{"id":103485,"date":"2015-12-01T09:52:03","date_gmt":"2015-12-01T17:52:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=103485"},"modified":"2016-01-04T08:49:18","modified_gmt":"2016-01-04T16:49:18","slug":"november-stats-preview-listings-go","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/12\/01\/november-stats-preview-listings-go\/","title":{"rendered":"November Stats Preview: Where Did the Listings Go?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Get access to the full spreadsheets used to make the charts in this post by <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/membership\/\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Membership\">becoming a member of Seattle Bubble<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>November has come and gone, so let&#8217;s have a look at our monthly stats preview. First up, here&#8217;s the snapshot of all the data as far back as my historical information goes, with the latest, high, and low values highlighted for each series:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview-Sparklines_2015-11.png\" title=\"King &#038; Snhomish County Stats Preview\" alt=\"King &#038; Snhomish County Stats Preview\" width=\"600\" height=\"420\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/p>\n<p>Sales dropped significantly month-over-month, as is typical for this time of year. Inventory also fell, which is also normal for the season, but <strong>the month-over-month drop in homes for sale was the largest on record (since 2000) in both King and Snohomish Counties<\/strong>. Foreclosure notices in both counties were down from a month earlier.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->Next, let&#8217;s look at total home sales as measured by the number of &#8220;Warranty Deeds&#8221; filed with King County:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview_2015-11_Warranty-Deeds.png\" title=\"King County Warranty Deeds\" rel=\"lightbox[103485]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview_2015-11_Warranty-Deeds.png\" title=\"King County Warranty Deeds - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Warranty Deeds\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sales in King County slipped 22 percent between October and November (in 2014 they fell 23 percent over the same period), and were up 3 percent year-over-year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a look at Snohomish County Deeds, but keep in mind that Snohomish County files Warranty Deeds (regular sales) and Trustee Deeds (bank foreclosure repossessions) together under the category of &#8220;Deeds (except QCDS),&#8221; so this chart is not as good a measure of plain vanilla sales as the Warranty Deed only data we have in King County.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview-Sno_2015-11_Deeds.png\" title=\"Snohomish County Deeds\" rel=\"lightbox[103485]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview-Sno_2015-11_Deeds.png\" title=\"Snohomish County Deeds - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Snohomish County Deeds\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Deeds in Snohomish fell 20 percent month-over-month (vs. a 21 percent drop in the same period last year) and were up 4 percent from November 2014.<\/p>\n<p>Next, here&#8217;s Notices of Trustee Sale, which are an indication of the number of homes currently in <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/10\/03\/foreclosure-timeline-washington-state\/\" title=\"Foreclosure Timeline in Washington State\">the foreclosure process<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview_2015-11_Notices-Trustee-Sale.png\" title=\"King County Notices of Trustee Sale\" rel=\"lightbox[103485]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview_2015-11_Notices-Trustee-Sale.png\" title=\"King County Notices of Trustee Sale - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Notices of Trustee Sale\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview-Sno_2015-11_Notices-Trustee-Sale.png\" title=\"Snohomish County Notices of Trustee Sale\" rel=\"lightbox[103485]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview-Sno_2015-11_Notices-Trustee-Sale.png\" title=\"Snohomish County Notices of Trustee Sale - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Snohomish County Notices of Trustee Sale\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Foreclosure notices in King County were up 16 percent from a year ago despite being down 16 percent from a month earlier, and Snohomish County foreclosure notices were down 25 percent from last year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s another measure of foreclosures for King County, looking at Trustee Deeds, which is the type of document filed with the county when the bank actually repossesses a house through the trustee auction process.  Note that there are other ways for the bank to repossess a house that result in different documents being filed, such as when a borrower &#8220;turns in the keys&#8221; and files a &#8220;Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview_2015-11_Trustee-Deeds.png\" title=\"King County Trustee Deeds\" rel=\"lightbox[103485]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview_2015-11_Trustee-Deeds.png\" title=\"King County Trustee Deeds - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County Trustee Deeds\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trustee Deeds were down 45 percent from a year ago, and down 25 percent from a month ago.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, here&#8217;s an update of the inventory charts, updated with previous months&#8217; inventory data from the NWMLS.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview_2015-11_Active-Listings.png\" title=\"King County SFH Active Listings\" rel=\"lightbox[103485]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview_2015-11_Active-Listings.png\" title=\"King County SFH Active Listings - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King County SFH Active Listings\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview-Sno_2015-11_Active-Listings.png\" title=\"Snohomish County SFH Active Listings\" rel=\"lightbox[103485]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Preview-Sno_2015-11_Active-Listings.png\" title=\"Snohomish County SFH Active Listings - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Snohomish County SFH Active Listings\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Inventory fell dramatically in both counties month-over-month, more than is typical for this time of year. As a result, the year-over-year decline in each county hit its highest point since May 2013. King was down 37 percent from a year ago while Snohomish was down 28 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Note that most of the charts above are based on broad county-wide data that is available through a simple search of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.kingcounty.gov\/business\/Recorders.aspx\" title=\"King County Recorder's Office\">King County<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.snoco.org\/RecordedDocuments\/RealEstate\/SearchEntry.aspx\" title=\"Snohomish County Auditor\">Snohomish County<\/a> public records.  If you have additional stats you&#8217;d like to see in the preview, drop a line in the comments and I&#8217;ll see what I can do.<\/p>\n<p>Stay tuned later this month a for more detailed look at each of these metrics as the &#8220;official&#8221; data is released from various sources.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>November has come and gone, so let&#8217;s have a look at our monthly stats preview. First up, here&#8217;s the snapshot of all the data as far back as my historical information goes, with the latest, high, and low values highlighted for each series:<\/p>\n<p>Sales dropped significantly month-over-month, as is typical for this time of year. Inventory also fell, which is also normal for the season, but <strong>the month-over-month drop in homes for sale was the largest on record (since 2000) in both King and Snohomish Counties<\/strong>. Foreclosure notices in both counties were down from a month earlier&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103489,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: November Stats Preview: Where Did the Listings Go?","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[567,7,129,694,419,568,254,169,897,200,570,569],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-103485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-county-records","tag-foreclosures","tag-inventory","tag-king","tag-notice-of-trustee-sale","tag-preview","tag-sales","tag-snohomish","tag-sparklines","tag-statistics","tag-trustee-deeds","tag-warranty-deeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>November Stats Preview: Where Did the Listings Go? \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2015\/12\/01\/november-stats-preview-listings-go\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"November Stats Preview: Where Did the Listings Go? \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"November has come and gone, so let&#039;s have a look at our monthly stats preview. First up, here&#039;s the snapshot of all the data as far back as my historical information goes, with the latest, high, and low values highlighted for each series:  Sales dropped significantly month-over-month, as is typical for this time of year. Inventory also fell, which is also normal for the season, but the month-over-month drop in homes for sale was the largest on record (since 2000) in both King and Snohomish Counties. 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His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. 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