{"id":12752,"date":"2010-10-05T14:32:39","date_gmt":"2010-10-05T21:32:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=12752"},"modified":"2010-10-05T14:32:39","modified_gmt":"2010-10-05T21:32:39","slug":"nwmls-king-county-home-sales-drop-further-into-gutter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/10\/05\/nwmls-king-county-home-sales-drop-further-into-gutter\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: King County Home Sales Drop Further Into Gutter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>September market stats have been published by the NWMLS.  Here&#8217;s what they have to say about their numbers: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nwrealestate.com\/nwrpub\/common\/news.cfm\" title=\"&quot;Wise Buyers&quot; Taking Advantage of Chance to Get Stellar Homes\">&quot;Wise Buyers&quot; Taking Advantage of Chance to Get Stellar Homes<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>MLS director Pat Grimm, managing broker at Windermere RE\/Capitol Hill in Seattle, reports an upsurge in people looking at properties, particularly move-up buyers. He attributes some of that activity to homes &#8220;finally being priced competitively.&#8221;   The new pool of potential buyers are &#8220;getting their feet wet, but they&#8217;re taking their time before they jump in,&#8221; he commented.<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\n&#8220;There are many very wise buyers taking advantage of what may be a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity,&#8221; said Mike Skahen, whose real estate career spans nearly 30 years.  &#8220;We haven&#8217;t seen a summer like this in home sales since 1982 when interest rates were hovering around 16 percent,&#8221; he observed.<\/p>\n<p>Skahen, the owner and designated broker at Lake &#038; Company Real Estate in Seattle and a member of the NWMLS board of directors, said the buyers they&#8217;re seeing have good jobs with Google and Amazon. &#8220;They realize they have the chance to get stellar homes in great locations at 25 percent off what they were selling for three years ago and at interest rates approaching 4 percent.  I doubt you&#8217;ll see a market and selection better than right now,&#8221; he commented.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>So, as long as you have a good job with Google or Amazon, homes around Seattle are easy to buy.  Great.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">September 2010<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>10,390<\/td>\n<td>-1.5%<\/td>\n<td>+9.3%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,158<\/td>\n<td>-11.8%<\/td>\n<td>-28.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>2.75<\/td>\n<td>+22.2%<\/td>\n<td>+51.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,772<\/td>\n<td>-0.2%<\/td>\n<td>-22.6%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>5.77<\/td>\n<td>-1.3%<\/td>\n<td>+41.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$379,950<\/td>\n<td>0.0%<\/td>\n<td>-0.6%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> (<a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">Excel 2003 format<\/a>), but keep in mind the caution above.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed2010-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[12752]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed2010-09-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales have been turning in the worst numbers in over 10 years for three months in a row now.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/KingCoSFHInventory2010-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[12752]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/KingCoSFHInventory2010-09-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Definitely doesn&#8217;t look like we&#8217;ll break 11,000.  However, it looks like we&#8217;ll probably stay above last year&#8217;s levels through the end of the year at this pace.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  In place of the now-unreliable measure of pending sales, the &#8220;demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2010-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[12752]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2010-09-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pretty strongly in &#8220;buyer&#8217;s market&#8221; territory when you look at supply and demand.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/KingCoSFHPrices2010-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[12752]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/KingCoSFHPrices2010-09-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Oops, dipped back below zero there.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2010-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[12752]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2010-09-600x436.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>September is like some sort of confluence or something.  2005: $381,250  2009: $382,160  2010: $379,950.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the blurbs from the Seattle Times and P-I:<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.nwsource.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2013077973_homesales06.html\" title=\"King County home sales dry up with tax credit\">King County home sales dry up with tax credit<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle P-I: <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.seattlepi.com\/realestatenews\/archives\/223663.asp\" title=\"Seattle housing market grinding to a halt\">Seattle housing market grinding to a halt<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back tomorrow for the reporting roundup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>September market stats have been published by the NWMLS. Here&#8217;s what they have to say about their numbers: &quot;Wise Buyers&quot; Taking Advantage of Chance to Get Stellar Homes. MLS director Pat Grimm, managing broker at Windermere RE\/Capitol Hill in Seattle, reports an upsurge in people looking at properties, particularly move-up buyers. He attributes some of&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-12752","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: King County Home Sales Drop Further Into Gutter \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/10\/05\/nwmls-king-county-home-sales-drop-further-into-gutter\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: King County Home Sales Drop Further Into Gutter \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"September market stats have been published by the NWMLS. Here&#8217;s what they have to say about their numbers: &quot;Wise Buyers&quot; Taking Advantage of Chance to Get Stellar Homes. MLS director Pat Grimm, managing broker at Windermere RE\/Capitol Hill in Seattle, reports an upsurge in people looking at properties, particularly move-up buyers. 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