{"id":103284,"date":"2015-10-21T10:18:52","date_gmt":"2015-10-21T17:18:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=103284"},"modified":"2015-10-26T14:30:11","modified_gmt":"2015-10-26T21:30:11","slug":"seattle-housing-market-hotter-than-ever-in-2015","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/10\/21\/seattle-housing-market-hotter-than-ever-in-2015\/","title":{"rendered":"Seattle Housing Market Hotter Than Ever in 2015"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;d like to introduce a new chart. The &#8220;Residential Real Estate Heat Index&#8221; is an index I&#8217;ve been calculating for a few years, that originally was part of the now-defunct Sound Housing Quarterly newsletter. It rolls changes in the median price, new listings, total inventory, pending sales and closed sales all into a single number to measure the relative &#8220;heat&#8221; of the market.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what it looks like for King County single-family homes and condos.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Heat-Index_King_2015-Q3.png\" title=\"King County Residential Real Estate Heat Index\" rel=\"lightbox[103284]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Heat-Index_King_2015-Q3.png\" alt=\"King County Residential Real Estate Heat Index\" title=\"King County Residential Real Estate Heat Index\" width=\"915\" height=\"666\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-103287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Heat-Index_King_2015-Q3.png 915w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Heat-Index_King_2015-Q3-250x182.png 250w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Heat-Index_King_2015-Q3-350x255.png 350w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Heat-Index_King_2015-Q3-700x510.png 700w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Heat-Index_King_2015-Q3-673x490.png 673w, https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Heat-Index_King_2015-Q3-337x245.png 337w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 915px) 100vw, 915px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The last two quarters (April through September) of this year have seen the hottest local real estate market as far back as I have reliable data.<\/p>\n<p>At 81.8, the latest King County heat index is nearly <em>double<\/em> the average during the last bubble (42.6). As with the last bubble, the condo heat index is even more out of control, coming in at 115.6 in the third quarter (88 percent higher than the 61.4 average during the last bubble).<\/p>\n<p>Based on this measure, we are <strong>well<\/strong> into another bubble at this point. That said, there are still <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/03\/30\/welcome-to-housing-bubble-2-0\/\" title=\"Welcome to Housing Bubble 2.0\">many factors that are very different from last time<\/a>, so the only thing I know for sure is that this one won&#8217;t end the same way the last one did.<\/p>\n<p>If there&#8217;s enough interest, I can compile this chart for other counties as well. Also: If you&#8217;re a <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/membership\/\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Membership\">Seattle Bubble Member<\/a>, check the shared spreadsheet folder for the full data behind this chart.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size:85%; font-style:italic;\">[P.S. &#8211; I apologize for the light posting recently. It&#8217;s been very busy for me personally lately. Plus <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/the_tim\/status\/656689913321099264\" title=\"Latcka: 2003-2015\">my dog died<\/a>, so there&#8217;s that.]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;d like to introduce a new chart. The &#8220;Residential Real Estate Heat Index&#8221; is an index I&#8217;ve been calculating for a few years, that originally was part of the now-defunct Sound Housing Quarterly newsletter. It rolls changes in the median price, new listings, total inventory, pending sales and closed sales all into a single number to measure the relative &#8220;heat&#8221; of the market.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what it looks like for King County single-family homes and condos&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103287,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: Seattle Housing Market Hotter Than Ever in 2015","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[206,8,616],"tags":[1051,1091,599],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-103284","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-features","category-stats","category-counties","tag-another-bubble","tag-housing-bubble-2-0","tag-real-estate-heat-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Seattle Housing Market Hotter Than Ever in 2015 \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/10\/21\/seattle-housing-market-hotter-than-ever-in-2015\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Seattle Housing Market Hotter Than Ever in 2015 \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"I&#039;d like to introduce a new chart. 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