{"id":105371,"date":"2018-09-27T06:00:28","date_gmt":"2018-09-27T13:00:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=105371"},"modified":"2018-10-01T07:19:37","modified_gmt":"2018-10-01T14:19:37","slug":"consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/","title":{"rendered":"Consumer Confidence blows past 2007 highs, approaches 2000 levels"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Before the month is over, let&#8217;s check in in on the latest data from the Consumer Confidence Index.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the Consumer Confidence data <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conference-board.org\/press\/pressdetail.cfm?pressid=7546\" title=\"The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index Increased in September\">as of September<\/a>:<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 0pt auto; height: auto\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Consumer-Confidence_2018-09.png\" title=\"Consumer Confidence\" rel=\"lightbox[105371]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Consumer-Confidence_2018-09.png\" alt=\"Consumer Confidence\" title=\"Consumer Confidence\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p>The overall Consumer Confidence Index currently sits at 138.4, up three percent in a month and up fifteen percent from a year ago.<\/p>\n<p>At 173.1, the Present Situation Index increased less than one percent between August and September, and is up eighteen percent from a year earlier.  The Present Situation Index is currently up 757 percent from its December 2009 low point, and is now 25 percent higher than the pre-bust peak in July 2007.<\/p>\n<p>The Expectations Index also rose in September, up five percent from August, and is up from a year earlier by twelve percent.<\/p>\n<p>All three parts of the index are approaching the highs that they hit in 2000. It&#8217;s interesting to me that despite the apparent widespread confidence in both the present situation index and the expectations index we&#8217;re seeing a non-trivial drop-off in home sales this year, leading to a steady climb of inventory.<\/p>\n<p>If everyone is so confident about the economy, why would home sales be falling off? Again, I&#8217;m brought back to <a href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/20\/low-affordability-may-be-why-sales-are-stalling-out\/\" title=\"Low affordability may be why sales are stalling out\">near-record-low affordability levels<\/a>. It doesn&#8217;t matter how confident people are if they simply can&#8217;t <em>afford<\/em> to buy a home in their market.<\/p>\n<p><em>Click below for the interactive Consumer Confidence chart in Tableau.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><!--more-->You can use the sliders under the interactive chart below to zoom in on the data for a specific period.<\/p>\n<div style=\"height: 800px; margin: 0 auto;\">\n<div class='tableauPlaceholder' id='viz1537981261178' style='position: relative'>\n\t\t<noscript><br \/>\n\t\t\t<a href='https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/'><img alt='Consumer Confidence Index ' src='https:&#47;&#47;public.tableau.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Co&#47;Consumer-Confidence&#47;ConsumerConfidenceIndex&#47;1_rss.png' style='border: none' \/><\/a><br \/>\n\t\t<\/noscript><br \/>\n\t\t<object class='tableauViz'  style='display:none;'><param name='host_url' value='https%3A%2F%2Fpublic.tableau.com%2F' \/><param name='embed_code_version' value='3' \/><param name='site_root' value='' \/><param name='name' value='Consumer-Confidence&#47;ConsumerConfidenceIndex' \/><param name='tabs' value='no' \/><param name='toolbar' value='yes' \/><param name='static_image' value='https:&#47;&#47;public.tableau.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Co&#47;Consumer-Confidence&#47;ConsumerConfidenceIndex&#47;1.png' \/><param name='animate_transition' value='yes' \/><param name='display_static_image' value='yes' \/><param name='display_spinner' value='yes' \/><param name='display_overlay' value='yes' \/><param name='display_count' value='yes' \/><param name='filter' value='publish=yes' \/><\/object>\n\t<\/div>\n<p>\t<script type='text\/javascript'>\n\t\tvar divElement = document.getElementById('viz1537981261178');\n\t\tvar vizElement = divElement.getElementsByTagName('object')[0];\n\t\tvizElement.style.width='700px';vizElement.style.height='627px';\n\t\tvar scriptElement = document.createElement('script');\n\t\tscriptElement.src = 'https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js';\n\t\tvizElement.parentNode.insertBefore(scriptElement, vizElement);\n\t<\/script>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Before the month is over, let&#8217;s check in in on the latest data from the Consumer Confidence Index.<\/p>\n<p>The overall Consumer Confidence Index currently sits at 138.4, up three percent in a month and up fifteen percent from a year ago\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105380,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: Consumer Confidence blows past 2007 highs, approaches 2000 levels","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,25],"tags":[604,1115,223,531],"coauthors":[1158],"class_list":["post-105371","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-economy","tag-consumer-confidence","tag-economy","tag-interest-rates","tag-tableau"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Consumer Confidence blows past 2007 highs, approaches 2000 levels \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Consumer Confidence blows past 2007 highs, approaches 2000 levels \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Before the month is over, let&#039;s check in in on the latest data from the Consumer Confidence Index.  The overall Consumer Confidence Index currently sits at 138.4, up three percent in a month and up fifteen percent from a year ago\u2026\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Consumer-Confidence_2018-09.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/\",\"name\":\"Consumer Confidence blows past 2007 highs, approaches 2000 levels \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Consumer-Confidence_2018-09.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-09-27T13:00:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2018-10-01T14:19:37+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Consumer-Confidence_2018-09.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Consumer-Confidence_2018-09.png\",\"width\":1486,\"height\":901},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2018\/09\/27\/consumer-confidence-blows-past-2007-highs-approaches-2000-levels\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Consumer Confidence blows past 2007 highs, approaches 2000 levels\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. 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