{"id":12238,"date":"2010-08-24T09:00:27","date_gmt":"2010-08-24T16:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=12238"},"modified":"2011-04-08T12:41:10","modified_gmt":"2011-04-08T19:41:10","slug":"entry-level-home-sales-fell-furthest-in-july","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/24\/entry-level-home-sales-fell-furthest-in-july\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Entry Level&#8221; Home Sales Fell Furthest in July"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In order to get a little bit better of a feel for how the tax credit expiration is affecting the sales mix, let&#8217;s take another look at a histogram of single-family home sales in King County.<\/p>\n<p>To generate the chart below, I downloaded all the sales data for homes sold in King County from the beginning of the year through the end of July.  Since my data download puts late-reported sales into the month that the sale actually took place rather than <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/09\/misleading-nwmls-stats-hide-severity-of-sales-dropoff\/\" title=\"Misleading NWMLS Stats Hide Severity of Sales Dropoff\">in the month they were reported<\/a>, there is a slight difference in the number of sales I&#8217;m counting vs. what the NWMLS reports each month.<\/p>\n<p>The NWMLS reports showed 1,879 sales in June and 1,474 in July (a 22% MOM drop), while my data includes 2,008 sales in June and 1,425 in July (a 29% MOM drop).<\/p>\n<div style=\"width:600px;margin:0 auto;\">\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js\"><\/script><object class=\"tableauViz\" width=\"604\" height=\"669\" style=\"display:none;\"><param name=\"host_url\" value=\"http%3A%2F%2Fpublic.tableausoftware.com%2F\" \/><param name=\"name\" value=\"Just-Sales-Histogram&#47;Hist\" \/><param name=\"tabs\" value=\"no\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"no\" \/><param name=\"animate_transition\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_static_image\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_spinner\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_overlay\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"host_url\" value=\"http%3A%2F%2Fpublic.tableausoftware.com%2F\" \/><param name=\"animate_transition\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_static_image\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_spinner\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_overlay\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><noscript>Hist <br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/24\/entry-level-home-sales-fell-furthest-in-july\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Hist \" src=\"http:&#47;&#47;public.tableausoftware.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Ju&#47;Just-Sales-Histogram&#47;Hist&#47;1_rss.png\" height=\"100%\" \/><\/a><\/noscript><\/p>\n<div style=\"width:604px;height:22px;padding:0px 10px 0px 0px;color:black;font:normal 8pt verdana,helvetica,arial,sans-serif;\">\n<div style=\"float:right; padding-right:8px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tableausoftware.com\/public?ref=http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/views\/Just-Sales-Histogram\/Hist\" target=\"_blank\">Powered by Tableau<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>If you flip between June and July, you will see that while home sales dropped steeply in all price tiers between June and July, sales of homes priced $250k to $300k fell the furthest, falling from 292 in June to just 150 in July (a nearly 50% drop).<\/p>\n<p>Considering that the tax credit was primarily available to first-time homebuyers, it makes sense to see the $250k-$300k range take the biggest dive.  That&#8217;s about at the top of where I would expect most first-time homebuyers to be shopping, and it&#8217;s not surprising that the kind of buyers that are persuaded by an $8k check from the government would be buying the most expensive houses they can.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, when you remove a huge chunk of sales from a below-median price bracket, what happens to the median price?  It goes up, of course.  The median price of the 2,008 June sales I analyzed was $380,000, while the median of the 1,425 sales in July was $389,000.  That&#8217;s a 2.4% increase in a month (an over 30% yearly rate of increase), but it means absolutely nil about the value of any individual homes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In order to get a little bit better of a feel for how the tax credit expiration is affecting the sales mix, let&#8217;s take another look at a histogram of single-family home sales in King County. To generate the chart below, I downloaded all the sales data for homes sold in King County from the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[608,531],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-12238","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-histogram","tag-tableau"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>&quot;Entry Level&quot; Home Sales Fell Furthest in July \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/24\/entry-level-home-sales-fell-furthest-in-july\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"&quot;Entry Level&quot; Home Sales Fell Furthest in July \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"In order to get a little bit better of a feel for how the tax credit expiration is affecting the sales mix, let&#8217;s take another look at a histogram of single-family home sales in King County. To generate the chart below, I downloaded all the sales data for homes sold in King County from the...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"http:&#47;&#47;public.tableausoftware.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Ju&#47;Just-Sales-Histogram&#47;Hist&#47;1_rss.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/24\/entry-level-home-sales-fell-furthest-in-july\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/24\/entry-level-home-sales-fell-furthest-in-july\/\",\"name\":\"\\\"Entry Level\\\" Home Sales Fell Furthest in July \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2010-08-24T16:00:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2011-04-08T19:41:10+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/24\/entry-level-home-sales-fell-furthest-in-july\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/24\/entry-level-home-sales-fell-furthest-in-july\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/24\/entry-level-home-sales-fell-furthest-in-july\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"&#8220;Entry Level&#8221; Home Sales Fell Furthest in July\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. 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