{"id":15528,"date":"2011-05-05T11:30:07","date_gmt":"2011-05-05T18:30:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=15528"},"modified":"2011-05-05T11:30:07","modified_gmt":"2011-05-05T18:30:07","slug":"nwmls-market-warming-just-like-every-spring","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/05\/05\/nwmls-market-warming-just-like-every-spring\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Market &#8220;Warming&#8221; (Just Like EVERY Spring)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>March market stats were published by the NWMLS yesterday.  Here&#8217;s what they have to say about their numbers: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nwrealestate.com\/nwrpub\/common\/news.cfm\" title=\"Housing market &quot;warming&quot; as brokers report multiple offers in some areas\">Housing market &quot;warming&quot; as brokers report multiple offers in some areas<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Home sellers around Washington state are starting to a see something that had all but vanished in recent months: multiple offers.<\/p>\n<p>Several directors of Northwest Multiple Listing Service noted they are encountering more bidding wars in certain neighborhoods and price ranges, even though the latest figures show fewer sales and lower prices than a year ago. Shrinking inventory is spurring activity, with some brokers reporting a &#8220;shortage of good listings&#8221; and &#8220;signs of normality.&#8221;<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\n&#8220;With healthy sales activity over the last several months, a shortage of homes coming on the market and low foreclosure activity, the stage has been set for a multiple offer market,&#8221; observed J. Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Wow, if <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/04\/14\/more-red-tape-added-as-foreclosures-continue-to-heat-up\/\" title=\"More Red Tape Added as Foreclosures Continue to Heat Up\">this<\/a> is what Lennox considers &#8220;low foreclosure activity,&#8221; I wonder how many foreclosures he&#8217;d have to see to consider it to be high activity.<\/p>\n<p>I expect that we&#8217;ll se a lot made this month of the fact that the median price has ticked up two months in a row now, so I&#8217;d like to remind everyone that this has happened <em>every single spring<\/em> since the bust began&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Median Sale Price\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSFHMedian-TheBottom-2011-04.png\" rel=\"lightbox[15528]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Median Sale Price - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSFHMedian-TheBottom-2011-04-600x436.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Median Sale Price\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>All right, let&#8217;s get on with the rest of the statistics, shall we?<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">April 2011<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>7,974<\/td>\n<td>+5.1%<\/td>\n<td>-13.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,533<\/td>\n<td>+0.5%<\/td>\n<td>-6.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.86<\/td>\n<td>+8.4%<\/td>\n<td>-13.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,435<\/td>\n<td>-4.8%<\/td>\n<td>-21.6%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>3.44<\/td>\n<td>+10.4%<\/td>\n<td>+10.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$349,950<\/td>\n<td>+1.4%<\/td>\n<td>-6.7%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> (<a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">Excel 2003 format<\/a>), but keep in mind the caution above.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSFHClosed2011-04.png\" rel=\"lightbox[15528]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSFHClosed2011-04-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSFHInventory2011-04.png\" rel=\"lightbox[15528]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSFHInventory2011-04-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Hey, we finally got a little uptick in inventory.  About time.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  In place of the now-unreliable measure of pending sales, the &#8220;demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2011-04.png\" rel=\"lightbox[15528]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2011-04-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Both still falling.  Quite an odd market where supply and demand are both continually dropping like this.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSFHPrices2011-04.png\" rel=\"lightbox[15528]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSFHPrices2011-04-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Back down a bit, since this year&#8217;s March to April price uptick wasn&#8217;t as big as last year&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2011-04.png\" rel=\"lightbox[15528]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2011-04-600x436.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>April 2011: $349,950<br \/>\nApril 2005: $355,000<\/p>\n<p>Here are the headlines from the Seattle Times and P-I:<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.nwsource.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2014969633_homesales06.html\" title=\"King County homes prices, sales in April slip from year ago\">King County homes prices, sales in April slip from year ago<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle P-I: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/realestate\/article\/Hotter-housing-market-Numbers-say-no-1367279.php\" title=\"Hotter housing market? Numbers say 'no'\">Hotter housing market? Numbers say &#8216;no&#8217;<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back on Friday for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>March market stats were published by the NWMLS yesterday. Here&#8217;s what they have to say about their numbers: Housing market &quot;warming&quot; as brokers report multiple offers in some areas. Home sellers around Washington state are starting to a see something that had all but vanished in recent months: multiple offers. Several directors of Northwest Multiple&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-15528","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Market &quot;Warming&quot; (Just Like EVERY Spring) \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/05\/05\/nwmls-market-warming-just-like-every-spring\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Market &quot;Warming&quot; (Just Like EVERY Spring) \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"March market stats were published by the NWMLS yesterday. Here&#8217;s what they have to say about their numbers: Housing market &quot;warming&quot; as brokers report multiple offers in some areas. Home sellers around Washington state are starting to a see something that had all but vanished in recent months: multiple offers. 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