by GetMeTheHellOutOfCA » Thu Jun 07, 2007 8:26 am
I think predicting where rents are going in Seattle is dependent on 2 factors. Firstly, the rental inventory on the market. Those predicting a decrease in rental prices claim speculators unable to sell / flip condos / SFRs will be forced to rent in order to partially cover mortgage or to sell at a loss. They point out the large number of condo projects and claim a significant % of Seattle sales are a result of speculation, most with suicide or risky loans.
The second factor is the number of people renting. THose seeing a tighter rental market claim people priced out of buying will defer purchasing or be unable to purhase and will rent. THese numbers will excede the available supply of rentals driving up rental prices.
I don't think anyone can claim to know which of these two forces will dominate and exactly how the supply and demand curves will shift in Seattle. Each region is different. For eaxample in SFO, rental prices are back to dot bomb day levels. In LA, arguable the epicenter of the housing bubble, my landlord increased my rent by 12%, providing me with the motivation I needed to buy a place.