{"id":104021,"date":"2016-08-05T10:31:29","date_gmt":"2016-08-05T17:31:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=104021"},"modified":"2016-08-05T10:38:32","modified_gmt":"2016-08-05T17:38:32","slug":"nwmls-listings-inch-sales-dip-prices-slip","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2016\/08\/05\/nwmls-listings-inch-sales-dip-prices-slip\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Listings Inch Up, Sales Dip, Prices Slip"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Get access to the full spreadsheets used to make the charts in this and other posts, as well as a variety of additional insider benefits by <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/membership\/\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Membership\">becoming a member of Seattle Bubble<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>July market stats were published by the NWMLS yesterday. Here&#8217;s an excerpt from the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.northwestmls.com\/index.cfm?\/News--Information\" title=\"NWMLS Press Release\">NWMLS press release<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Some Brokers See Early Signs of &#8220;A More Balanced Market&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Home prices are still rising but the supply of homes is improving, prompting brokers to suggest some relief is in sight for would-be buyers. &#8220;We might actually be starting to move very slowly back toward a more balanced market,&#8221; said OB Jacobi, president of Windermere Real Estate, in commenting on July&#8217;s figures from Northwest Multiple Listing Service.<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\n&#8220;We are experiencing a record breaking market,&#8221; exclaimed J. Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO of John L. Scott, Inc. &#8220;Last month was the best July in history in the Puget Sound real estate market. We&#8217;re in a frenzy hot market with a large backlog of buyers.&#8221; He credits improving inventory with spurring sales. &#8220;That additional inventory gave us the boost to not only be able to claim an all-time, best ever July, but to also position the last three months as the best in history for [pending] sales activity in the Puget Sound region.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Slow down and take a breath, Lennox. Sheesh. Anyway, you didn&#8217;t come here to read hyperventilating home salesmen. You came here for the data, so let&#8217;s get on with the stats.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" style=\"width:450px;\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">July 2016<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>3,554<\/td>\n<td>+11.9%<\/td>\n<td>+0.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,803<\/td>\n<td>-3.1%<\/td>\n<td>-3.3%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.33<\/td>\n<td>-1.3%<\/td>\n<td>+13.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>3,198<\/td>\n<td>-4.9%<\/td>\n<td>+&lt;0.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>1.27<\/td>\n<td>+15.5%<\/td>\n<td>+3.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$555,000<\/td>\n<td>-3.2%<\/td>\n<td>+14.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2016\/07\/06\/nwmls-listings-inching-sales-flatten\/\" title=\"NWMLS: Listings Inching Up As Sales Flatten\">Last month I said that we might hit &#8220;positive year-over-year territory by the end of this month&#8221;<\/a> and sure enough, here we are. In July, for the first time since September 2014, inventory did <em>not<\/em> set a new record low for the respective month. We still have a <em>long<\/em> way to go to get to anything remotely resembling a balanced market, but you can&#8217;t walk around the world until you take the first step.<\/p>\n<p>Prices dipped slightly from June to July, and closed sales were down both month-over-month and year-over-year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSFHClosed2016-07.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104021]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSFHClosed2016-07.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales fell 3 percent from June to July, and were also down 3 percent from a year earlier.<\/p>\n<p>Pending sales dropped off a bit again in July (they set an all-time high in May), and were basically flat year-over-year (there was one more pending sale this July than in July 2015).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSFHPending2016-07.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104021]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSFHPending2016-07.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSFHInventory2016-07.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104021]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSFHInventory2016-07.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is the first year-over-year increase we&#8217;ve seen in inventory since August 2014.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2016-07.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104021]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2016-07.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The blue supply line crossed into positive territory finally, just barely. Meanwhile the red demand line turned back down just barely, reversing the trend of recent months.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSFHPrices2016-07.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104021]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSFHPrices2016-07.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Year-over-year price growth was basically unchanged at 14 percent in July.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2016-07.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104021]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2016-07.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>July 2016: $555,000<br \/>\nJuly 2007: $481,000 <em>(previous cycle high)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s this month&#8217;s article from the Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/business\/real-estate\/as-home-prices-surge-new-seattle-condos-flip-for-big-profit-before-they-even-open\/\" title=\"Owners flip new Seattle condos for big profit before they even open\">Owners flip new Seattle condos for big profit before they even open<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back on Monday for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Get access to the full spreadsheets used to make the charts in this and other posts, as well as a variety of additional insider benefits by becoming a member of Seattle Bubble. July market stats were published by the NWMLS yesterday. Here&#8217;s an excerpt from the NWMLS press release: Some Brokers See Early Signs of&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104025,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Listings Inch Up, Sales Dip, Prices Slip","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[1158],"class_list":["post-104021","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Listings Inch Up, Sales Dip, Prices Slip \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2016\/08\/05\/nwmls-listings-inch-sales-dip-prices-slip\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Listings Inch Up, Sales Dip, Prices Slip \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Get access to the full spreadsheets used to make the charts in this and other posts, as well as a variety of additional insider benefits by becoming a member of Seattle Bubble. 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