{"id":21682,"date":"2012-10-04T12:00:15","date_gmt":"2012-10-04T19:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=21682"},"modified":"2012-10-04T12:19:26","modified_gmt":"2012-10-04T19:19:26","slug":"nwmls-inventory-sales-prices-head-south-for-winter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/10\/04\/nwmls-inventory-sales-prices-head-south-for-winter\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Inventory, Sales, &#038; Prices Head South For Winter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/10\/01\/enjoy-seattle-bubble-support-this-site-2\/\"><strong>Enjoy Seattle Bubble? Support this Site!<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>September market stats were published by the NWMLS this morning.  Here&#8217;s what they have to say about their numbers: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nwrealestate.com\/nwrpub\/common\/news.cfm\" title=\"Housing market rebound continues, with &quot;slow, unprepared buyers&quot; settling for &quot;2nd choice&quot; homes\">Housing market rebound continues, with &quot;slow, unprepared buyers&quot; settling for &quot;2nd choice&quot; homes<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The imbalance between supply and demand is &#8220;wreaking havoc&#8221; with some buyers and sellers, said Northwest MLS director George Moorhead, branch manager at Bentley Properties in Bothell.  Some sellers are lamenting &#8220;missed opportunities,&#8221; but he believes positive momentum will continue with the combination of below-normal inventory, record-low interest rates and changing views on home ownership. &#8220;We are seeing clients&#8217; views change from a home being a short-term investment vehicle to being a place where we raise and teach our families,&#8221; Moorhead remarked.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Another unsurprising month.  Sales dropped off quite a bit from August, as they do nearly every year.  Prices ticked down slightly, and inventory remains dismal.<\/p>\n<p>All righty, on with our usual monthly stats.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">September 2012<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>5,007<\/td>\n<td>-1.9%<\/td>\n<td>-35.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,798<\/td>\n<td>-16.8%<\/td>\n<td>+13.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.30<\/td>\n<td>+0.3%<\/td>\n<td>-10.9%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,426<\/td>\n<td>-7.5%<\/td>\n<td>+14.9%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>2.06<\/td>\n<td>+6.1%<\/td>\n<td>-43.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$375,000<\/td>\n<td>-0.8%<\/td>\n<td>+7.3%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> (<a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">Excel 2003 format<\/a>), but keep in mind the caution above.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed2012-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[21682]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed2012-09-600x409.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"409\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Nothing surprising this year as sales dropped of from August to September just like they do almost every year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/KingCoSFHInventory2012-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[21682]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/KingCoSFHInventory2012-09-600x409.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" width=\"600\" height=\"409\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Still rolling along in the gutter.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  In place of the now-unreliable measure of pending sales, the &#8220;demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2012-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[21682]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2012-09-600x409.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" width=\"600\" height=\"409\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Same story yet again.  Sales up, listings down.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/KingCoSFHPrices2012-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[21682]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/KingCoSFHPrices2012-09-600x409.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" width=\"600\" height=\"409\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The year over year increase seems to have leveled off somewhat around 7%.  It will be interesting to see how this number changes once we start getting year-over-year numbers that compare similar <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/09\/18\/bank-owned-sales-fall-to-lowest-point-since-april-09\/\" title=\"Bank-Owned Sales Fall to Lowest Point Since April \u201909\">shares of bank-owned sales<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2012-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[21682]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2012-09-600x436.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>September 2012: $375,000<br \/>\nJuly 2005: $375,000<\/p>\n<p>Here are the Times and P-I headlines.<br \/>\nSeattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2019341341_homesalesxml.html\" title=\"King County home prices, sales in September ahead of last year's pace\">King County home prices, sales in September ahead of last year&#8217;s pace<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle P-I: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/realestate\/article\/King-County-home-prices-sales-up-inventory-down-3919385.php\" title=\"King County home prices, sales up; inventory down\">King County home prices, sales up; inventory down<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back tomorrow for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Enjoy Seattle Bubble? Support this Site! September market stats were published by the NWMLS this morning. Here&#8217;s what they have to say about their numbers: Housing market rebound continues, with &quot;slow, unprepared buyers&quot; settling for &quot;2nd choice&quot; homes. The imbalance between supply and demand is &#8220;wreaking havoc&#8221; with some buyers and sellers, said Northwest MLS&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-21682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Inventory, Sales, &amp; Prices Head South For Winter \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2012\/10\/04\/nwmls-inventory-sales-prices-head-south-for-winter\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Inventory, Sales, &amp; Prices Head South For Winter \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Enjoy Seattle Bubble? Support this Site! September market stats were published by the NWMLS this morning. Here&#8217;s what they have to say about their numbers: Housing market rebound continues, with &quot;slow, unprepared buyers&quot; settling for &quot;2nd choice&quot; homes. 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His background in engineering and computer \/ internet technology, a fondness of data-based analysis of problems, and an addiction to spreadsheets all influence his perspective on the Seattle-area real estate market. 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Here&#8217;s what they have to say about their numbers: Housing market rebound continues, with &quot;slow, unprepared buyers&quot; settling for &quot;2nd choice&quot; homes. 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