I've been thinking (uh oh!) about whether or not the quick strike of two massive bubbles in the last 10 years says anything about the actual viability of capitalism. Is it, similar to Winston Churchill's statement on democracy, the worst economic system except all the others? Or is there some fatal flaw in capitalism.
I think I have an answer for that now, and it's nothing like the answer I expected to find. But it's also an answer I knew all along. In retrospect, I think capitalism is just peachy. It's just that we don't practice anything like capitalism anymore.
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In it's native form, capitalism is essentially a casino. Someone gives you $1 at the door, and you either come out ahead or behind based on your skill (ahem) and luck. I use the casino analogy because in real life, luck matters far more than most people admit, because winners like to feel superior and losers like to rationalize why they lost. The main problem with this analogy is simply that at a casino, you lose more than you win, whereas in real life free trade is a positive sum game. So take the casino analogy and assume blackjack pays off 110% on average.
So, if I believe capitalism is akin to a casino, how do I get off thinking lowly of speculation? In it's primal sense, every financial action we take is speculation. I buy a candy bar for 60 cents, and I am speculating that it will taste good enough and satisfy me to an extent which is more valuable than my 60 cents. This and a myriad of other examples shows that speculation is not bad, but rather good. In fact, it's essential to progress.
I think what's wrong now is that rather than speculating with their own $1, some people realized they could borrow extra $1 from friends. They are still going to gamble that money, but there is now moral hazard. If they win, they profit largely, and losing costs them nothing...except a friendship. But the digital age has removed the stigma of losing someone elses money. If it's not yours and it comes from China, who cares.
Maybe this is nuts, but I would argue that this moral hazard creates an economic system which I would no longer even call capitalism. Though I am willing to listen if anyone else has a real good name for it.