{"id":104845,"date":"2017-10-06T16:31:31","date_gmt":"2017-10-06T23:31:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=104845"},"modified":"2017-10-06T16:31:31","modified_gmt":"2017-10-06T23:31:31","slug":"nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/10\/06\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Seattle housing market still giving the finger to buyers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Get access to the full spreadsheets used to make the charts in this and other posts, as well as a variety of additional insider benefits by <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/membership\/\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Membership\">becoming a member of Seattle Bubble<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>September market stats have been published by the NWMLS. Here&#8217;s a quick excerpt from their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.northwestmls.com\/index.cfm?\/News--Information\" title=\"NWMLS Press Release\">press release<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>MLS Brokers Detecting Seasonal Slowdown in Some Areas But Expect Price Hikes to Continue in Much of Washington<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;October will be the best month for selection and availability until late February,&#8221; proclaimed J. Lennox Scott when commenting on the latest statistics from Northwest Multiple Listing Service.<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\n&#8220;The pressure cooker for the housing market continues as the typical seasonal market comes into play for new listings coming on the market,&#8221; stated Scott, the chairman and CEO of John L. Scott. He noted new listings during September and October typically shrink 30 percent &#8211; and even more during the winter months &#8211; when compared to spring and summer months.<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\nBuyers may be emerging on news of slightly improving supply. &#8220;For only the second time this year the available inventory was over the one-month mark in King County,&#8221; said John Deely. &#8220;A notable number of new listings went past their offer review date, and more listings had price reductions.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The only way that buyers may be &#8220;emerging on news of slightly improving supply&#8221; is if said buyers are delusional. Supply is not improving. It is still at the lowest level it has ever been for this time of year.<\/p>\n<p>Now let&#8217;s dive into the numbers for September.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" style=\"width:450px;\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">September 2017<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>3,104<\/td>\n<td>+10.1%<\/td>\n<td>-16.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,512<\/td>\n<td>-10.2%<\/td>\n<td>-0.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.17<\/td>\n<td>-2.7%<\/td>\n<td>-3.9%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,736<\/td>\n<td>-11.0%<\/td>\n<td>-6.3%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>1.24<\/td>\n<td>+22.6%<\/td>\n<td>-15.9%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$625,000<\/td>\n<td>-3.8%<\/td>\n<td>+16.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Still no good news for buyers. Listings are scarce, sales are strong, and prices dipped, but no more than they do every year in the second half of the year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed_2017-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104845]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed_2017-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales fell ten percent between August and September. Last year over the same period closed sales also decreased ten percent. Year-over-year closed sales were down less than a percent.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHPending_2017-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104845]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHPending_2017-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pending sales fell eleven percent from August to September, and were down six percent year-over-year. It&#8217;s rather odd that for 2017 year-to-date, pending sales have been down an average of 3.8 percent from a year earlier, but closed sales have been <em>up<\/em> an average of 2.8 percent. There&#8217;s something strange about that.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHInventory_2017-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104845]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHInventory_2017-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Inventory rose ten percent from August to September, but was still down sixteen percent from a year earlier.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the chart of new listings:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH New Listings\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHNewListings_2017-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104845]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH New Listings - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHNewListings_2017-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH New Listings\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>New listings were down two percent month-over-month, and down four percent from last year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct_2017-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104845]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct_2017-09.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Nothing new here unfortunately. As it has been for a few years now, it&#8217;s a great time to be a seller and a terrible time to be a buyer.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHPrices_2017-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104845]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHPrices_2017-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Year-over-year price changes fell a couple points between August and September but still sit at a very high level.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly_2017-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[104845]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly_2017-09.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Down slightly from August, but still quite close to the all-time high.<\/p>\n<p>September 2017: $625,000<br \/>\nJuly 2007: $481,000 <em>(previous cycle high)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Here are a few articles about this month&#8217;s numbers from local news outlets:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Seattle Times: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/business\/real-estate\/what-its-like-to-buy-and-sell-a-house-in-seattles-craziest-ever-market\/\" title=\"What it\u2019s like to buy and sell a house in Seattle\u2019s craziest-ever market\">What it\u2019s like to buy and sell a house in Seattle\u2019s craziest-ever market<\/a><\/li>\n<li>GeekWire: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.geekwire.com\/2017\/hot-seattles-real-estate-market-boarded-house-no-bedrooms-595k\/\" title=\"How hot is Seattle\u2019s real estate market? This boarded up house with no bedrooms is $595K\">How hot is Seattle\u2019s real estate market? This boarded up house with no bedrooms is $595K<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Everett Herald: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.heraldnet.com\/business\/housing-market-still-hot-in-county-despite-signs-of-seasonal-slowdown\/\" title=\"Housing market still hot in county despite signs of seasonal slowdown\">Housing market still hot in county despite signs of seasonal slowdown<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>September market stats have been published by the NWMLS. Still no good news for buyers. Listings are scarce, sales are strong, and prices dipped, but no more than they do every year in the second half of the year\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Seattle housing market still giving the finger to buyers","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[1158],"class_list":["post-104845","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Seattle housing market still giving the finger to buyers \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/10\/06\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Seattle housing market still giving the finger to buyers \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"September market stats have been published by the NWMLS. Still no good news for buyers. Listings are scarce, sales are strong, and prices dipped, but no more than they do every year in the second half of the year\u2026\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/10\/06\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/10\/06\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers\/\",\"name\":\"NWMLS: Seattle housing market still giving the finger to buyers \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/10\/06\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/10\/06\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed_2017-09.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-10-06T23:31:31+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/10\/06\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/10\/06\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/10\/06\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed_2017-09.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed_2017-09.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2017\/10\/06\/nwmls-seattle-housing-market-still-giving-finger-buyers\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"NWMLS: Seattle housing market still giving the finger to buyers\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. 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