{"id":17040,"date":"2011-09-16T11:20:57","date_gmt":"2011-09-16T18:20:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=17040"},"modified":"2011-10-21T10:09:34","modified_gmt":"2011-10-21T17:09:34","slug":"friday-flashback-were-protected-from-the-bubble","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/09\/16\/friday-flashback-were-protected-from-the-bubble\/","title":{"rendered":"Friday Flashback: &#8220;We&#8217;re Protected&#8221; from the Bubble"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a gem of an article from the Seattle Times, December 2006:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.nwsource.com\/html\/realestate\/2003501549_realpredix31.html\" title=\"Looking ahead: The sky isn't falling for the Puget Sound market\"><strong>Looking ahead: The sky isn&#8217;t falling for the Puget Sound market<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>What will 2007 bring? Here&#8217;s what Seattle real-estate experts are saying.<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\nSo much for any bubble bursting this year.<\/p>\n<p>Gardner doesn&#8217;t see that happening next year, either.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This bubble lunacy is still prevalent, but not in Seattle, and I&#8217;ll keep saying that,&#8221; said Gardner, of the land-use economics firm Gardner Johnson. &#8220;All the fundamentals are in place for good job growth and in-migration. That, and our limited land availability, means we&#8217;re protected and will continue to appreciate in value.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>But, but&#8230;  we were protected!  The &#8220;experts&#8221; assured us!  Limited land!  Job growth!  Fundamentals!<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The national news has been full of stories about homebuilders cutting production and prices as the real-estate market cools. In November, for example, building permits nationwide fell to a nine-year low, according to a government report.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;But that&#8217;s the national news, not the local news,&#8221; said Suzanne Britsch, senior analyst for New Home Trends, a construction-analysis and consulting firm in Mill Creek. &#8220;We still have job growth and a shortage of lots here, so we have just not had a problem with standing inventory.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>All those stupid national headlines.  If only we had ignored them and just closed our eyes and wished harder, maybe home prices would have kept appreciating.<\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re interested, here&#8217;s the post we wrote about this article at the time, penned by Synthetik: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2006\/12\/31\/always-trust-the-experts\/\" title=\"Always Trust The 'Experts'\">Always Trust The &#8216;Experts&#8217;<\/a><\/p>\n<div style=\"font-size:85%; border-top:1px solid #CCCCCC;\">The purpose of our <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/tag\/friday-flashback\/\" title=\"Friday Flashback on Seattle Bubble\">Friday Flashback series<\/a> is to remind people why it&#8217;s never a good idea to base your home purchase decisions on the word of someone with a vested financial interest in selling as many homes as possible for as much as possible, no matter what.  If you&#8217;ve got a good example of local home salespeople or other industry shills on record making fools of themselves in the years before the bubble burst, <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/contact\/\">shoot me an email<\/a>.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a gem of an article from the Seattle Times, December 2006: Looking ahead: The sky isn&#8217;t falling for the Puget Sound market What will 2007 bring? Here&#8217;s what Seattle real-estate experts are saying. &#8230; So much for any bubble bursting this year. Gardner doesn&#8217;t see that happening next year, either. &#8220;This bubble lunacy is&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[206],"tags":[639,415,638,144,414,3,31],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-17040","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-features","tag-639","tag-britsch","tag-friday-flashback","tag-gardner","tag-new-home-trends","tag-rhodes","tag-seattle_times"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Friday Flashback: &quot;We&#039;re Protected&quot; from the Bubble \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/09\/16\/friday-flashback-were-protected-from-the-bubble\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Friday Flashback: &quot;We&#039;re Protected&quot; from the Bubble \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Here&#8217;s a gem of an article from the Seattle Times, December 2006: Looking ahead: The sky isn&#8217;t falling for the Puget Sound market What will 2007 bring? Here&#8217;s what Seattle real-estate experts are saying. &#8230; So much for any bubble bursting this year. Gardner doesn&#8217;t see that happening next year, either. &#8220;This bubble lunacy is...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/09\/16\/friday-flashback-were-protected-from-the-bubble\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/09\/16\/friday-flashback-were-protected-from-the-bubble\/\",\"name\":\"Friday Flashback: \\\"We're Protected\\\" from the Bubble \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2011-09-16T18:20:57+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2011-10-21T17:09:34+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/09\/16\/friday-flashback-were-protected-from-the-bubble\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/09\/16\/friday-flashback-were-protected-from-the-bubble\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2011\/09\/16\/friday-flashback-were-protected-from-the-bubble\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Friday Flashback: &#8220;We&#8217;re Protected&#8221; from the Bubble\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. 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