{"id":20324,"date":"2012-05-29T09:59:53","date_gmt":"2012-05-29T16:59:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=20324"},"modified":"2012-05-29T09:59:53","modified_gmt":"2012-05-29T16:59:53","slug":"case-shiller-home-prices-hit-predictable-spring-bounce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/05\/29\/case-shiller-home-prices-hit-predictable-spring-bounce\/","title":{"rendered":"Case-Shiller: Home Prices Hit Predictable Spring Bounce"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the <a title=\"S&amp;P\/Case-Shiller\u00ae Home Price Indices\" href=\"http:\/\/www.homeprice.standardandpoors.com\/\">Case-Shiller Home Price Index<\/a>.  According to March data, Seattle-area home prices were:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Up 1.7% February to March.<br \/>\n<strong><em>Down<\/em> 1.3% YOY.<\/strong><br \/>\n<em>Down<\/em> 31.8% from the July 2007 peak<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Last year prices rose 0.1% from February to March and year-over-year prices were down 7.5%.<\/p>\n<p>I stand by my prediction that we&#8217;ll likely hit year-over-year zero by April or May&#8217;s numbers.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an interactive graph of the year-over-year change for all twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities, courtesy of <a href=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/\" title=\"Tableau Software\">Tableau Software<\/a>  (check and un-check the boxes on the right):<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 600px; height: 700px; margin: 0 auto;\">\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js\"><\/script><object class=\"tableauViz\" width=\"604\" height=\"669\" style=\"display:none;\"><param name=\"name\" value=\"Case-Shiller-YOY\/YOYChange\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><noscript>YOY Change<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/05\/29\/\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"YOY Change\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/static\/images\/Case-Shiller-YOY-YOYChange_rss.png\" width=\"584\" height=\"620\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/noscript><\/p>\n<div style=\"width:604px;height:22px;padding:0px 10px 0px 0px; margin-top: -6px; color:black;font:normal 8pt verdana,helvetica,arial,sans-serif;\">\n<div style=\"padding-left: 488px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tableausoftware.com\/public?ref=http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/views\/Case-Shiller-YOY\/YOYChange\" target=\"_blank\">Powered by Tableau<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>There are now <em>seven<\/em> cities in the positive year-over-year club: Phoenix, Minneapolis, Denver, Miami, Detroit, Dallas, and Charlotte.  In March, more cities saw month-to-month increases than saw month-to-month decreases.<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/Case-ShillerHPI_MOM_2012-03.png\" rel=\"lightbox[20324]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/Case-ShillerHPI_MOM_2012-03-600x436.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Seattle came in nearly at the top of the heap for month-over-month gains, out-performing the 20-city composite index by a wide margin.<\/p>\n<p>Hit the jump for the rest of our monthly Case-Shiller charts, including the interactive chart of raw index data for all 20 cities.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->In March, ten of the twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities experienced smaller year-over-year drops (or saw increases) than Seattle (versus nine in February):<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Phoenix at +6.1%<\/li>\n<li>Minneapolis at +3.3%<\/li>\n<li>Denver at +2.6%<\/li>\n<li>Miami at +2.5%<\/li>\n<li>Detroit at +2.3%<\/li>\n<li>Dallas at +1.5%<\/li>\n<li>Charlotte at +0.4%<\/li>\n<li>Washington, DC at -0.6%<\/li>\n<li>Tampa, FL at -1.0%<\/li>\n<li>Boston at -1.0%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Nine cities were falling faster than Seattle as of March: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/business\/404163_economy23ww.html\" title=\"Seattle Economists: At Least We're Not Cleveland\">Cleveland<\/a>, San Diego, New York, Portland, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Chicago, Las Vegas, and Atlanta.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the interactive chart of the raw HPI for all twenty cities through March.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 600px; height: 700px; margin: 0 auto;\">\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js\"><\/script><object class=\"tableauViz\" width=\"604\" height=\"669\" style=\"display:none;\"><param name=\"name\" value=\"Case-Shiller\/Case-ShillerHPI\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><noscript>Case-Shiller HPI <br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/05\/29\/\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/static\/images\/Case-Shiller-Case-ShillerHPI_rss.png\" width=\"584\" height=\"620\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/noscript><\/p>\n<div style=\"width:604px;height:22px;padding:0px 10px 0px 0px; margin-top: -6px; color:black;font:normal 8pt verdana,helvetica,arial,sans-serif;\">\n<div style=\"padding-left: 488px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tableausoftware.com\/public?ref=http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/views\/Case-Shiller\/Case-ShillerHPI\" target=\"_blank\">Powered by Tableau<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an update to the peak-decline graph, inspired by a graph <a title=\"Comment by CrystalBall\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/01\/29\/case-shiller-november-seattle-playing-catch-up\/#comment-38661\">created by reader CrystalBall<\/a>.  This chart takes the twelve cities whose peak index was greater than 175, and tracks how far they have fallen so far from their peak.  The horizontal axis shows the total number of months since each individual city peaked.<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/Case-ShillerHPI_Decline-From-Peak_2012-03.png\" rel=\"lightbox[20324]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/Case-ShillerHPI_Decline-From-Peak_2012-03-600x436.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In the fifty-six months since the price peak in Seattle prices have declined 31.8%, up from last month&#8217;s post-peak low.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, let&#8217;s see just how far back Seattle&#8217;s home prices have &#8220;rewound.&#8221;  So far: May 2004.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/Case-ShillerHPI_Seattle-Reverting_2012-03.png\" title=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index\" rel=\"lightbox[20324]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/Case-ShillerHPI_Seattle-Reverting_2012-03-600x436.png\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back tomorrow for a post on the Case-Shiller data for Seattle&#8217;s price tiers.<\/p>\n<p>(<em>Home Price Indices, <a title=\"S&amp;P\/Case-Shiller\u00ae Home Price Indices\" href=\"http:\/\/www.homeprice.standardandpoors.com\/\">Standard &amp; Poor\u2019s<\/a>, 05.29.2012<\/em>)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to March data, Seattle-area home prices were: Up 1.7% February to March. Down 1.3% YOY. Down 31.8% from the July 2007 peak Last year prices rose 0.1% from February to March and year-over-year prices were down 7.5%. I stand by&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":20330,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[136,86,222,200,531],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-20324","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-california","tag-case-shiller","tag-graphs","tag-statistics","tag-tableau"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Case-Shiller: Home Prices Hit Predictable Spring Bounce \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/05\/29\/case-shiller-home-prices-hit-predictable-spring-bounce\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Case-Shiller: Home Prices Hit Predictable Spring Bounce \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to March data, Seattle-area home prices were: Up 1.7% February to March. Down 1.3% YOY. Down 31.8% from the July 2007 peak Last year prices rose 0.1% from February to March and year-over-year prices were down 7.5%. 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According to March data, Seattle-area home prices were: Up 1.7% February to March. Down 1.3% YOY. Down 31.8% from the July 2007 peak Last year prices rose 0.1% from February to March and year-over-year prices were down 7.5%. 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