{"id":209,"date":"2006-05-01T12:23:00","date_gmt":"2006-05-01T19:23:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=209"},"modified":"2006-05-01T12:23:00","modified_gmt":"2006-05-01T19:23:00","slug":"random-thoughts-observations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2006\/05\/01\/random-thoughts-observations\/","title":{"rendered":"Random Thoughts &amp; Observations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/photos1.blogger.com\/blogger\/2906\/550\/1600\/house_shred_money.gif\" rel=\"lightbox[209]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/photos1.blogger.com\/blogger\/2906\/550\/200\/house_shred_money.gif\" title=\"I still love this illustration.\" alt=\"I still love this illustration.\" style=\"border: 1px solid rgb(128, 128, 128); margin: 5px 0pt 5px 5px; float: right;\" height=\"147\" width=\"200\"> <\/a>I heard an ad for a mortgage company on the radio this morning that had the following line:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>We can approve you from your car <i>(i.e. &#8211; over the phone)<\/i>.  Getting a home loan should be as easy as ordering pizza. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It&#8217;s because of companies with that kind of philosophy that we&#8217;ve gotten into this mess.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"display: block; color: rgb(216, 231, 247);\" color=\"#d8e7f7\">My coworker that was <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.blogspot.com\/2006\/03\/workplace-anecdotes.html\" title=\"Workplace Anecdotes\"> selling his Northgate-area house<\/a> was finally successful. When I asked him about it a few weeks ago, he told me that it sold for $460,000 \u2014 just 3% below his original asking price. <i>But<\/i>, according to the Excise Tax Affidavits Report, it sold for $410,000 \u2014 <i>$65,000 (14%) below<\/i> his original asking price, and even $15,000 below his final asking price.  Hmm&#8230;<\/p>\n<hr style=\"display: block; color: rgb(216, 231, 247);\" color=\"#d8e7f7\"> I like <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.blogspot.com\/2006\/05\/home-prices-to-climb-substantially.html#c114650299839416151\" title=\"Comment on &quot;Home Prices To Climb Substantially&quot;\">meshugy&#8217;s suggestion<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p> Since the MLS #s for April will be out on Friday, I think it&#8217;d be fun if everyone made some predictions.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>However, I don&#8217;t think I&#8217;ll be very good at guessing such things, since that would require understanding the mind of today&#8217;s home buyers\u2014who obviously aren&#8217;t basing their decisions on logic or reasoning. Despite that, here&#8217;s my guess for the &quot;residential only&quot; category. Listings flat compared to April &#8217;05, pending sales down 10%, median closing price $408,000.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"display: block; color: rgb(216, 231, 247);\" color=\"#d8e7f7\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.blogspot.com\/2006\/04\/how-are-people-affording-seattle-homes.html\" title=\"How Are People Affording Seattle Homes?\"> My comment on RCG<\/a> was rescued from the bit-bucket, but still has not been responded to by Ardell the Eastside realtor, save for an email in which she explained that she hadn&#8217;t had time to respond yet because she was busy closing a deal. She did respond to another commenter (that used the name &quot;Of course&quot;) who asked: <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>PS. Ardell can you point me to some stats (with a link) that show that a &#8220;family&#8221; is not a first time home buyer?<\/p>\n<p>Thanks.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Her response:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Of course, I&#8217;m assuming that was a &quot;tongue in cheek&quot; question :-) My stats over 16 years. About half of my clients have been first time buyers and only one of those was a family with children and they were only in this country a short time. Since I&#8217;ve sold in five states since 1990 I can&#8217;t &quot;point to the stats&quot;. I have had first time buyers who were not young, in their 40&#8217;s, but they were single. Just my personal experience.<\/p>\n<p>In my experience, I have had families with two children move from a two bedroom condo to a townhome. Oops, forgot my friend Lori. She rented with her husband and three children until her husband passed away. Then she bought a home, cash, with his insurance money.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>So there you have it, if you don&#8217;t get a house before you have kids, you can forget ever getting one at all (unless you happen upon an insurance windfall). I kid.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"display: block; color: rgb(216, 231, 247);\" color=\"#d8e7f7\">Seriously though, if housing prices five years from now aren&#8217;t on a major trend toward more sensible levels, Missouri may be calling my name. <\/p>\n<div class=\"blogger-post-footer\">\n<div style=\"margin: 0 auto; padding: 2px; font-size: 12px; width: 150px; text-align: center; border: 1px dashed #4386ce; background-color: #D5E2F1;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/xclick\/business=paypal%40timandjeni.com&#038;no_note=1&#038;tax=0&#038;currency_code=USD&#038;lc=US&#038;item_name=Seattle%20Bubble%20Donation\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Tip Jar\">Seattle Bubble Tip Jar<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I heard an ad for a mortgage company on the radio this morning that had the following line: We can approve you from your car (i.e. &#8211; over the phone). Getting a home loan should be as easy as ordering pizza. It&#8217;s because of companies with that kind of philosophy that we&#8217;ve gotten into this&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[1113],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Random Thoughts &amp; Observations \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2006\/05\/01\/random-thoughts-observations\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Random Thoughts &amp; Observations \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"I heard an ad for a mortgage company on the radio this morning that had the following line: We can approve you from your car (i.e. &#8211; over the phone). 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