{"id":19523,"date":"2012-03-28T08:00:52","date_gmt":"2012-03-28T15:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=19523"},"modified":"2012-03-28T08:36:28","modified_gmt":"2012-03-28T15:36:28","slug":"case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/","title":{"rendered":"Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Breaks Into the Black"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller.  Remember, Case-Shiller&#8217;s &#8220;Seattle&#8221; data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.<\/p>\n<p>Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume.  In other words, 1\/3 of all sales fall into each tier.  For more details on the tier methodologies, hit <a href=\"http:\/\/www2.standardandpoors.com\/spf\/pdf\/index\/SP_CS_Home_Price_Indices_Methodology_Web.pdf\" title=\"S&#038;P\/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices: Index Methodology\">the full methodology pdf<\/a>.  Here are the current tier breakpoints:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Low Tier:<\/strong> &lt; $229,971 <em>(down 0.9%)<\/em><\/li>\n<li><strong>Mid Tier:<\/strong> $229,971 &#8211; $369,399<\/li>\n<li><strong>Hi Tier:<\/strong> &gt; $369,399 <em>(down 1.2%)<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>First up is the straight graph of the index from January 2000 through December 2011.<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers_2012-01.png\" rel=\"lightbox[19523]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers_2012-01-600x436.png\" title=\"Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle\" style=\"border:0;\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a zoom-in, showing just the last year:<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers-Zoomed_2012-01.png\" rel=\"lightbox[19523]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers-Zoomed_2012-01-600x436.png\" title=\"Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Case-Shiller Tiered Index - Seattle\" style=\"border:0;\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The high tier inched out a slight month to month gain between December and January&mdash;an impressive feat given that this data is still from the middle of winter.  The low tier fell 3.1% MOM, the middle tier dropped 0.3%, and the high tier gained less than 0.1%.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a chart of the year-over-year change in the index from January 2003 through January 2012.<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers-YOY_2012-01.png\" rel=\"lightbox[19523]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers-YOY_2012-01-600x436.png\" title=\"Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI - YOY Change in Seattle Tiers\" style=\"border:0;\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>For the first time since January 2008, one of the tiers marked a year-over-year increase.  Obviously the middle and low tiers are quite a ways behind, but their second derivatives are both positive as well, and at this point it looks like they could both be in the black before the end of the year.  Here&#8217;s where the tiers sit YOY as of January &#8211; Low: -12.1%, Med: -7.9%, Hi: +0.1%.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, here&#8217;s a decline-from-peak graph like the one posted yesterday, but looking only at the Seattle tiers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers-PeakDrop_2012-01.png\" rel=\"lightbox[19523]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers-PeakDrop_2012-01-600x436.png\" title=\"Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Case-Shiller: Decline from Peak - Seattle Tiers\" style=\"border:0;\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Current standing is 43.4% off peak for the low tier, 35.7% off peak for the middle tier, and 27.9% off peak for the high tier.  The middle and low tiers each set new post-peak low points, while the high tier remains a couple points above its February 2011 low.<\/p>\n<p>(<em>Home Price Indices, <a title=\"S&amp;P\/Case-Shiller\u00ae Home Price Indices\" href=\"http:\/\/www.homeprice.standardandpoors.com\/\">Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s<\/a>, 03.27.2012<\/em>)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller&#8217;s &#8220;Seattle&#8221; data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties. Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1\/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[86,200,334],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-19523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-case-shiller","tag-statistics","tag-tiers"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Breaks Into the Black \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Breaks Into the Black \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Let&#8217;s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller&#8217;s &#8220;Seattle&#8221; data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties. Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1\/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers_2012-01.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@The_Tim\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@SeattleBubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The Tim\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/\",\"name\":\"Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Breaks Into the Black \u2022 Seattle Bubble\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers_2012-01-600x436.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-03-28T15:00:52+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2012-03-28T15:36:28+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers_2012-01.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers_2012-01.png\",\"width\":\"915\",\"height\":\"666\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Breaks Into the Black\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Seattle Bubble\",\"description\":\"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f\",\"name\":\"The Tim\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g\",\"caption\":\"The Tim\"},\"description\":\"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.\",\"sameAs\":[\"http:\/\/SeattleBubble.com\/\",\"http:\/\/facebook.com\/is.totally.pointless\",\"https:\/\/x.com\/The_Tim\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/author\/timothyellis\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Breaks Into the Black \u2022 Seattle Bubble","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Breaks Into the Black \u2022 Seattle Bubble","twitter_description":"Let&#8217;s check out the three price tiers for the Seattle area, as measured by Case-Shiller. Remember, Case-Shiller&#8217;s &#8220;Seattle&#8221; data is based on single-family home repeat sales in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties. Note that the tiers are determined by sale volume. In other words, 1\/3 of all sales fall into each tier. For more details...","twitter_image":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers_2012-01.png","twitter_creator":"@The_Tim","twitter_site":"@SeattleBubble","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"The Tim","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/","name":"Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Breaks Into the Black \u2022 Seattle Bubble","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers_2012-01-600x436.png","datePublished":"2012-03-28T15:00:52+00:00","dateModified":"2012-03-28T15:36:28+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers_2012-01.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/Case-Shiller_SeaTiers_2012-01.png","width":"915","height":"666"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/28\/case-shiller-tiers-high-tier-breaks-into-the-black\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Case-Shiller Tiers: High Tier Breaks Into the Black"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/","name":"Seattle Bubble","description":"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f","name":"The Tim","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","caption":"The Tim"},"description":"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. Tim also hosts the weekly improv comedy sci-fi podcast Dispatches from the Multiverse.","sameAs":["http:\/\/SeattleBubble.com\/","http:\/\/facebook.com\/is.totally.pointless","https:\/\/x.com\/The_Tim"],"url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/author\/timothyellis\/"}]}},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6wh0F-54T","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19523","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19523"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19523\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19523"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=19523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}