How's the Portland RE market doing?
Inventory in Portland has gone up 72% compared to same time last year -- check out HousingTracker.net - Portland, OR
Anyone know if sellers are getting desperate over there OR a 72% increase isn't good enough for a slowdown?
Anyone know if sellers are getting desperate over there OR a 72% increase isn't good enough for a slowdown?
Comments
I think Vancouver, across the Columbia River, is a better choice now and for the near future. It's a suburb; I live there and am only 4 miles from the Portland airport. I have the benefit of the WA income tax rate. A real estate agent friend of mine told me that he noticed some downturn there as far back as fall '05, but it has progressed slowly. I drove around with him to check some properties out about 7 months ago, and prices had clearly come a little off their highs. Since then, they have continued a slow-motion descent, although nicer, more expensive properties have fared better than entry-level (so average statistics might not show that very well). My friend, who is quite an honest agent, recommended waiting to buy, as least until after the summer selling season flop. A lot of new construction continues to go on in Vancouver, Camas, Washougal, and Ridgefield.
There is one blog:
Portland Real Estate Blog, which has a smidgen of bubble coverage, but not much.
I couldn't even find any MLS data. If anyone can show me where to find MLS archives for Portland, that would be cool.
Vancouver: There is no there there.
Predictions for the coming year show a small price decline in the next year: http://money.cnn.com/2007/04/09/real_es ... /index.htm
Case/Shiller shows a smaller increase this year with a decline in prices possibly underway: http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pd ... eprice.pdf
Inventory up 87%, flat prices, and a glass jaw economy. Could be some pretty good bargains down there in 1-2 years.
By the way, I'm a little amused that some here view Portland to be much less desirable than Seattle as a place to live. To each his/her own, but I actually feel the reverse is true (not by much, since they are more similar than different). Take traffic and cost of living, for instance. It's sometimes said that Portland is like Seattle ten years ago (sure, that's debatable), and some here have claimed that Seattle was more pleasant a while back. Just my humble opinion... I could be wrong!
Personally, I think Portland's much prettier. I have relatives down there who keep trying to sell me on moving down to PDX. If I could make at least 80% of what I make here currently, I would come out ahead.
I live in Seattle because the job search after college (3 years ago) was a lot easier to do locally than long-distance down in Portland...UW business school alumnus.