Seattle Bubble

News & discussion about real estate & the housing bubble in the Seattle area.

Seattle Bubble - News & discussion about real estate & the housing bubble in the Seattle area.

Entries Tagged as 'Ballard'

Seattle Go Boom?

By The Tim on June 8th, 2009 at 8:06 AM · 32 Comments

This is admittedly only very tangentially related to Seattle real estate, but this news article caught my attention this morning: Congressman implies: Seattle could be nuked

Huffington Post columnist Jason Linkins writes today about an e-mail sent by Rep. Todd Akin (R-Mo., not Ala. as the headline reads) regarding the United States’ missile defense plans.

Akin doesn’t specifically mention Seattle, but his e-mail did include a map of the city and the expected effects of a 10-kiloton nuclear blast centered over South Lake Union.

The map they mentioned seemed a little familiar to me…

Damage Effects Of An Atom Bomb Explosion: 2009 & 1950
Left: Congressman Todd Akin’s 2009 map of possible North Korean nuke on Seattle
Right: Seattle Civil Defense Manual’s 1950 map of possible USSR nuke on Seattle

Hey, at least the 2009 hypothetical North Korean bomb isn’t dropping practically right on top of Ballard like the hypothetical 1950 USSR bomb was. Apparently Paul Allen’s Vulcan real estate ventures are now a higher priority target than a Scandinavian fishing neighborhood.

Even in a hypothetical nuclear disaster, the historic legacy of the overpriced Ballard craftsman will be preserved. Phew!

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McMansions, Condo Conversions, Delays, & Sunny Ballard

By The Tim on July 1st, 2008 at 12:00 PM · 14 Comments

Time again already for another inbox-clearing story roundup.

First up, the Seattle City Council is apparently in a development-regulating mood lately. Not only are they tackling the ugly townhome issue, now they’re going after “megahomes” as well.

After years of complaints about suburban-sized homes that devour lawns and encroach on neighbors, the Seattle City Council plans next month to consider limiting the size of some larger homes in single-family neighborhoods.

But changes that politically are palatable enough to pass may not quiet neighbors’ objections entirely.

With roughly 65 percent of Seattle zoned for single families, politicians historically have been wary of changes affecting so many homeowners.

A proposal crafted by City Council President Richard Conlin, which the council is expected to discuss next month, may be a starting point.

On smaller single-family lots, his proposal would reduce a home’s maximum footprint to provide larger buffers and more green space between properties.

With energy prices shooting through the roof lately, and the prevailing winds blowing in the “green” direction, this seems to be a case of “to little, too late.” I think that like the SUV, the days of dominance for the McMansion are fading.

But that’s not the only new housing issue the Seattle City Council is taking up. They also took a vote on Monday regarding relocation assistance for condo conversions.

Developers who convert apartments into condos would have to pay some moderate- and low-income Seattleites considerably more in moving expenses under a measure approved Mondy by the City Council.

The council voted 8-0 to increase the amount of relocation assistance that developers pay from $500 to three times the monthly rent, for tenants making 80 percent of local median income or less.

The measure would also require developers to pay more in relocation help to some elderly tenants or others with special needs. The legislation goes to Mayor Greg Nickels.

The council also gave developers a break Monday: They would more easily qualify for an affordable housing tax break by including condos or apartments affordable to moderate-income residents under another measure approved by the council.

Because you know the condo-conversion wave is just getting started, after all. Developers are just going crazy, building as much as they possibly can…

or maybe not.

Kemper Development has pushed back the timetable for its proposed Lincoln Square expansion in downtown Bellevue by at least 15 months.

The company had planned to break ground on the high-rise, mixed-use project by next spring. But Chairman and Chief Executive Kemper Freeman Jr. said Monday that construction won’t start until summer 2010 at the earliest.

He attributed the delay to the slowdown in the local condo market and to logistic complications the company would have encountered if it had expanded Lincoln Square while it was building a major addition to its Bellevue Square mall across Bellevue Way Northeast.

“We thought we could do it all at once,” Freeman said. “We finally said, ‘That’s nuts.’”

But hey, let’s end this post on a positive note. I bet you didn’t know that Ballard is still totally immune to the housing bust. Well, it is.

Despite the constant drumbeat of housing doom and gloom reported nationally, Ballard’s single-family home market is still rosy but has a few faded blooms.

Nationwide, home values have dropped nearly15 percent in one year. Florida’s market is swamped with listings and Las Vegas real estate investors lost their shirts.

However, according to Multiple Listing Service statistics in the Ballard zip codes 98107 and 98117, the average selling price is only down about 8 percent.

Inventory of single-family homes and townhouses for May and June is 222, nearly double that of last year’s listings, and average time on the market is now two months, twice last year’s. Still, area realtors and lenders say the market is relatively strong.

“The best stuff, like a sweetheart of a house on a pretty street in a nice neighborhood is getting full price, sometimes higher,” said Michael Busacca, a realtor with Skyline Properties’ Northgate office.

“The media beats us up,” complained realtor Kevin Isaminger of Re/Max in Bellevue, who has listings in Ballard, and West Seattle where he lives. He said potential buyers lack confidence in the local market due to pessimistic news reports of troubled markets in other regions.

That darn media.

(Jennifer Langston, Seattle P-I, 06.30.2008)
(Angela Galloway, Seattle P-I, 06.30.2008)
(Eric Pryne, Seattle Times, 07.01.2008)
(Steve Shay, Ballard News-Tribune, 06.30.2008)

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The Human Side of a Condo Conversion

By The Tim on December 13th, 2007 at 1:43 PM · 28 Comments

This post is different from the usual fare here, but I think it’s worth taking some time on. I ran across this post in my news alerts. It’s a look at the human consequences that result when affordable apartments are converted into upscale condos.

I was very surprised at the time that I first wrote about Lock Vista at the seeming bias against renters. No doubt this is a small minority who are particularly vocal, but the sentiment seemed to be, “stop whining about being poor because you’re an artist,” or “if you worked harder, you could own a house.”

I learned that renters have very few rights. One such right is sixty days notification if a rent increase will be over 10%. How generous. Buildings can be sold. Rent control doesn’t exist. The people that I’ve met have owned homes and have chosen to become renters at a different stage of their life.

Three hundred sixty-five days in the year but not enough days for the number people being forced to leave Ballard due to economics. The condo conversion at Lock Vista will affect over 200 people; many have already left. Then there are the renters in triplexes and duplexes – most slipping away without any publicity or outcry at all.

Of course, when the alternative to renting costs twice as much and puts you in financial risk of foreclosure should interest rates rise or the value of your home drop, you’re stuck between a rock and a hard place. You can thank your friendly neighborhood housing bubble for putting people in a situation where the only choice is between insecure renting or taking on financially crippling debt.

(Peggy Sturdivant, At large in Ballard, 12.13.2007)

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Building “Green,” “Smart” Investments, and More…

By The Tim on August 24th, 2007 at 9:23 AM · 32 Comments

Let’s follow up yesterday’s heavy downer of a post with some lighter fare. I think it’s time for another link roundup.

So you say they’re not making any more land, huh? Well, maybe not, but that doesn’t mean we’re running out of places to build houses. No, I’m not talking about condos. I’m referring to something a little more green

A few years back, when Lolly Shera’s son was 9, he peppered their yard with four treehouses he banged together from scrap lumber, like a modern-day Huck Finn.

His mom can still glimpse some of them — from the window of her own treehouse, a professionally built getaway she uses as an art studio.

Unlike the kiddie versions, Shera’s Fall City treehouse has power, insulation, plug-in heat, alder paneling, stairs and a deck. Its expansive windows mimic the fire lookouts she stays in when she’s hiking and climbing in the backcountry.

Check out some of the pictures. Those things really are amazing.

On less of a fun note, much like the rest of the area, over in West Seattle rental prices are on the rise:

Rental rates have increased in West Seattle by 7 percent to 10 percent in the last year, but the demand for rentals is stronger than ever.

“For landlords, this is the best rental market I’ve seen,” said Mike Gain, of Cayce and Gain Real Estate Management. “We don’t have any vacancies that just sit.”

…rental rates have climbed “back to reasonable rates,” said Gain.

So if you read a little bit into that last line there, you’ll catch the implication that rental rates for the last few years have been artificially low, and their recent increases are simply a return to the mean. That sounds fairly reasonable actually, and makes the media’s scare-mongering over rent increases even more amusing.

Over in Ballard, some developer is apparently unaware of just how late to the party they would be if they began yet another condo conversion in a year or two.

Officially, Lock Vista residents don’t even know for sure they’ll be ousted. But a city inspector canvassed the buildings earlier this month offering “condo conversion” as an explanation, residents said, and that was enough to set off a chain reaction that’s led to an outpouring from community members — including a number of other Seattle residents who say they also lost their apartment homes to condos recently.

Seattle condo-development company the Northlake Group is interested in buying the apartments. But Lock Vista residents don’t even know exactly who’s selling the complex; they’ve never met their landlord. John Fox, a representative of the Seattle Displacement Coalition, said the apartments belong to a Bellevue-based businessman.

Good luck with that.

And lastly, let’s end on an amusing note with a press release from King County titled: Wise real estate investment could fund numerous county service improvements.

A wise real estate investment eight years ago has put King County in position to possibly consolidate more services downtown in a new King County Administration Building at no new cost to taxpayers. The economics of replacing the deteriorating, 37 year old administration building would be strengthened with the possible sale of the eight-story King Street Center in Pioneer Square.

Unsolicited private sector inquiries into possible purchase of King Street Center illustrate the high demand for quality office space in Pioneer Square. Analysts think the county could possibly sell the property for more than double its original $65 million cost. If the county gets the price it wants, it would move two of the county’s largest departments from King Street to a planned new Administration Building at Fourth and James. The consolidation would create new efficiencies and give citizens easier access to services.

“Our smart investment in King Street Center could return tremendous new value to citizens in both dollars and services,” said King County Executive Ron Sims.

Yeah, it was a “smart investment” to buy property in 1999, just before the biggest real estate bubble the nation has ever seen. Not “lucky,” but “smart.” Because, you know, they saw the bubble coming.

(Cecelia Goodnow, Seattle P-I, 08.22.2007)
(Rebekah Schilperoort, West Seattle Herald, 08.13.2007)
(Angelo Bruscas, Seattle P-I, 08.22.2007)
(Press Release, King County, 08.21.2007)

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Bubble Link Roundup Extravaganza

By The Tim on August 2nd, 2007 at 10:29 AM · 32 Comments

The stories have been piling up in my inbox at a faster rate than I’ve been able to post them lately, so that means that it is time for another bubble link roundup. I’ve got a lot of ground to cover in this post, and I don’t want to totally clutter up the front page, so click below to read the entire post.

[Read more →]

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