King Co. SFH New Listing Absorption Rate

New Listing Absorption Dropping Rapidly From December High

By request, here are a few alternative takes on recent home listing activity. Since one of the biggest issues driving the current crazy market is a lack of enough home listings, we can get an idea of whether or not there is any relief on the horizon for buyers by looking at listing activity.

First up, here’s a chart I just created: New listing absorption. This is a simple look at the ratio of pending sales to new listings. If more homes are going pending in a month than there are being listed, this ratio goes above 100 percent, which is obviously not great for buyers.

…what’s interesting to me about this chart is that just last December we saw new listing absorption an all-time high of 159%, while as of June it has fallen to almost the lowest level since the market bottomed out in 2011. However, this is obviously a very seasonal metric, and the low point for the year usually comes in June or July, so it would not be surprising if this is the lowest level we see this year.

Despite Red-Hot Housing Market, One in Five Pending Sales Still Fail to Close

With another quarter fully in the books, let’s take a look a the latest data on pending sales volume versus closed sales volume. For this series I roll the pending sales and closed sales data up by quarter, with pending sales offset by one month. In other words, the second quarter numbers below represent pending […]

One in Six Q4 Pending Sales Didn’t Close

Let’s take a look a the latest data on pending sales volume versus closed sales volume. For this series I roll the pending sales and closed sales data up by quarter, with pending sales offset by one month. In other words, the fourth quarter numbers below represent pending sales from September, October, and November and […]

The Longest Pending Sale

Does anyone remember the 13,000-square-foot Tacoma mansion I mentioned a few times on these pages back in 2011? After a series of price drops from $8 million, to $7 million, to $6.4 million, and eventually $5.4 million over the course of nearly three years on the market, it finally went pending. In June. Of last […]

More Pending Sales Closed in Q3, One in Five Still MIA

Let’s take a look a the latest data on pending sales volume versus closed sales volume. For this series I roll the pending sales and closed sales data up by quarter, with pending sales offset by one month. In other words, the third quarter numbers below represent pending sales from June, July, and August and […]

The New Normal: 25 Percent of Pending Sales Don’t Close

Let’s take a look a the latest data on pending sales volume versus closed sales volume. For this series I roll the pending sales and closed sales data up by quarter, with pending sales offset by one month. In other words, the second quarter numbers below represent pending sales from March, April, and May and […]

Nearly One in Four Pending Sales Did Not Close in Q1

Let’s take a look a the latest data on pending sales volume versus closed sales volume. For this series I roll the pending sales and closed sales data up by quarter, with pending sales offset by one month. In other words, the first quarter numbers below represent pending sales from December, January, and February and […]