{"id":105103,"date":"2018-04-06T09:56:09","date_gmt":"2018-04-06T16:56:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=105103"},"modified":"2018-04-06T09:56:09","modified_gmt":"2018-04-06T16:56:09","slug":"nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/06\/nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Prices surge as sales slip and inventory inches up"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Get access to the full spreadsheets used to make the charts in this and other posts, as well as a variety of additional insider benefits by <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/membership\/\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Membership\">becoming a member of Seattle Bubble<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>March market stats have been published by the NWMLS. Here&#8217;s a quick excerpt from their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.northwestmls.com\/index.cfm?\/News--Information\" title=\"NWMLS Press Release\">press release<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Housing Market Back to &#8220;Pressure Cooker Situation&#8221; But Brokers Remind Sellers &#8220;Pricing Is Still Important&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Job growth and a recent run-up in mortgage rates has created an &#8220;extremely intense market for each new listing,&#8221; stated J. Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate in commenting on the latest statistics from Northwest Multiple Listing Service.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;What used to be a quick action market for buyers is now, once again, an instant response market, and this has been the case since the first of the year,&#8221; remarked Scott, adding &#8220;This is especially true in the more affordable and mid-price ranges in all markets, and also pertains to luxury properties close to the job centers.&#8221;<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\n&#8220;We have returned to an extremely intense market for each new listing due to extremely strong job growth and eager buyers who want to purchase before interest rates go higher,&#8221; Scott reported. &#8220;The housing market is back to a pressure cooker situation and we are witnessing high levels of sales activity intensity for each new listing coming on the market,&#8221; he commented.<\/p>\n<p>Dick Beeson, principal managing broker at RE\/MAX Professionals in Tacoma, commented on the frustration many would-be homebuyers are experiencing. &#8220;I think this last quarter especially, many buyers are feeling like they brought a knife to a gunfight, there&#8217;s been so much competition to buy a home.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I&#8217;m honestly running out of snarky things to say about Lennox Scott and Dick Beeson&#8217;s endless breathless cheerleading.<\/p>\n<p>Now let&#8217;s dive into the numbers for March.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" style=\"width:450px;\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">March 2018<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>1,687<\/td>\n<td>+24.1%<\/td>\n<td>-0.9%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,883<\/td>\n<td>+34.2%<\/td>\n<td>-9.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.49<\/td>\n<td>+30.3%<\/td>\n<td>+17.7%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,710<\/td>\n<td>+43.1%<\/td>\n<td>-0.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>0.90<\/td>\n<td>-7.5%<\/td>\n<td>+9.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$689,950<\/td>\n<td>+6.2%<\/td>\n<td>+15.0%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Despite the big bump up in prices to a new all-time high, there is some good-ish news for home buyers in the March data. Compared to a year ago, new listings are up, total listings were basically flat, and sales were down. The overall market is still definitely heavily skewed toward sellers, but at least last month&#8217;s trends are finally moving a little bit in buyers&#8217; favor.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHClosed_2018-03.png\" rel=\"lightbox[105103]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHClosed_2018-03.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales rose thirty-four percent between February and March. Last year over the same period closed sales were up fifty-four percent. Year-over-year closed sales were down nine percent.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHPending_2018-03.png\" rel=\"lightbox[105103]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Pending Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHPending_2018-03.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Pending Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pending sales were up forty-three percent from February to March, and were down half a percent year-over-year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHInventory_2018-03.png\" rel=\"lightbox[105103]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHInventory_2018-03.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Inventory rose twenty-four percent from February to March, and was down just one percent from last year. Although it was a relatively small decrease, it still marks a new historic low point for March inventory.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the chart of new listings:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH New Listings\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHNewListings_2018-03.png\" rel=\"lightbox[105103]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH New Listings - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHNewListings_2018-03.png\" alt=\"King County SFH New Listings\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>New listings were up seven percent from a year ago.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph. &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct_2018-03.png\" rel=\"lightbox[105103]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct_2018-03.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The last few months the trend of increasing supply and decreasing demand on the year-over-year chart is at least a <em>little<\/em> hopeful for buyers.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHPrices_2018-03.png\" rel=\"lightbox[105103]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHPrices_2018-03.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Despite the new all-time high for prices, year-over-year price changes were down a bit from their recent high of nearly twenty percent in January.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly_2018-03.png\" rel=\"lightbox[105103]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly_2018-03.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>New all-time high. Pretty clearly I&#8217;ll need to update the axis on this chart very soon.<\/p>\n<p>March 2018: $689,950<br \/>\nJuly 2007: $481,000 <em>(previous cycle high)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the article from the Seattle Times: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/business\/real-estate\/home-prices-have-risen-fastest-in-south-seattle-as-citywide-median-nears-820000\/\" title=\"Home prices have risen fastest in South Seattle, as citywide median nears $820,000\">Home prices have risen fastest in South Seattle, as citywide median nears $820,000<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>March market stats have been published by the NWMLS&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Despite the big bump up in prices to a new all-time high, there is some good-ish news for home buyers in the March data. Compared to a year ago, new listings are up, total listings were basically flat, and sales were down. The overall market is still definitely heavily skewed toward sellers, but at least last month&#8217;s trends are finally moving a little bit in buyers&#8217; favor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105108,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Prices surge as sales slip and inventory inches up","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[1158],"class_list":["post-105103","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Prices surge as sales slip and inventory inches up \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/06\/nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Prices surge as sales slip and inventory inches up \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"March market stats have been published by the NWMLS...  Despite the big bump up in prices to a new all-time high, there is some good-ish news for home buyers in the March data. Compared to a year ago, new listings are up, total listings were basically flat, and sales were down. The overall market is still definitely heavily skewed toward sellers, but at least last month&#039;s trends are finally moving a little bit in buyers&#039; favor.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHClosed_2018-03.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/06\/nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/06\/nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up\/\",\"name\":\"NWMLS: Prices surge as sales slip and inventory inches up \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/06\/nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/06\/nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHClosed_2018-03.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-04-06T16:56:09+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/06\/nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/06\/nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/06\/nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHClosed_2018-03.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/KingCoSFHClosed_2018-03.png\",\"width\":907,\"height\":618},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/04\/06\/nwmls-prices-surge-as-sales-slip-and-inventory-inches-up\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"NWMLS: Prices surge as sales slip and inventory inches up\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. 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Despite the big bump up in prices to a new all-time high, there is some good-ish news for home buyers in the March data. Compared to a year ago, new listings are up, total listings were basically flat, and sales were down. 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