map of nonprime mortgages

edited April 2008 in Housing Bubble
The NY Fed has started to offer a dynamic map of nonprime Mortgage Conditions in the United States.

Linky:
Dynamic Maps of Nonprime Mortgage Conditions in the United States
http://www.newyorkfed.org/mortgagemaps/

Comments

  • All that unnecessary graphic and long load time is killing me!!!

    But very interesting page and if only I can view the source directly.
  • It's slow for me also. If I'm not mistaken, that page was only posted today. With the press release about it sent this morning. The site may be experiencing extra heave traffic due to the "slash dot" effect.
  • Wow!

    Stats for WA:
    ARMs 71%
    Delinquent 5.6%
    In Foreclosure 4.8%
    Median LTV 90%
    low FICO or high LTV 12%
    low or no doc 27%
    ARM resets in 12 months 42%
    Late payment in last 12 months 37%
  • That's not correct, that's more like a certain city in WA. Anyhow, damn thing is too slow and I rather see source!

    Plus that's for subprime as oppose to alt-a or A loan. I don't think it offers statewide data.
  • I put in my zip code and that is the data it gave me. If that is actually local data then maybe Bellevue isn't such a great place to own property after all.
  • You can switch between Alt-a and subprime.
  • I don't think this data is all that crazy. Keep in mind that all those "share" percentages are out of subprime/alt-a owner occupied loans only. So the data Alan posted is saying 4.8% of subprime owner occupied loans are in foreclosure, 71% of subprime owner occupied loans are ARMs, etc. It also shows that 2.42% of the Washington's housing units are subprime owner occupied loans ("Loans per 1000 housing units: 24.2"). Thus, 0.11616% of Washington housing units are subprime owner occupied loans in foreclosure. It's not good, but it's not that bad either.
  • The most interesting piece of data from this site is the number showing that only 75.1% of Washington non-prime mortgages are current. Are 24.9% of all Washington non-prime mortgages in some form of delinquency (94.2% of Alt-A loans are current)?

    Wow! And Washington state has barely seen any depreciation yet. As appreciation rates slip deeper into negative territory those delinquencies are going to skyrocket, just have they have everywhere else.
  • Dave0 wrote:
    It also shows that 2.42% of the Washington's housing units are subprime owner occupied loans ("Loans per 1000 housing units: 24.2").

    Is that right? I thought something like 1/4th - 1/3rd of all King County mortgages were non-prime...but I don't have a resource for that, I'm just going off the top of my head.
  • I'm just going off the top of my head.
    Of course it cannot be correct.
  • I'd like to see a map that had all the "kinky" mortgages in general. Were there "prime" option ARMs, I/O, Stated income etc?

    I'd also like to break it down by year to see what the % of these types of loans were used for 2004-2007 so we aren't including all the people that may have purchased 10+ years ago. These statistics also include people who are paying the last year of their 30 year fixed from a 1978 purchase.
  • EconE wrote:
    I'd like to see a map that had all the "kinky" mortgages in general. Were there "prime" option ARMs, I/O, Stated income etc?

    I'd also like to break it down by year to see what the % of these types of loans were used for 2004-2007 so we aren't including all the people that may have purchased 10+ years ago. These statistics also include people who are paying the last year of their 30 year fixed from a 1978 purchase.

    Not possible. Actual hard data would further accelerate the deterioration of this godforsaken real estate market.
  • Ubersalad wrote:
    Not possible. Actual hard data would further accelerate the deterioration of this godforsaken real estate market.

    Has anyone noticed the similarity between voodoo credit and quantum mechanics? This will sound out there, but allow me to elaborate for a minute. One essential concept in quantum mechanics is that the full state of the system can never be known with arbitrary accuracy. A common example is you cannot calculate the velocity and position of an electron moving around an atom. Not just because we lack the technology, but because measuring the position would affect the speed.

    This has a somewhat shocking corollary to the credit crunch - just replace position with value and velocity with appreciation (positive or negative). You cannot measure the asset prices without changing their appreciation, because of the general disconnect from reality. Indeed, the value seems to live in this hidden dimension where it cannot be directly measured at all, but rather must be speculated about in a probabilistic manner. Either that, or statements can only be made in the most general of terms, "prices seem a bit high and they seem to be declining".

    Einstein famously denied that physics might work probabilistically (he was wrong by the way).
    Einstein wrote:
    God does not play dice with the universe.
    Today he might have added that Greenspan and Bernake do, however, play dice.
  • In simple term...live, eat, drink and die. Rest is beyond you and I.
  • Those stats seem pretty much right on with what others have shown. Its not super bad yet.
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