{"id":105090,"date":"2018-04-03T11:17:02","date_gmt":"2018-04-03T18:17:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=105090"},"modified":"2018-09-26T10:07:59","modified_gmt":"2018-09-26T17:07:59","slug":"consumer-confidence-pushing-levels-not-seen-since-the-dot-com-bust","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/03\/consumer-confidence-pushing-levels-not-seen-since-the-dot-com-bust\/","title":{"rendered":"Consumer Confidence at levels not seen since the dot-com bust"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s been quite a while since we last checked in on Consumer Confidence and mortgage interest rates, so let&#8217;s take a look at an update to those charts.<\/p>\n<p>First up, here&#8217;s the Consumer Confidence data <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conference-board.org\/press\/pressdetail.cfm?pressid=7373\" title=\"The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index Declined in March\">as of March<\/a>:<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 0pt auto; height: auto\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/Consumer-Confidence_2018-03.png\" title=\"Consumer Confidence\" rel=\"lightbox[105090]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/Consumer-Confidence_2018-03.png\" alt=\"Consumer Confidence\" title=\"Consumer Confidence\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p>The overall Consumer Confidence Index currently sits at 127.7, down two percent in a month and up two percent from a year ago. The current levels are higher than any point since late 2000, just as the dot-com bubble was bursting.<\/p>\n<p>At 159.9, the Present Situation Index fell one percent between February and March, and is up eleven percent from a year earlier.  The Present Situation Index is currently up 695 percent from its December 2009 low point, and is up sixteen percent from its pre-bust peak in July 2007.<\/p>\n<p>The Expectations Index also declined slightly in March, down three percent from February, and is down from a year earlier by five percent.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your chart of home mortgage 30-year interest rates <a href=\"http:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/releases\/h15\/data.htm\" title=\"FRB: H.15 Release--Selected Interest Rates--Historical Data\">via the Federal Reserve<\/a>:<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 0pt auto; height: auto\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/Interest-Rates_2018-03.png\" title=\"Mortgage Interest Rates\" rel=\"lightbox[105090]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/Interest-Rates_2018-03.png\" alt=\"Mortgage Interest Rates\" title=\"Mortgage Interest Rates\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p>As of last week, the 30-year mortgage rate was at 4.44 percent, and has been climbing steadily since last September. Current interest rates are roughly on par with where they were in August 2011 and still <em>two points<\/em> below the 6.41 percent average rate during the height of the housing bubble through 2006.<\/p>\n<p>With the Federal Reserve finally raising rates, it is likely that mortgage rates will follow suit later this year. We may finally be past the days of sub-four-percent rates.<\/p>\n<p><em>Click below for the interactive Consumer Confidence chart in Tableau.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><!--more-->You can use the sliders under the interactive chart below to zoom in on the data for a specific period.<\/p>\n<div class='tableauPlaceholder' id='viz1522776140240' style='position: relative'>\n\t<noscript><br \/>\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/03\/consumer-confidence-pushing-levels-not-seen-since-the-dot-com-bust\/'><img alt='Consumer Confidence Index ' src='https:&#47;&#47;public.tableau.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Co&#47;Consumer-Confidence&#47;ConsumerConfidenceIndex&#47;1_rss.png' style='border: none' \/><\/a><br \/>\n\t<\/noscript><br \/>\n\t<object class='tableauViz'  style='display:none;'><param name='host_url' value='https%3A%2F%2Fpublic.tableau.com%2F' \/><param name='embed_code_version' value='3' \/><param name='site_root' value='' \/><param name='name' value='Consumer-Confidence&#47;ConsumerConfidenceIndex' \/><param name='tabs' value='no' \/><param name='toolbar' value='yes' \/><param name='static_image' value='https:&#47;&#47;public.tableau.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Co&#47;Consumer-Confidence&#47;ConsumerConfidenceIndex&#47;1.png' \/><param name='animate_transition' value='yes' \/><param name='display_static_image' value='yes' \/><param name='display_spinner' value='yes' \/><param name='display_overlay' value='yes' \/><param name='display_count' value='yes' \/><param name='filter' value='publish=yes' \/><\/object>\n<\/div>\n<p><script type='text\/javascript'>\n\tvar divElement = document.getElementById('viz1522776140240');\n\tvar vizElement = divElement.getElementsByTagName('object')[0];\n\tvizElement.style.width='700px';vizElement.style.height='627px';\n\tvar scriptElement = document.createElement('script');\n\tscriptElement.src = 'https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js';\n\tvizElement.parentNode.insertBefore(scriptElement, vizElement);\n<\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s been quite a while since we last checked in on Consumer Confidence and mortgage interest rates, so let&#8217;s take a look at an update to those charts.<\/p>\n<p>The overall Consumer Confidence Index currently sits at 127.7, down two percent in a month and up two percent from a year ago. The current levels are higher than any point since late 2000, just as the dot-com bubble was bursting\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105094,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: Consumer Confidence pushing levels not seen since the dot-com bust","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,25],"tags":[604,1115,959,223],"coauthors":[1158],"class_list":["post-105090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-economy","tag-consumer-confidence","tag-economy","tag-googlecharts","tag-interest-rates"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Consumer Confidence at levels not seen since the dot-com bust \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/03\/consumer-confidence-pushing-levels-not-seen-since-the-dot-com-bust\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Consumer Confidence at levels not seen since the dot-com bust \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"It&#039;s been quite a while since we last checked in on Consumer Confidence and mortgage interest rates, so let&#039;s take a look at an update to those charts.  The overall Consumer Confidence Index currently sits at 127.7, down two percent in a month and up two percent from a year ago. 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