{"id":104101,"date":"2016-10-05T14:03:13","date_gmt":"2016-10-05T21:03:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=104101"},"modified":"2016-10-06T10:49:24","modified_gmt":"2016-10-06T17:49:24","slug":"nwmls-listings-prices-august-september","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2016\/10\/05\/nwmls-listings-prices-august-september\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Listings Up, Prices Down August To September"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Get access to the full spreadsheets used to make the charts in this and other posts, as well as a variety of additional insider benefits by <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/membership\/\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Membership\">becoming a member of Seattle Bubble<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>September market stats were published by the NWMLS today. The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.northwestmls.com\/index.cfm?\/News--Information\" title=\"NWMLS Press Release\">NWMLS press release<\/a> has not been published yet, so we&#8217;ll take a look at that tomorrow.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" style=\"width:450px;\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">September 2016<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>3,699<\/td>\n<td>+8.2%<\/td>\n<td>+8.7%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,517<\/td>\n<td>-9.8%<\/td>\n<td>+6.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.22<\/td>\n<td>+1.1%<\/td>\n<td>+12.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,921<\/td>\n<td>-8.6%<\/td>\n<td>+6.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>1.47<\/td>\n<td>+19.9%<\/td>\n<td>+2.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$538,000<\/td>\n<td>-2.2%<\/td>\n<td>+9.7%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>After a month when everything was moving in sellers&#8217; favor, September was much more of a mixed bag. Listings saw their largest year-over-year increase since May 2014, pushing months of supply up slightly as pending and closed sales both fell from August.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed2016-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104101]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed2016-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales fell ten percent from August to September, but were still up 6 percent from a year earlier.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSFHPending2016-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104101]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSFHPending2016-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pending sales fell nine percent in September, but were also up 6 percent year-over-year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSFHInventory2016-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104101]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSFHInventory2016-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Listings are up nine percent from a year earlier and 110 percent from the December 2015 low. Last year listings fell dramatically between September and December, it will be interesting to see what the next few months holds this year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2016-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104101]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2016-09.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Supply moved back to the buyer&#8217;s side of the chart, but demand is still on the seller&#8217;s side.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSFHPrices2016-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104101]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSFHPrices2016-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Prices were up from a year earlier by about the same as they were last month&mdash;ten percent.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2016-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104101]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2016-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>September 2016: $538,000<br \/>\nJuly 2007: $481,000 <em>(previous cycle high)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The Seattle Times hasn&#8217;t posted their article yet. I&#8217;ll most likely post some kind of reporting roundup tomorrow with that and any other local stories about the September data.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s this month&#8217;s article from the Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/business\/real-estate\/seattle-home-prices-slow-their-climb-but-shortage-of-inspectors-raises-anxiety\/\" title=\"Seattle home prices slow their climb, but shortage of inspectors raises anxiety\">Seattle home prices slow their climb, but shortage of inspectors raises anxiety<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>September market stats were published by the NWMLS today. The NWMLS press release has not been published yet, so we&#8217;ll take a look at that tomorrow.<\/p>\n<p>After a month when everything was moving in sellers&#8217; favor, September was much more of a mixed bag. Listings saw their largest year-over-year increase since May 2014, pushing months of supply up slightly as pending and closed sales both fell from August&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104106,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Listings Up, Prices Down August To September","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[1158],"class_list":["post-104101","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Listings Up, Prices Down August To September \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2016\/10\/05\/nwmls-listings-prices-august-september\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Listings Up, Prices Down August To September \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"September market stats were published by the NWMLS today. 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