{"id":20350,"date":"2012-05-31T12:00:24","date_gmt":"2012-05-31T19:00:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=20350"},"modified":"2012-05-31T11:44:35","modified_gmt":"2012-05-31T18:44:35","slug":"reader-question-where-are-the-modest-homes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/05\/31\/reader-question-where-are-the-modest-homes\/","title":{"rendered":"Reader Question: Where are the modest homes?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A reader who <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/05\/02\/reader-question-did-i-just-step-into-a-shark-tank\/\" title=\"Reader Question: Did I Just Step Into a Shark Tank?\">wrote in earlier this month<\/a> contacted me with a <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>There are SO FEW homes that are 1,500-1,700 square feet (about the square footage I think my family could live in comfortably) that are not split entries (my husband and I find them inefficiently laid out and not very amenable to changes to layout) for sale in the North Seattle\/Shoreline area.  Many are 3 bd 1 ba 1,100-1,300 square foot homes (a little too small for us, a growing family, I think) and many that are 2,000+ square foot homes, many of them split entries, a floor plan we would rather not buy.  We are focusing on homes a mile or so away from I-5 just to make commuting to downtown Seattle easier.  We both work there.<\/p>\n<p>Is this because these houses are absolutely fewer in number?  Is that square footage unique to a housing development time frame or type of house?  Or is it because these are more livable and so people who might put them up for sale otherwise are not in a rush?  Or is it for some other reason we haven&#8217;t understood?<\/p>\n<p>I guess knowing why would make this house hunt a little less painful.  Or at least knowing how rare a house this size is would make it clear whether we (I) should even try to find it.<\/p>\n<p>Also, where the heck are the new listings?  Is there a depression in listings around holidays?  Do people wait until the kids are out of school to list?  After waiting almost 10 years to buy, it&#8217;s irritating that I have so little choice.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>First let&#8217;s try to address the specific question about 1,500 to 1,700 square foot homes.  Here&#8217;s a trick on Redfin that can help you get a sense for how common a certain type of house is in general.  In this example I&#8217;ll be searching in Shoreline, but you can do the same thing anywhere.  First, to get the total number of homes that have sold in the last twenty years or so, un-check the various listing boxes in the search options dropdown and just check &#8220;Sale Records,&#8221; then choose &#8220;All&#8221; in the dropdown.  For Shoreline I get <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/homes-for-sale#!disp_mode=M&#038;market=seattle&#038;region_id=16399&#038;region_type=6&#038;sf=&#038;sold_within_days=36500&#038;uipt=1&#038;v=8\" title=\"Shoreline sold homes on Redfin\">11,400 total single-family sales<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Next, set your square footage and beds\/baths parameters.  When I choose a minimum of 3 bedrooms, 1.25+ bathrooms, and 1,500 to 1,750 square feet, I get <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/homes-for-sale#!disp_mode=M&#038;market=seattle&#038;max_listing_approx_size=1750&#038;min_listing_approx_size=1500&#038;num_baths=1.25&#038;num_beds=3&#038;region_id=16399&#038;region_type=6&#038;sf=&#038;sold_within_days=36500&#038;uipt=1&#038;v=8\" title=\"Shoreline sold homes on Redfin\">1,198 results<\/a>&mdash;10.5% of the total.<\/p>\n<p>There are currently just <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/homes-for-sale#!market=seattle&#038;region_id=16399&#038;region_type=6&#038;sf=1,2&#038;uipt=1&#038;v=8\" title=\"Active listings in Shoreline on Redfin\">115 active single-fmaily listings in Shoreline<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/homes-for-sale#!market=seattle&#038;max_listing_approx_size=1750&#038;min_listing_approx_size=1500&#038;num_baths=1.25&#038;num_beds=3&#038;region_id=16399&#038;region_type=6&#038;sf=1,2&#038;uipt=1&#038;v=8\">just seven that match the above criteria<\/a> (6% of the total), and two of those are split-entry.  Over the last three months, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/homes-for-sale#!market=seattle&#038;region_id=16399&#038;region_type=6&#038;sf=&#038;sold_within_days=90&#038;uipt=1&#038;v=8\" title=\"Shoreline sales on Redfin\">158 houses<\/a> have sold in Shoreline, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/homes-for-sale#!market=seattle&#038;max_listing_approx_size=1750&#038;min_listing_approx_size=1500&#038;num_baths=1.25&#038;num_beds=3&#038;region_id=16399&#038;region_type=6&#038;sf=&#038;sold_within_days=90&#038;uipt=1&#038;v=8\" title=\"Shoreline sales on Redfin\">12 of them<\/a> (7.6%) have fit your criteria.<\/p>\n<p>So relatively speaking, the type of home you&#8217;re looking for does appear to be less common on the market today as it has been in the past.  I would venture to guess that this is probably due to a combination of factors.  Primarily I would suspect that many of these homes were bought during the bubble by first-time buyers who believed the lie that they should stretch their budget to get into a home before they were priced out forever.  Now that the bubble has burst, they&#8217;re stuck in these homes.  They can afford to keep making the mortgage payment, so they haven&#8217;t gone into foreclosure, but they don&#8217;t have enough room in their budget to build any additional savings that might allow them to make a down payment on a &#8220;move-up&#8221; house.<\/p>\n<p>As for the second part of your question, &#8220;where the heck are the new listings?&#8221;  I&#8217;ve been <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/13\/dude-wheres-my-inventory\/\" title=\"Dude, Where\u2019s My Inventory?\">asking that since the <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/02\/10\/2012-the-year-of-crappy-housing-selection\/\" title=\"2012: The Year of Crappy Housing Selection\">start of the year<\/a>.  This year has been the worst on record for new listings.  I think there are just a lot of potential sellers that are &#8220;stuck,&#8221; and many of those that could afford to sell are holding off, thinking that &#8220;the bottom&#8221; means that things will be better for them next year (they won&#8217;t).<\/p>\n<p>What about the rest of you?  Do you have any insight into the medium-sized homes that this reader is searching for?<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size:85%; font-style:italic;\">Full disclosure: The Tim is <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/07\/14\/some-noteworthy-personal-news\/\" title=\"Some Noteworthy Personal News...\">employed by Redfin<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A reader who wrote in earlier this month contacted me with a There are SO FEW homes that are 1,500-1,700 square feet (about the square footage I think my family could live in comfortably) that are not split entries (my husband and I find them inefficiently laid out and not very amenable to changes to&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[206],"tags":[129,566,9],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-20350","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-features","tag-inventory","tag-listings","tag-reader_question"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Reader Question: Where are the modest homes? 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