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Seattle Bubble Forum Archive • View topic - Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

How will housing affect the US and world economy? How will the economy affect housing?

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Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

Postby Markor » Thu Oct 09, 2008 9:01 am

The Dow is now down to an average 4.4% annually since inception. (At 9127 now). Excludes dividends, but those are less common nowadays. CDs at 4+% are now way better than stocks historically.
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Re: Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

Postby deejayoh » Thu Oct 09, 2008 9:59 am

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Re: Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

Postby The Tim » Thu Oct 09, 2008 10:07 am

Fun Fact: the Dow topped out at 14,164.53 on October 9, 2007 - exactly one year ago today.
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Re: Dow down to 4.3% annually since inception!

Postby Markor » Thu Oct 09, 2008 11:17 am

I spoke too soon. Now it's down to an average of 4.3% annually. (At 8905 now.) 37% off last year's peak.
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Re: Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

Postby Scotsman » Thu Oct 09, 2008 2:29 pm

If I remember correctly, when you don't count the run-up over the last 20 years, the annualized return is closer to 1.7%. Maybe we're just working our way back to the long term trend line?
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Re: Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

Postby The Tim » Thu Oct 09, 2008 3:00 pm

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Re: Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

Postby Markor » Thu Oct 09, 2008 4:03 pm

Superimpose the Dow onto the national debt chart to see where the money came from that fueled the run-up since 1985. The country's future was sold to win elections. The Constitution has a major loophole.
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Re: Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

Postby FreedomLover » Sat Oct 11, 2008 6:57 pm

There seem to be 2 types of investors:

* traditional type - invests in companies that have good fundamentals, is willing to stick with the stock for a few years

* flipper type - invests in any stock that he believes he can flip to another flipper in a few weeks/months, basically a pyramid scheme

It seems that 2nd type rules these days.
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Re: Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

Postby FreedomLover » Sat Oct 11, 2008 6:58 pm

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Re: Dow down to 4.4% annually since inception!

Postby Markor » Sat Oct 11, 2008 8:01 pm

What I was implying is that the Constitution should not allow the country to be in debt indefinitely, or by any amount; otherwise political parties will use public debt to win elections. Like the GOP has done in spades, starting with Reagan. Imagine what better shape the US would be in today if the Constitution imposed $ & time limits to national debt. Imagine if Bush had to pare down debt instead of increase it, because Reagan and his dad ran it up too fast/much. The typical reasoning against any debt limit is that we may need to borrow in times of emergency. But now it's obvious that the greater danger to the US is a continuous string of "emergencies" (Vietnam War, need to win arms race against Russia, Gulf War, OIL (Operation Iraq Liberation), need to win new arms race against Russia, need to bail out any rich person losing money, etc.). The GOP took 1984 to heart and it's killing us.
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