{"id":14395,"date":"2011-02-11T11:21:10","date_gmt":"2011-02-11T19:21:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=14395"},"modified":"2011-02-14T07:55:00","modified_gmt":"2011-02-14T15:55:00","slug":"redfin-buyers-market-no-breeze-for-buyers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/02\/11\/redfin-buyers-market-no-breeze-for-buyers\/","title":{"rendered":"Redfin: Buyer&#8217;s Market No Breeze for Buyers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size:85%; font-style:italic;\">Full disclosure: The Tim is <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/07\/14\/some-noteworthy-personal-news\/\" title=\"Some Noteworthy Personal News...\">employed by Redfin<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Happy Friday everybody.  Let&#8217;s celebrate the upcoming weekend with a sweet interactive map.  That&#8217;s right, it&#8217;s time again already to check out <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.redfin.com\/seattle\/2011\/02\/a_tale_of_two_cities_january_2011_insider_report.html\" title=\"A Tale of Two Cities (January 2011 Insider Report)\">Redfin&#8217;s January market data<\/a>.  Here&#8217;s an excerpt from the narrative <em>(which, as it turns out, I wrote)<\/em>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;It was the best of times, it was the worst of times&#8230; it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The opening line of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.online-literature.com\/dickens\/twocities\/1\/\" title=\"A Tale of Two Cities\">Charles Dickens&#8217; famous novel<\/a> is a fitting description of the Seattle-area real estate market in January.  Low prices are a buyer&#8217;s dream, but a seller&#8217;s nightmare.  Inventory is still near record highs, but according to buyers, &#8220;there&#8217;s nothing out there.&#8221;<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\n&#8220;The number one complaint I hear from my buyers today is &#8216;there&#8217;s nothing out there,'&#8221; said <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/loren-ellingson\">Loren Ellingson<\/a>, a Redfin agent in Bellevue.  &#8220;We&#8217;re all holding out, waiting and praying for more inventory in March.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Kirkland Redfin agent <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/real-estate-agents\/kathryn-rion\">Kathryn Rion<\/a> agreed. &#8220;I have a lot of buyers who are really ready to go, but most of what&#8217;s out there is either overpriced or really yucky,&#8221; explained Kathryn.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Redfin&#8217;s data and our agents&#8217; experience in the field confirms what <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/01\/11\/2011-wheres-the-inventory\/\" title=\"2011: Where\u2019s the Inventory?\">I pointed out a month ago<\/a>: inventory is unusually scarse across most of the Seattle area.  One thing that I found particularly interesting when I was talking with our agents to collect their thoughts for this report was the interesting strategy that the banks seem to be employing on the Eastside with their REO inventory.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Despite the low overall sales volume on the Eastside, buyers there are encountering some frustrating situations. Loren and Kathryn are both beginning to see banks get a lot more aggressive with their listings, putting well-kept <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/definition\/REO\">REO homes<\/a> on the market at far below market value, often generating over a dozen offers (no joke!).<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;When a nice bank-owned home hits the market in Bellevue, it inevitably gets a lot of offers,&#8221; said Loren. &#8220;Many of these listings are generating so much interest that the banks cut things off after receiving ten offers.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>These homes inevitably sell for a good amount over their list price, but in the end they are usually still cheaper than comparable &#8220;non-distressed&#8221; inventory, so you end up with a paradoxical situation where buyers are encountering multiple offers, but prices are still falling.  Crazy.<\/p>\n<p>You can <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.redfin.com\/seattle\/files\/2011\/02\/Redfin-Seattle-Real-Estate-Market-Report-January-2011.xls\" title=\"Redfin Seattle Real Estate Market Report\">download the full spreadsheet from Redfin here<\/a>, and as usual, I&#8217;m going to map the data here.<\/p>\n<p>In the map below each zip code with enough sales in January is shown as a dot, with the size of the dot determined by the number of sales in that zip code in the month.  Each dot is color-coded based on whichever measure you select below the map.  You can view the month-over-month or year-over-year changes in inventory, sales, median prices, or median prices per square foot for single-family homes, condos, or townhouses.  There is also a county selector that allows you to narrow, expand, or modify the geographic view to your liking.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width:600px; height:890px;\">\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js\"><\/script><object class=\"tableauViz\" width=\"604\" height=\"869\" style=\"display:none;\"><param name=\"name\" value=\"RedfinMonthlyStats\/RedfinDashboard\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><noscript>Redfin Dashboard<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/02\/11\/redfin-buyers-market-no-breeze-for-buyers\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Redfin Dashboard\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/static\/images\/RedfinMonthlyStats-RedfinDashboard_rss.png\" width=\"584\" height=\"820\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/noscript><\/p>\n<div style=\"width:604px;height:22px;padding:0px 10px 0px 0px; color:black;font:normal 8pt verdana,helvetica,arial,sans-serif;\">\n<div style=\"float:right; padding-right:8px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tableausoftware.com\/public?ref=http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/views\/RedfinMonthlyStats\/RedfinDashboard\" target=\"_blank\">Powered by Tableau<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>If you flip the measure and range to inventory month-over-month, you can see the odd &#8220;two cities&#8221; dynamics.  Inventory actually <em>dropped<\/em> from December to January (very unusual) across pretty much the entire Eastside, while rising (the normal seasonal pattern) in parts of central Seattle and north Seattle.<\/p>\n<p>Year-over-year, the biggest winner for sales in King County this month was a tie between east of Lake Sammammish (98075) and Kennydale, where sales doubled from January 2010 to January 2011.  King County&#8217;s biggest decline was in my home town of Kenmore (98028), where sales fell 77% from 39 a year ago to just 9 this year.  35 zip codes had decreasing sales volumes YOY, 3 were flat, and 15 saw an increase.  Month-to-month, 53 zip codes fell, 2 were flat, and 1 increased (98007 &#8211; East Bellevue).<\/p>\n<p>Here are the zip codes with the most SFH sales in January in King, Snohomish, Pierce, Thurston, and Kitsap County:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>King:<\/strong> 98059 &mdash; 31 sales.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Snohomish:<\/strong> 98012 &mdash; 33 sales.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Pierce:<\/strong> 98387 &mdash; 28 sales.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Thurston:<\/strong> 98513 &mdash; 14 sales.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Kitsap:<\/strong> 98367 &mdash; 20 sales.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Year-to-year, 33 zip codes in King County gained inventory, 2 were flat, and 34 lost inventory.  Almost a dead even split.<\/p>\n<p>The median price fell from a year ago in 37 King County zip codes, and rose in 16.  The median price per square foot was also down in 37 zip codes and up in 16.<\/p>\n<p>Anything stand out to you about your neighborhood in this month&#8217;s data?  Do your observations match up with the stark contrast Redfin&#8217;s agents are seeing between the Eastside and Seattle?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Full disclosure: The Tim is employed by Redfin. Happy Friday everybody. Let&#8217;s celebrate the upcoming weekend with a sweet interactive map. That&#8217;s right, it&#8217;s time again already to check out Redfin&#8217;s January market data. Here&#8217;s an excerpt from the narrative (which, as it turns out, I wrote): &#8220;It was the best of times, it was&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,217],"tags":[675,213,679,82,531],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-14395","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-neighborhoods","tag-heat-map","tag-maps","tag-monthly-stats","tag-redfin","tag-tableau"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Redfin: Buyer&#039;s Market No Breeze for Buyers \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/02\/11\/redfin-buyers-market-no-breeze-for-buyers\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Redfin: Buyer&#039;s Market No Breeze for Buyers \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Full disclosure: The Tim is employed by Redfin. Happy Friday everybody. Let&#8217;s celebrate the upcoming weekend with a sweet interactive map. That&#8217;s right, it&#8217;s time again already to check out Redfin&#8217;s January market data. 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