{"id":12265,"date":"2010-08-26T09:20:31","date_gmt":"2010-08-26T16:20:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=12265"},"modified":"2010-08-26T09:20:31","modified_gmt":"2010-08-26T16:20:31","slug":"new-construction-price-premium-nearly-vanishes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/26\/new-construction-price-premium-nearly-vanishes\/","title":{"rendered":"New Construction Price Premium Nearly Vanishes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I was playing around with the sales data I&#8217;ve downloaded since April of last year when I noticed a noteworthy trend in the sales of new construction.  If you split each month&#8217;s sales into new construction and re-sales, then look at the median prices of each group separately, an interesting pattern emerges.<\/p>\n<p>What I&#8217;ve plotted below is each month&#8217;s new construction median sale price divided by the re-sale median, minus one.  The resulting &#8220;new construction premium&#8221; expresses how much more homebuyers are paying each month for new construction than re-sales.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/New-Construction-Premium_2010-07.png\" title=\"King Co. SFH New Construction Premium\" rel=\"lightbox[12265]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/New-Construction-Premium_2010-07-600x435.png\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King Co. SFH New Construction Premium - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"King Co. SFH New Construction Premium\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>For the 12-month period between April 2009 and March 2010, new construction was selling for about 20% more than re-sales, but beginning in April of this year, that difference shrank dramatically, falling to as little as 6% in July.<\/p>\n<p>With a swing that large, I&#8217;m inclined to question whether my data is correct or not, but with four months in a row telling the same story, I think there may be something real going on here.  Unfortunately my data only covers King County, so I am unable to easily see if this is a widespread trend, or just something brought on by one or two big developers slashing prices.<\/p>\n<p>My working theory right now is that this shrinking new construction premium is the result of a couple of factors.  I think part of it may be that some builders rapidly adjusting their strategies to succeed in the still-depressed housing market.  The other scenario that I think is in play here is builders that bought bank-owned land on the cheap from banks and are taking advantage of low materials and labor costs to put out a noticably less expensive product.<\/p>\n<p>Whatever the cause may be, it is definitely an interesting trend to keep an eye on if you&#8217;re interested in buying new construction.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I was playing around with the sales data I&#8217;ve downloaded since April of last year when I noticed a noteworthy trend in the sales of new construction. If you split each month&#8217;s sales into new construction and re-sales, then look at the median prices of each group separately, an interesting pattern emerges. What I&#8217;ve plotted&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[123,699],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-12265","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-construction","tag-new-construction"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>New Construction Price Premium Nearly Vanishes \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/26\/new-construction-price-premium-nearly-vanishes\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"New Construction Price Premium Nearly Vanishes \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"I was playing around with the sales data I&#8217;ve downloaded since April of last year when I noticed a noteworthy trend in the sales of new construction. 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