{"id":104781,"date":"2017-09-07T08:44:50","date_gmt":"2017-09-07T15:44:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=104781"},"modified":"2017-09-07T08:45:50","modified_gmt":"2017-09-07T15:45:50","slug":"nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/09\/07\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Seattle housing market shows no signs of slowing in August"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Get access to the full spreadsheets used to make the charts in this and other posts, as well as a variety of additional insider benefits by <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/membership\/\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Membership\">becoming a member of Seattle Bubble<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>August market stats have been published by the NWMLS. Here&#8217;s a quick excerpt from their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.northwestmls.com\/index.cfm?\/News--Information\" title=\"NWMLS Press Release\">press release<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;For August, we experienced a more robust market than anticipated,&#8221; remarked Diedre Hanes, principal managing broker-South Snohomish County at Coldwell Banker Bain in Lynnwood. &#8220;Compared to years past, we&#8217;ve seen very limited slowdown,&#8221; she added.<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\n&#8220;Nobody likes this market, &#8211; not sellers, not buyers, not real estate brokers,&#8221; proclaimed Northwest MLS director Dick Beeson. The reasons vary, he explained. &#8220;Sellers aren&#8217;t necessarily happy because they think they could be leaving money on the table. Buyers think they&#8217;re paying too much. And brokers think sales are more complex and fraught with peril than previously, making them harder to close.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Beeson, the principal managing broker at RE\/MAX Professionals in Gig Harbor, believes Seattle and surrounding areas are &#8220;forever changed&#8221; by this market. &#8220;The change isn&#8217;t going to be painless. Housing scarcity and increasing prices are sore spots.&#8221; Whether price increases will subside is anyone&#8217;s guess, he added.<\/p>\n<p>Prices aren&#8217;t the only worry, suggested Haines. She said low appraisals occur on about one of every three sales. &#8220;The low appraisal number remains consistent at $25,000-to-$30,000 below sales price when it occurs. It makes one wonder why &#8211; coincidence or something else?&#8221; she stated.<\/p>\n<p>Haines noted multiple offers are continuing, but added a note of caution to sellers: &#8220;Overpriced listings are not getting showings or offers. Buyers are well educated and well informed, which definitely eases fears of a developing bubble.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;Everyone who is buying right now is so smart! What a great decision to buy a home in this market, no matter the price!&#8221; As if a home salesman is going to come out in a press release and suggest that buyers are ignorant and making stupid decisions. I&#8217;m not saying that&#8217;s the case for buyers today, but if it were, would agents ever say it? Of course not.<\/p>\n<p>Now let&#8217;s dive into the numbers for August.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" style=\"width:450px;\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">August 2017<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>2,820<\/td>\n<td>-2.7%<\/td>\n<td>-17.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,797<\/td>\n<td>+2.6%<\/td>\n<td>+0.3%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.20<\/td>\n<td>-5.7%<\/td>\n<td>-0.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>3,073<\/td>\n<td>+4.2%<\/td>\n<td>-3.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>1.01<\/td>\n<td>-5.1%<\/td>\n<td>-17.7%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$650,000<\/td>\n<td>-1.2%<\/td>\n<td>+18.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Every month I hope to see some good news for buyers in the numbers. Every month I am disappointed. Listings are still in short supply, sales are strong, and prices just keep going up at a breakneck pace. Sorry, buyers.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHClosed_2017-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104781]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHClosed_2017-08.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales increased three percent between July and August. Last year over the same period closed sales decreased half a percent. Year-over-year closed sales were up less than a percent.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHPending_2017-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104781]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHPending_2017-08.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pending sales rose four percent from July to AUgust, and were down four percent year-over-year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHInventory_2017-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104781]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHInventory_2017-08.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Inventory fell three percent from July to August, and was down seventeen percent from a year earlier.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the chart of new listings:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH New Listings\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHNewListings_2017-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104781]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH New Listings - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHNewListings_2017-08.png\" alt=\"King County SFH New Listings\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>New listings were down five percent month-over-month, and up just slightly from last year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct_2017-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104781]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct_2017-08.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Still the same story we&#8217;ve seen for a while. Great time to be a seller, terrible time to be a buyer.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHPrices_2017-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104781]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHPrices_2017-08.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Year-over-year price changes slowed just barely between July and August but still sit at a very high level.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly_2017-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104781]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly_2017-08.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Down slightly from July, but very close to the all-time high.<\/p>\n<p>August 2017: $650,000<br \/>\nJuly 2007: $481,000 <em>(previous cycle high)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the article from the Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/business\/real-estate\/king-county-home-prices-surge-18-percent-most-on-record-for-this-time-of-year\/\" title=\"King County home prices surge 18 percent, most on record for this time of year\">King County home prices surge 18 percent, most on record for this time of year<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Every month I hope to see some good news for buyers in the numbers. Every month I am disappointed. Listings are still in short supply, sales are strong, and prices just keep going up at a breakneck pace. Sorry, buyers&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104784,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Seattle housing market shows no signs of slowing in August","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[1158],"class_list":["post-104781","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Seattle housing market shows no signs of slowing in August \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/09\/07\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Seattle housing market shows no signs of slowing in August \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Every month I hope to see some good news for buyers in the numbers. 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Sorry, buyers...","twitter_image":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly_2017-08.png","twitter_creator":"@The_Tim","twitter_site":"@SeattleBubble","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"The Tim","Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/09\/07\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august\/","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/09\/07\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august\/","name":"NWMLS: Seattle housing market shows no signs of slowing in August \u2022 Seattle Bubble","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/09\/07\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/09\/07\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly_2017-08.png","datePublished":"2017-09-07T15:44:50+00:00","dateModified":"2017-09-07T15:45:50+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/09\/07\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/09\/07\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/09\/07\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly_2017-08.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly_2017-08.png","width":915,"height":666},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/09\/07\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-shows-no-signs-slowing-august\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"NWMLS: Seattle housing market shows no signs of slowing in August"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/","name":"Seattle Bubble","description":"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f","name":"The Tim","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","caption":"The Tim"},"description":"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. 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