 of the game was exciting. That’s when it was put away, with someone like Manning being on the other side.

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  2. Blake

    RE: Kary L. Krismer @ 2
    Utter domination… made a statement! Quite a TEAM effort!!

    I flew into Denver Friday and came back Sunday in time to watch the game here (Had on my Earl Thomas jersey, of course!) I listened to the Denver sports talk radio call-in shows and was struck but how different the tenor of their fans and radio DJs were from ours. It was dull and matter-of-fact… very little Rah Rah enthusiasm!? Even the fans walking around in their orange uniforms seemed half awake, while all the Seattle fans wearing their colors at the Denver airport were smiling and excited. Even discounting the safety on the first play from scrimmage… right after kickoff Denver never seemed into the game and was outplayed in every way. Shame… I thought we’d see a classic matchup!?

    Sea Hawwwwks! This team (and fanbase) deserved this Championship!

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  3. Kary L. Krismer

    Looks like Ray is going to want to do some recruiting!

    http://www.tmz.com/2014/02/03/wwe-diva-nikki-bella-real-estate-selling-houses/

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  4. pfft

    That was a dominant performance by Seattle. They embarrassed the best offense in the league. If Peyton isn’t embarrassed he should be. With that good of a defense they will win another Super Bowl.

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  5. pfft

    Seattle is already the favorites for the next Super Bowl.

    http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1946451-super-bowl-2015-odds-revealed-for-all-32-teams

    I was impressed by the offense.

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  6. Blurtman

    RE: Blake @ 3 – They’re all stoned. Perhaps sativa would have been a better choice.

    http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=B_exvKnrK6g&autoplay=1&desktop_uri=%252Fwatch%253Fv%253DB_exvKnrK6g%2526autoplay%253D1

    And yes, bravo Seahawks and the 12th man. Let’s do it again!

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  7. Kary L. Krismer

    By pfft @ 6:

    I was impressed by the offense.

    I think the Seahawk offense has looked questionable in recent games because they’ve been playing some good defenses. Denver is not known for its defense.

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  8. Kary L. Krismer

    Speaking of Ray, the 2010 KOMO story about his George Bush ad is still showing up as a suggested link on their site.

    http://www.komonews.com/news/local/87033942.html

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  9. Ira Sacharoff

    RE: Blurtman @ 7
    Whoever the Bronco strategist was who came up with the brilliant idea of the players eating hash brownies before the game? I’m afraid he and the team ” are going in a different direction.”

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  10. redmondjp

    Looks like The Tim’s sewer rates will be going up:

    http://www.heraldnet.com/article/20140204/NEWS01/140209671/Sewer-rates-to-rise-as-Everett-upgrades-antiquated-system

    In a related note, he heeded some good advice and had a backflow prevention valve installed during work on his side sewer.

    Now, we just need the government watchdogs to ensure that the additional monies collected for sewer system improvements don’t get rechanneled (that’s a sewer system term FYI, yuk yuk) into the city’s general fund. This has been happening for decades in bankrupt Detroit with their water department (and now it is all coming to the light of day during the bankruptcy proceedings).

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  11. softwarengineer

    RE: Blake @ 3

    Hades, IMO, even the NFC West Cardinals

    Would have crushed the AFC Broncos….

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  12. softwarengineer

    RE: redmondjp @ 11

    When I Was a College Kid in the 70s

    I worked for the City of Everett on a Summer job; investigating the sewer line configuration. After crawling down those rusted, gutted and smelly sewer manholes in the 70s; the Everett infrastucture was all falling apart about 40 years ago…..it must be a complete mess now. To fix it is out of the question IMO, unless property taxes are MASS raised in Everett and all the roads must be torn up….some 20-30 feet down too….

    I imagine Seattle and Bellevue are in the same s_itty state….

    And you laughed at SWE for moving to a “new sewer infrastucture” area like Covington :-)

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  13. redmondjp

    By softwarengineer @ 13:

    RE: redmondjp @ 11 . . . I imagine Seattle and Bellevue are in the same s_itty state….

    Seattle, definitely yes, but not Bellevue – most of their infrastructure was installed post WWII.

    The biggest infrastructure issue on the Eastside now is the aging direct-buried underground electrical power cables that aesthetics dictate. These cables have been receiving an in-situ life extension of 10-15 years by a silicone injection (no Eastside plastic-surgery jokes pls), but after that . . . too bad they didn’t forsee the need to replace them eventually and install underground conduits (but that would have cost the developers too much $$$).

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  14. Kary L. Krismer

    RE: redmondjp @ 14 – They had to replace our late 60s, early 70s underground lines a couple of years ago.

    The county makes out really well when that happens, because PSE has to repave the entire road!

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  15. Blurtman

    RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 10 – Indeed. And the halftime shrooms were also ill advised, although Bruno Mars was more easily tolerated as an ersatz Frankie Valli with rainbow trails….

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  16. Blake

    RE: Blurtman @ 16
    Ira… Blurtman… was it just me, or did a lot of the Super Bowl commercials seem especially trippy this year!? It may have been just me and those brownies my girlfriend made!? ;-}

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  17. CHrisM

    Interesting (San Francisco) rental listing: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEtLsFaB0sU

    Jim the Realtor (http://www.bubbleinfo.com/) in California has been doing video listings for a couple of years now. I wonder when that will be considered normal.

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  18. softwarengineer

    RE: redmondjp @ 14

    The Trouble With Bellevue’s Infrastructure, I Lived There in the Early 90s

    The area was originally built for lower middle class in the 50s; that why there’s so many flat roofed cheap structures there….they put in the water main with cheap materials too….around Lake Hills it looked like underground streams erupting in the neighborhood as the water pipes leaked like sifts….

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  19. redmondjp

    RE: softwarengineer @ 19 – Well, the other thing that I forgot to mention is the slowly rusting steel natural gas lines buried all over the place. About a month ago, there was a crew in my neighborhood potholing down (using a vacuum truck and either compressed air and/or pressurized water to bore a 6-8″ dia. hole) to check the material type on the gas mains in the street.

    I went over to talk to them (they were contractors working for PSE and had no markings on any of their vehicles) and they said that they were checking the entire system to see which pipes were steel (which will need eventual replacement) and which were plastic. Quite frankly, I was a bit surprised that they didn’t already know this. They don’t want another case of an exploding home from an underground leak, as happened in north Seattle most recently, and in Bellevue a few years before that.

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  20. Blurtman

    RE: Blake @ 17 – Excuse me while I kiss the sky.

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  21. Dr Rick

    By Blurtman @ 21:

    RE: Blake @ 17 – Excuse me while I kiss the sky.

    “‘scuse me while I kiss this guy?” Guess i heard it wrong 8^)

    Fel Temp Reparatio

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  22. softwarengineer

    RE: redmondjp @ 20

    Probably Just Like Everett

    That’s why I was working that Summer to figure out the sewer system configuration….I drafted much of it that summer too….what plans?

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  23. softwarengineer

    RE: Kary L. Krismer @ 15

    And If It’s Like that 2 Mile Repavement Curb Gutter Sidewalk Job on Ranier Ave in Renton

    It will take years to complete and a giant boondoggle tax [property?] burden on us sheeple, err, uh, citizens….

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  24. Ira Sacharoff

    By Dr Rick @ 22:

    By Blurtman @ 21:
    RE: Blake @ 17 – Excuse me while I kiss the sky.

    “‘scuse me while I kiss this guy?” Guess i heard it wrong 8^)

    Fel Temp Reparatio

    I remember that song, along with Elton John’s “Someone shaved my wife tonight.”

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  25. One Eyed Man

    RE: Ira Sacharoff @ 25

    That’s a great Elton John song but my favorite is still “Don’t let your son go down on me.”

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  26. Blurtman

    Yellen tackles the weighty issues. I’m telling you folks, what I saw of her (don’t go there) at UC Berkeley is not confidence inspiring. 67. Retire already, Grannie.

    Yellen lays down the law, prefers gender-neutral title: Report
    http://www.cnbc.com/id/101384260

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  27. Dr Rick

    By Blurtman @ 27:

    Yellen tackles the weighty issues. I’m telling you folks, what I saw of her (don’t go there) at UC Berkeley is not confidence inspiring. 67. Retire already, Grannie.

    Yellen lays down the law, prefers gender-neutral title: Report
    http://www.cnbc.com/id/101384260

    Problem is (was) that we had her or Larry Summers. I take Janet any day if forced to choose. But nobody asked me. We got her any way.

    Blurty, I saw these in London a few weeks ago.
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/feature.html?ie=UTF8&docId=1000881581

    I got to tell the story of “They Live.” Good stuff. Oh, BTW, they live.

    Fel Temp Reparatio

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  28. Blurtman

    RE: Dr Rick @ 28 – They Live. Ira knows.

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  29. Blurtman

    RE: Dr Rick @ 28 – Jim Cramer had my vote. A close second was Madoff with a get out of jail, too big to fail card.

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  30. softwarengineer

    RE: Blurtman @ 30

    How About Martha Stewart for Insider Trader Sacrificial Lamb?

    LOL

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  31. wreckingbull

    RE: One Eyed Man @ 26 – I’ll have to put my vote in for Manfred Mann’s ‘wrapped up like a douche’

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  32. pfft

    Oh yeah!

    Elizabeth Warren To Obama: Stop Nominating So Many Corporatists
    http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/warren-corporate-judges

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  33. pfft

    Anyone see Maria Bartiromo moved to Fox biz? Perfect fit!

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  34. Kary L. Krismer

    It only took six years for a case to work it’s way through the system and answer a question which should have never had to have been answered.

    http://goo.gl/m30NBV (link to a blog piece I wrote).

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  35. Kary L. Krismer

    Anyone know if David Losh’s family is continuing his cleaning business? If so, it occurred to me that they should rename it “The Legion of Broom.”

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  36. Blurtman

    RE: pfft @ 33 – Better than lame corporatist warmonger Hillary. And therefore perhaps unelectable.

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  37. Kary L. Krismer

    RE: Blurtman @ 37 – Barack Obama, making Hillary more acceptable to Republicans since 2009.

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  38. pfft

    By Blurtman @ 37:

    RE: pfft @ 33 – Better than lame corporatist warmonger Hillary. And therefore perhaps unelectable.

    I wouldn’t exactly call Hillary a warmonger. Based on what?

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  39. pfft

    By Kary L. Krismer @ 38:

    RE: Blurtman @ 37 – Barack Obama, making Hillary more acceptable to Republicans since 2009.

    as soon as Hillary declares her candidacy the republican smear machine will start up.

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  40. Kary L. Krismer

    By pfft @ 40:

    By Kary L. Krismer @ 38:
    RE: Blurtman @ 37 – Barack Obama, making Hillary more acceptable to Republicans since 2009.

    as soon as Hillary declares her candidacy the republican smear machine will start up.

    Undoubtedly, just like the Democratic smear machine destroyed Romney–an activity you participated in with glee.

    But my point was most Republicans will consider Hillary to be a breath of fresh air compared to Obama. That doesn’t mean they will vote for her.

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  41. Kary L. Krismer

    By pfft @ 39:

    By Blurtman @ 37:
    RE: pfft @ 33 – Better than lame corporatist warmonger Hillary. And therefore perhaps unelectable.

    I wouldn’t exactly call Hillary a warmonger. Based on what?

    Wow, don’t you read anything? Seriously. You don’t know what that claim was based on?

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  42. Blurtman

    RE: pfft @ 39RE: pfft @ 39 – Pro Iraq war. Pro drones and Gitmo as Secretary of State. Building her hawkish bona fides on the corpses of the murdered and tortured.

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  43. Blurtman

    RE: Kary L. Krismer @ 41 – I take a diametrically opposed viewpoint. Nothing is more detestable to the Rethugs than another Clinton in office.

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  44. Kary L. Krismer

    RE: Blurtman @ 43 – You forgot Syria, Libya and Afghanistan.

    http://www.thenation.com/blog/172635/good-riddance-warmonger-hillary-clinton

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  45. Kary L. Krismer

    By Blurtman @ 44:

    RE: Kary L. Krismer @ 41 – I take a diametrically opposed viewpoint. Nothing is more detestable to the Rethugs than another Clinton in office.

    Don’t get me wrong. I’m not supporting Hillary. If there’s another Clinton or Bush (Jeb) I’ll be very unhappy.

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  46. pfft

    By Kary L. Krismer @ 41:

    By pfft @ 40:
    By Kary L. Krismer @ 38:
    RE: Blurtman @ 37 – Barack Obama, making Hillary more acceptable to Republicans since 2009.

    as soon as Hillary declares her candidacy the republican smear machine will start up.

    Undoubtedly, just like the Democratic smear machine destroyed Romney–an activity you participated in with glee.

    the democrats didn’t smear Romney we just stated facts like the 43% video.

    Romney’s toughest critics were often fellow republicans. gingrich had a 30 minute bain commercial. Romney wasn’t even the favorite until the end.

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  47. pfft

    By Blurtman @ 43:

    RE: pfft @ 39RE: pfft @ 39 – Pro Iraq war. Pro drones and Gitmo as Secretary of State. Building her hawkish bona fides on the corpses of the murdered and tortured.

    that doesn’t make you a war monger. Is she a war monger because she helped stop violence in Libya? That probably tens of thousands of lives.

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  48. pfft

    “Pro Iraq war. Pro drones and Gitmo as Secretary of State. Building her hawkish bona fides on the corpses of the murdered and tortured.”

    looks like you were wrong on 2 out of the 3. I am not surprised.

    They both favour the closure of the Guantánamo Bay detention centre…and oppose torture

    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2008/nov/17/hillary-clinton-secretary-of-state

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  49. Blurtman

    RE: pfft @ 48 – Let’s see, Pro-Iraq war, and pro-drone. My, that seems to be 2 out of 3. Perhaps math is not your strength, or perhaps your double counting skill gains you employment at the BLS.

    (Reuters) – U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on Thursday implicitly defended Washington’s use of drone strikes to kill suspected militants, just days after one of the aircraft killed one of al Qaeda’s most powerful figures in Pakistan.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/07/us-clinton-drones-idUSBRE8560N520120607

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  50. Blurtman

    Under investigation, American Title CEO dead in grisly suicide

    They said Talley died from seven or eight self-inflicted wounds from a nail gun fired into his torso and head.

    http://www.denverpost.com/news/ci_25081462/under-investigation-american-title-ceo-dead-grisly-suicide

    Phil Leotardo?

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  51. Kary L. Krismer

    RE: Blurtman @ 50 – pfft’s strength is being wrong. And being an incredibly partisan brainwashed Democrat.

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  52. Kary L. Krismer

    RE: Blurtman @ 51 – 7 or 8 self-inflicted nail gun shots into the head? That sounds suspicious, and if it was suicide, that’s got to be the worst method ever!

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  53. Kary L. Krismer

    Just 135,000 jobs created in January, but hey, it’s okay, they revised December up from 94,000 to 95,000, and the unemployment rate dropped .1%. The economy is strong! /sarc

    Who wants to bet by the end of Obama’s term we’ll simultaneously have negative job growth and a falling unemployment rate?

    A safer bet though would be that despite having their lives ruined by a poor economy, those displaced workers will still vote for incumbent politicians in Congress later this year.

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  54. Blurtman

    RE: Kary L. Krismer @ 52 – Pfffft appears to be correct about Hillary being opposed to Guantanamo, and the Repubs and some Dems thwarted the effort to close it.

    But do we really want a hawkish Democrat? Her celebrity (notoriety?) has to be a negative.

    In the next election, Rubio will lose to Elizabeth Warren, who wins by highlighting` his anti-immigration stance and peculiar hyrdophagy.

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  55. Kary L. Krismer

    I’m shocked. You can’t build airplanes with an untrained workforce.

    http://seattletimes.com/html/businesstechnology/2022830424_boeingcharlestonxml.html

    Pretty scary that they’re allegedly signing off as work being completed that wasn’t done. I wonder if the signature was an “X.”

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  56. redmondjp

    RE: Kary L. Krismer @ 56 – You’re missing the real story here and taking the bait on this one, Kary . . .

    The fault in this case clearly rests on management, if you’ve bothered to read the stories – they cut back on employees, laying off the contract and temporary workers that they were using to get all of the work done. Now the remaining workforce is being put into an impossible situation, trained or not.

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  57. Kary L. Krismer

    RE: redmondjp @ 57 – I think that’s the first time anyone has ever accused me of not being hard on Boeing management! ;-)

    My main complaint has been that the site chosen to build the 787 wasn’t good, and that wasn’t because of its longitude and latitude. It was because of the work for located there. I think building these things in two locations is a good thing, they just picked the wrong second location.

    But as to my long-standing point, from the article:

    The Boeing South Carolina engineer conceded the problems there have been growing for months and cited three contributing factors.

    First, beginning last spring, Boeing let go most of Charleston’s temporary contract hires — experienced aviation workers hired from all over the U.S. to get the program up and running, many of them working as quality inspectors.

    That left a serious skill shortage when Boeing both introduced a new Dreamliner model, the 787-9, which has a larger mid-body fuselage than the initial 787-8, and then in the fall increased the production rate from 7 to 10 jets per month.

    And:

    The Charleston engineer said management is scrambling to find 300 to 400 contractors in addition to its pipeline of local direct hires.

    He said hiring temporary contract labor from across the nation is necessary because there just isn’t enough skilled talent available locally in South Carolina.

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  58. redmondjp

    RE: Kary L. Krismer @ 58 – I disagree with you on this. All of the major foreign and domestic automakers now have plants situated in the south, and they haven’t complained of the same issues.

    People have been moving to take a job for as long as jobs have existed. Maybe they need to increase salaries and provide bigger relocation packages to entice people to move there to work. Something that BM (for Boeing Management, among other things ;) could easily decide to do.

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