by jon » Sun Feb 08, 2009 8:59 pm
"Nobody is spending, and lower taxes simply don't matter right now."
The savings rate is up to 3.6%, which is high by recent standards, but in spite of all the hype and scare tactics, the overall economy is only a few percent off of recent highs. While some people will spend it immediately, others may be saving up for something later. While that saving won't help in this recession, to be fair you have to give people the money on an equal basis. So to get the desired effect, you have to gross up the expected marginal savings rate.
If you have the government spend the money directly, then there will inevitably be waste, fraud, and abuse. To get the desired effect in that case, you have to gross up by waste. I would rather allow for expected savings than expected waste, even if it is a greater amount needed. The saved money will be put back into the treasury anyway, and it is not wasted, provided that every person is treated equally.
Of course well thought out infrastructure mega-projects would be the best, but there just aren't enough of those that have been planned out, and rushing through the planning could end up with waste or worse, as in the case of badly built bridges, etc.