{"id":13614,"date":"2010-12-10T09:00:29","date_gmt":"2010-12-10T17:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=13614"},"modified":"2012-12-21T09:16:16","modified_gmt":"2012-12-21T17:16:16","slug":"friday-flashback-seattles-housing-bubble-all-star-team","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/10\/friday-flashback-seattles-housing-bubble-all-star-team\/","title":{"rendered":"Friday Flashback: Seattle&#8217;s Housing Bubble All-Star Team"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Rather than focus on just one article for today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/tag\/friday-flashback\/\" title=\"Friday Flashback series on Seattle Bubble\">Friday Flashback<\/a>, I thought it would be fun to highlight a montage of brief quotes from a handful of local real estate professionals.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"width:600px; margin: 0 auto 10px; border:2px solid #000000;\" \/>\n<p>Marlow Harris on 360Digest, April 29, 2006: <a href=\"http:\/\/360digest.com\/2006\/04\/29\/housing-bubble-babble\/\" title=\"Housing Bubble Babble\">Housing Bubble Babble<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Though I concede that we could be in for a market correction or a slowdown in housing sales and prices, I disagree that it will be of the mammoth proportions that many Bubble devotees believe it will be.<\/p>\n<p>Everyone needs a home, and no matter what the value is, no one will lose money if they don&#8217;t sell it.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what Marlow had to say in the comments when I said that &#8220;I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised to see a 25% drop from today&#8217;s prices&#8221;:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Tim, you&#8217;re obviously frustrated and frightened by the current real estate situation and you&#8217;re getting sick of living in a garage.<\/p>\n<p>Have faith in your talents to stay employed, bite the bullet, get a &#8220;0&#8221;-down 5-year ARM and get in the game.<\/p>\n<p>You won&#8217;t regret it. It may cost you more in the long run to stay out.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Wow, I had completely forgotten that gem.  When pressed, she also gave me her definition of the &#8220;mammoth&#8221; correction that we wouldn&#8217;t be seeing:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Ok, let me think. &#8220;Mammoth Proportions&#8221;? 10%? That would be a lot. I&#8217;d be bummed out if prices went down 10% or more&#8230;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<hr style=\"width:600px; margin: 0 auto 10px; border:2px solid #000000;\" \/>\n<p>Susan Ryan at Seattle Real Estate Professionals, October 2, 2006: <a href=\"http:\/\/housingpanic.blogspot.com\/2006\/10\/fly-winged-monkeys-attack-attack.html\" title=\"Just Say No to Bubble Talk\">Just Say No to Bubble Talk<\/a> (original deleted, link goes to the HousingPanic post)<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>As I&#8217;ve said repeatedly, stock market terms do not apply to real estate. There is no real estate bubble and never will be. A decrease in acceleration is not an implosion (or even a pop).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<hr style=\"width:600px; margin: 0 auto 10px; border:2px solid #000000;\" \/>\n<p>Ardell DellaLoggia at ARDELL&#8217;s Seattle Area Real Estate Blog, November 25, 2006: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realtown.com\/Ardell\/blog\/tracking-the-market\/seattle-housing-appreciation-graph\" title=\"Seattle Housing - Appreciation Graph\">Seattle Housing &#8211; Appreciation Graph<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>When I went to the underlying article <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/2006\/09\/07\/real-estate-predictions_cx_lr_0908housing.html\" title=\"How Low Will Real Estate Go?\">What will your House Be Worth in 2016<\/a>, I had to say to myself, why would we be second guessing Forbes and Moody&#8217;s?  Surely they have the data to deliver the most reliable results.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;generally speaking&#8230;I like the fact that we do seem to be the ONLY City with these types of numbers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 420px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/2006\/09\/07\/real-estate-predictions_cx_lr_0908housing.html\" title=\"How Low Will Real Estate Go?\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2007\/06\/economycom_seattle_forecast.gif\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"&quot;Why would we be second guessing Forbes and Moody's?&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Why would we be second guessing Forbes and Moody's?&quot;\" width=\"420\" height=\"280\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>If you&#8217;re curious, here&#8217;s my 2006 post on these charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2006\/09\/09\/economycom-seattle-definitely-special\/\" title=\"Economy.com: Seattle Definitely Special\">Economy.com: Seattle Definitely Special<\/a><\/p>\n<hr style=\"width:600px; margin: 0 auto 10px; border:2px solid #000000;\" \/>\n<p>Jon Ribary at Rain City Guide, February 16, 2007: <a href=\"http:\/\/raincityguide.com\/2007\/02\/16\/housing-sales-fall-in-40-states-but-not-in-northwest\/\" title=\"Housing sales fall in 40 states; but not in Northwest\">Housing sales fall in 40 states; but not in Northwest<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Do people behind the Rain City Curtin have their blinders on? Time will only tell, but if history is any guide (and I am NOT a historian) I would guess in time, with a smaller supply of products, demand will eventually grown <span style=\"font-style:italic;\">(sic)<\/span> so even though sales may be sluggish, over a 3 year window sales will continue to grow.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<hr style=\"width:600px; margin: 0 auto 10px; border:2px solid #000000;\" \/>\n<p>Larry Cragun at RealEstateUndressed, October 16, 2007: <a href=\"http:\/\/realestateundressed.com\/2007\/10\/16\/the-trouble-with-the-bubble-talk\/\" title=\"The Trouble With The Bubble Talk\">The Trouble With The Bubble Talk<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Ok, I admit it, I went and read a bubble blog. &#8230; I fore-soothed I would see the babbling and whining of children. See the little boy pout. His name is Tim. He posts on the bubble blogs. &#8230; Sorry Timmy, sorry Robbie, watch out Alessey, people have to grow up someday.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps a better solution kids, is to just grow up and be good kids. Get some education. Learn some disclipine. Save some money. Be a hard worker. And stop whining and crying and pouting, especially on line.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<hr style=\"width:600px; margin: 0 auto 10px; border:2px solid #000000;\" \/>\n<p>Leanne Finlay at Seattle Real Estate Professionals, March 29, 2008: <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.seattlepi.com\/realestate\/archives\/135321.asp\" title=\"Smart or Stupid\">Smart or Stupid<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>There are people who are hell-bent on saying it&#8217;s stupid to buy now; their advice shouldn&#8217;t be taken as &#8216;advice&#8217; but perhaps more as drama. It&#8217;s dramatic to suggest real estate prices will skyrocket down, but unless we see major unemployment, I don&#8217;t see that happening in our market. Buy smart, there are some very nice properties out there just waiting for you to come in the front door.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<hr style=\"width:600px; margin: 0 auto 10px; border:2px solid #000000;\" \/>\n<p>Mack McCoy at Seattle Real Estate Professionals, July 7, 2008: <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.seattlepi.com\/realestate\/archives\/142824.asp\" title=\"When Will The Seattle Housing Bubble Burst?\">When Will The Seattle Housing Bubble Burst?<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Certainly, Seattle has felt the effects of recent economic events. But it seems to me that the predicted &#8220;bubble popping&#8221; has yet to occur, and that perhaps predictions of doom were, gee, what&#8217;s the word I&#8217;m looking for . . . wrong?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<hr style=\"width:600px; margin: 0 auto 10px; border:2px solid #000000;\" \/>\n<p>Well, <em>somebody<\/em> was wrong, anyway.<\/p>\n<div style=\"font-size:85%; border-top:1px solid #CCCCCC;\">The purpose of our <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/tag\/friday-flashback\/\" title=\"Friday Flashback on Seattle Bubble\">Friday Flashback series<\/a> is to remind people why it&#8217;s never a good idea to base your home purchase decisions on the word of someone with a vested financial interest in selling as many homes as possible for as much as possible, no matter what.  If you&#8217;ve got a good example of local home salespeople or other industry shills on record making fools of themselves in the years before the bubble burst, <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/contact\/\">shoot me an email<\/a>.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rather than focus on just one article for today&#8217;s Friday Flashback, I thought it would be fun to highlight a montage of brief quotes from a handful of local real estate professionals. Marlow Harris on 360Digest, April 29, 2006: Housing Bubble Babble Though I concede that we could be in for a market correction or&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[206],"tags":[639,660,467,638,883],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-13614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-features","tag-639","tag-660","tag-467","tag-friday-flashback","tag-mccoy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Friday Flashback: Seattle&#039;s Housing Bubble All-Star Team \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/10\/friday-flashback-seattles-housing-bubble-all-star-team\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Friday Flashback: Seattle&#039;s Housing Bubble All-Star Team \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Rather than focus on just one article for today&#8217;s Friday Flashback, I thought it would be fun to highlight a montage of brief quotes from a handful of local real estate professionals. 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