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Seattle Bubble Forum Archive • View topic - Top markets for a downturn (according to the CME trading)

Top markets for a downturn (according to the CME trading)

Anything and everything relating to Seattle-area real estate.

Moderators: synthetik, The Tim, Lake Hills Renter

Top markets for a downturn (according to the CME trading)

Postby MrRational » Wed Oct 03, 2007 8:50 pm

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Postby The Tim » Wed Oct 03, 2007 9:00 pm

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Postby deejayoh » Wed Oct 03, 2007 9:05 pm

Tim, that's just irrational
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Postby MrRational » Thu Oct 04, 2007 5:32 am

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Re: Top markets for a downturn (according to the CME trading

Postby george » Thu Oct 04, 2007 6:01 am

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Postby Siddha » Thu Oct 04, 2007 8:59 am

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Postby biliruben » Thu Oct 04, 2007 9:11 am

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Postby Siddha » Thu Oct 04, 2007 9:33 am

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Postby rose-colored-coolaid » Thu Oct 04, 2007 11:24 am

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Postby moosejaw » Thu Oct 04, 2007 1:10 pm

Whats amazing is with the prognostic abilities of so many on this site, that they could not predict the huge upswing in the market starting in 2000-2001. You guys should all be multi-millionaires by now.

I am certainly not saying that Seattle or other markets are not overpriced, but I think a prediction of 40-50% decrease is ridiculous.

If that's the case, EVERYONE who purchase in the last 5 years would be WALKING on their house, and returning the keys. So whats the next prediction when that happens?

A 100% decrease in the next 7 years? So banks will be giving away homes?

What amazes me is how many people actually have a TON of money in Seattle. That's not to say there are not people just scraping by, but it is amazing how much some young people have to spend, and how many high paying jobs Seattle continues to create and has to offer.

I predict a 100% decrease in the value of homes...Let me know where the line is when banks start giving away homes for free. With what I pay now I will gladly wait for that 50+% decrease and I will purchase 2-3 homes that now sell for 600k. Bring it on.
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Postby rose-colored-coolaid » Thu Oct 04, 2007 2:06 pm

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Postby Alan » Thu Oct 04, 2007 2:17 pm

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Postby SunTzu » Thu Oct 04, 2007 2:28 pm

[quote="moosejaw"]Whats amazing is with the prognostic abilities of so many on this site, that they could not predict the huge upswing in the market starting in 2000-2001. You guys should all be multi-millionaires by now.[/quote]

I could tell you that when interest rates hit 1% I thought it would be a good time to buy a house. Except at that time I already owned a condo and at that time I did not know you could get some of the crazy loans that caused this bubble. Because when I bought that condo in late '90s the bank required you to put money down, checked your income, verified your credit, verified your savings, and even then you were not guranteed to get a loan approval; that was the way it had always worked.

Moreover, the 1% rate was in the aftermath of 911 which no one was very sure what was going to happen next, not even the gov't.
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Postby redmondjp » Thu Oct 04, 2007 2:38 pm

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Postby perfectfire » Thu Oct 04, 2007 5:01 pm

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