{"id":14157,"date":"2011-01-25T06:38:13","date_gmt":"2011-01-25T14:38:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=14157"},"modified":"2011-01-25T06:38:13","modified_gmt":"2011-01-25T14:38:13","slug":"case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows\/","title":{"rendered":"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Still Hitting New Lows"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the <a title=\"S&amp;P\/Case-Shiller\u00ae Home Price Indices\" href=\"http:\/\/www.homeprice.standardandpoors.com\/\">Case-Shiller Home Price Index<\/a>.  According to November data,<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Down<\/em> 1.1% October to November.<br \/>\n<strong><em>Down<\/em> 4.7% YOY.<\/strong><br \/>\n<em>Down<\/em> 26.4% from the July 2007 peak<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Last year prices fell 0.5% from October to November and year-over-year prices were down 10.6%.<\/p>\n<p>November&#8217;s data marked another new post-peak low point for Seattle home prices.  Prices are down 3.7% since July, and down 5.3% since their late-2009 tax credit mini-peak.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an interactive graph of all twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities, courtesy of <a href=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/\" title=\"Tableau Software\">Tableau Software<\/a>  (check and un-check the boxes on the right):<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 600px; height: 700px; margin: 0 auto;\">\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js\"><\/script><object class=\"tableauViz\" width=\"604\" height=\"669\" style=\"display:none;\"><param name=\"name\" value=\"Case-Shiller-YOY\/YOYChange\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><noscript>YOY Change<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/28\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-hit-new-post-peak-low\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"YOY Change\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/static\/images\/Case-Shiller-YOY-YOYChange_rss.png\" width=\"584\" height=\"620\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/noscript><\/p>\n<div style=\"width:604px;height:22px;padding:0px 10px 0px 0px; margin-top: -6px; color:black;font:normal 8pt verdana,helvetica,arial,sans-serif;\">\n<div style=\"padding-left: 488px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tableausoftware.com\/public?ref=http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/views\/Case-Shiller-YOY\/YOYChange\" target=\"_blank\">Powered by Tableau<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The 10-city composite index joined the 20-city index in negative YOY territory, and the same four cities as last month are still above where they were this time last year: Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco, and Washington DC.<\/p>\n<p>In November, fourteen of the twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities experienced smaller year-over-year drops (or saw year-over-year <em>increases<\/em>) than Seattle (one more than October):<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Washington, DC at +3.5%<\/li>\n<li>San Diego at +2.6%<\/li>\n<li>Los Angeles at +2.1%<\/li>\n<li>San Francisco at +0.4%<\/li>\n<li>Boston at -0.8%<\/li>\n<li>New York at -1.9%<\/li>\n<li>Denver at -2.5%<\/li>\n<li>Las Vegas at -3.5%<\/li>\n<li>Miami at -3.5%<\/li>\n<li>Tampa at -4.0%<\/li>\n<li>Dallas at -4.2%<\/li>\n<li>Charlotte at -4.3%<\/li>\n<li>Minneapolis at -4.4%<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/business\/404163_economy23ww.html\" title=\"Seattle Economists: At Least We're Not Cleveland\">Cleveland at -4.4%<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Falling faster than Seattle as of November: Phoenix, Portland, Detroit, Chicago, and Atlanta.<\/p>\n<p>Hit the jump for the rest of our monthly Case-Shiller charts, including the interactive chart of the raw Case-Shiller HPIs.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->Here&#8217;s the interactive chart of the raw HPI for all twenty cities through November.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 600px; height: 700px; margin: 0 auto;\">\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js\"><\/script><object class=\"tableauViz\" width=\"604\" height=\"669\" style=\"display:none;\"><param name=\"name\" value=\"Case-Shiller\/Case-ShillerHPI\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><noscript>Case-Shiller HPI <br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/28\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-hit-new-post-peak-low\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/static\/images\/Case-Shiller-Case-ShillerHPI_rss.png\" width=\"584\" height=\"620\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/noscript><\/p>\n<div style=\"width:604px;height:22px;padding:0px 10px 0px 0px; margin-top: -6px; color:black;font:normal 8pt verdana,helvetica,arial,sans-serif;\">\n<div style=\"padding-left: 488px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tableausoftware.com\/public?ref=http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/views\/Case-Shiller\/Case-ShillerHPI\" target=\"_blank\">Powered by Tableau<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an update to the peak-decline graph, inspired by a graph <a title=\"Comment by CrystalBall\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/01\/29\/case-shiller-november-seattle-playing-catch-up\/#comment-38661\">created by reader CrystalBall<\/a>.  This chart takes the twelve cities whose peak index was greater than 175, and tracks how far they have fallen so far from their peak.  The horizontal axis shows the total number of months since each individual city peaked.<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/12\/Case-ShillerHPI_Decline-From-Peak_2010-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[14157]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/12\/Case-ShillerHPI_Decline-From-Peak_2010-10-600x436.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In the forty months since the price peak in Seattle prices have declined 26.2%, another new high.<\/p>\n<p>For posterity, here&#8217;s our offset graph&mdash;the same graph we post every month&mdash;with L.A. &amp; San Diego time-shifted from Seattle &amp; Portland by 17 months.  All four cities continued to fall in November.  Year-over-year, Portland came in at -7.0%, Los Angeles at +2.1%, and San Diego at +2.6%.<\/p>\n<p>I think this graph is still worth posting if only to display how the government&#8217;s massive intervention in the market screwed with the natural flow, causing all the markets to rise simultaneously, and once the artificial support was removed, to come crashing back down to reality simultaneously.<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: West Coast - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/12\/Case-ShillerHPI_WestCoast2010-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[14157]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: West Coast - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/12\/Case-ShillerHPI_WestCoast2010-10-600x436.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI: West Coast\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Note:<\/strong> This graph is <strong>not intended to be predictive<\/strong>.  It is for entertainment purposes only.<\/p>\n<p>Check back tomorrow for a post on the Case-Shiller data for Seattle&#8217;s price tiers.<\/p>\n<p>(<em>Home Price Indices, <a title=\"S&amp;P\/Case-Shiller\u00ae Home Price Indices\" href=\"http:\/\/www.homeprice.standardandpoors.com\/\">Standard &amp; Poor\u2019s<\/a>, 01.25.2010<\/em>)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to November data, Down 1.1% October to November. Down 4.7% YOY. Down 26.4% from the July 2007 peak Last year prices fell 0.5% from October to November and year-over-year prices were down 10.6%. November&#8217;s data marked another new post-peak low&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[138,136,86,222,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-14157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-behind-the-cycle","tag-california","tag-case-shiller","tag-graphs","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Still Hitting New Lows \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Still Hitting New Lows \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to November data, Down 1.1% October to November. Down 4.7% YOY. Down 26.4% from the July 2007 peak Last year prices fell 0.5% from October to November and year-over-year prices were down 10.6%. November&#8217;s data marked another new post-peak low...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/static\/images\/Case-Shiller-YOY-YOYChange_rss.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows\/\",\"name\":\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Still Hitting New Lows \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/static\/images\/Case-Shiller-YOY-YOYChange_rss.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-01-25T14:38:13+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/static\/images\/Case-Shiller-YOY-YOYChange_rss.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/static\/images\/Case-Shiller-YOY-YOYChange_rss.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-still-hitting-new-lows\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Still Hitting New Lows\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. 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