{"id":1900,"date":"2008-04-30T09:09:26","date_gmt":"2008-04-30T16:09:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=1900"},"modified":"2008-04-30T09:09:26","modified_gmt":"2008-04-30T16:09:26","slug":"case-shiller-tiers-three-tiers-one-decline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/04\/30\/case-shiller-tiers-three-tiers-one-decline\/","title":{"rendered":"Case-Shiller Tiers: Three Tiers, One Decline"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s our monthly look at Seattle&#8217;s price tiers from Case-Shiller.  Remember that Case-Shiller data is based on single-family homes only, no condos or townhomes, and that Case-Shiller&#8217;s definition of the &#8220;Seattle area&#8221; is King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.  For anyone wondering how the tiers are chosen, <a title=\"Case-Shiller Tiers: High End Takes a Tumble\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/03\/26\/case-shiller-tiers-high-end-takes-a-tumble\/\">check out last month&#8217;s post<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Now here come the graphs.  First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through February 2008.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/case-shiller_seatiers_2008-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[1900]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/case-shiller_seatiers_2008-02-tn.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle\" width=\"600\" height=\"437\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<a title=\"Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/case-shiller_seatiers_2008-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[1900]\">Click to enlarge<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The low tier looks like it&#8217;s having the steepest drop from the peak, but the difference is very slight.  Right now all three tiers are falling more or less together.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a chart of the year-over-year change in the index from June 2002 through January 2008 (I selected that date range to match <a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: West Coast\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/case-shillerhpi_westcoast200802.png\" rel=\"lightbox[1900]\">the time-shifted graph<\/a> in the standard Case-Shiller posts).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/case-shiller_seatiers-yoy_2008-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[1900]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/case-shiller_seatiers-yoy_2008-02-tn.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers\" width=\"600\" height=\"437\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/case-shiller_seatiers-yoy_2008-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[1900]\">Click to enlarge<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Even the high end tier has now dipped into negative YOY territory.  Here&#8217;s where the YOY price change for the three tiers sit as of February &#8211; Low: -3.7%, Med: -3.5%, Hi: -1.1%.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, here&#8217;s a decline-from-peak graph like the one posted yesterday, but looking only at the Seattle tiers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/case-shiller_seatiers-peakdrop_2008-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[1900]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid #000000; margin: 5px\" title=\"Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/case-shiller_seatiers-peakdrop_2008-02-tn.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers\" width=\"600\" height=\"437\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<a title=\"Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/case-shiller_seatiers-peakdrop_2008-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[1900]\">Click to enlarge<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The drop in all three tapered off a bit last month.  As things sit right now, the total decline from peak varies less than 1 percentage point across the three tiers, from a 7.1% drop for the low tier to a 6.5% drop for the high tier.<\/p>\n<p>Not much else to say about this particular set of data.  Right now I don&#8217;t see any really interesting or unexpected patterns emerging as price declines finally get rolling here in the Pacific Northwest.<\/p>\n<p>(<em>Home Price Indices, <a title=\"S&amp;P\/Case-Shiller\u00ae Home Price Indices\" href=\"http:\/\/www2.standardandpoors.com\/portal\/site\/sp\/en\/us\/page.topic\/indices_csmahp\/0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,1,0,0,0,0,0.html\">Standard &amp; Poor\u2019s<\/a>, 04.29.2008<\/em>)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s our monthly look at Seattle&#8217;s price tiers from Case-Shiller. Remember that Case-Shiller data is based on single-family homes only, no condos or townhomes, and that Case-Shiller&#8217;s definition of the &#8220;Seattle area&#8221; is King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties. For anyone wondering how the tiers are chosen, check out last month&#8217;s post. Now here come the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8],"tags":[86,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-1900","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","tag-case-shiller","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Case-Shiller Tiers: Three Tiers, One Decline \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/04\/30\/case-shiller-tiers-three-tiers-one-decline\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Case-Shiller Tiers: Three Tiers, One Decline \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Here&#8217;s our monthly look at Seattle&#8217;s price tiers from Case-Shiller. 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