{"id":25527,"date":"2013-02-05T12:02:06","date_gmt":"2013-02-05T20:02:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=25527"},"modified":"2013-02-05T21:12:06","modified_gmt":"2013-02-06T05:12:06","slug":"nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/02\/05\/nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Prices Dipped, Inventory Inched Up in January"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>December market stats were published by the NWMLS this morning.  Here&#8217;s a snippet from their press release: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nwrealestate.com\/nwrpub\/common\/news.cfm\" title=\"Brokers report brisk sales, but rising frustration for home buyers\">Brokers report brisk sales, but rising frustration for home buyers<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;I personally have never seen the ratio between active buyers and available inventory in Seattle\u2019s close-in neighborhoods so out of balance,&#8221; remarked Mike Skahen, owner\/designated broker at Lake &#038; Co. Real Estate in Seattle. Skahen, a real estate professional since 1976, said multiple offers and bids well over the list price are common. &#8220;Even homes that were hard to sell for various reasons are being snapped up so those sellers were wise to list,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p>Lena Maul, a new member of the Northwest MLS board of directors, and the designated broker\/owner at Windermere\/North in Lynnwood, agreed now is a good time for sellers to list. &#8220;Sellers who are considering a spring or summer listing may want to consider listing now as demand is outweighing supply,&#8221; she noted, adding, &#8220;This has given well priced sellers the advantage with the benefit of quick sales and multiple offers.&#8221;<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\n&#8220;Buyers should not forget the human element of appealing to a seller in this multiple offer market,&#8221; Maul emphasized, adding, &#8220;You just never know who is on the other side of a transaction and what might be important to them. In this case, selling their home to an owner occupant who appreciated special features of their home versus an investor sealed the deal, not cash.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Ugh, gross.  Personally, if I have to write a love note to the seller and grovel to get them to accept my offer, that&#8217;s a sign to me that I should either find another house or take a break from the market and try again next year.<\/p>\n<p>All righty, on with our usual monthly stats.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">January 2013<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>2,975<\/td>\n<td>+1.0%<\/td>\n<td>-44.7%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,363<\/td>\n<td>-21.7%<\/td>\n<td>+24.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.05<\/td>\n<td>-15.1%<\/td>\n<td>-14.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,109<\/td>\n<td>+30.4%<\/td>\n<td>+12.7%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>1.41<\/td>\n<td>-22.5%<\/td>\n<td>-50.9%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$350,000<\/td>\n<td>-7.9%<\/td>\n<td>+12.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> (<a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">Excel 2003 format<\/a>), but keep in mind the caution above.<\/p>\n<p>This is the lowest months of supply has <em>ever<\/em> been as far back as my data goes (January 2000).  Of course, the NWMLS changed the definition of &#8220;active listing&#8221; in July 2008, so months of supply before and after that point aren&#8217;t really directly comparable.  Still though, 1.4 months of supply is insanely low by any measure.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHClosed2013-01.png\" rel=\"lightbox[25527]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHClosed2013-01-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales came in higher than any year since 2007.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHInventory2013-01.png\" rel=\"lightbox[25527]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHInventory2013-01-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>It is crazy how much lower inventory is to start off 2013 than it has been in <em>any other year<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  In place of the now-unreliable measure of pending sales, the &#8220;demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2013-01.png\" rel=\"lightbox[25527]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2013-01-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Same basic story we&#8217;ve seen since late 2011, with no sign of a change as of yet.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHPrices2013-01.png\" rel=\"lightbox[25527]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHPrices2013-01-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Big drop from a month ago, but still up over double digits.  I expect this to continue to fall as we begin to compare year-over-year numbers with similar <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/01\/16\/bank-owned-sales-skip-usual-winter-boost\/\" title=\"Bank-Owned Sales Skip Usual Winter Boost\">shares of bank-owned homes in the mix<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2013-01.png\" rel=\"lightbox[25527]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2013-01-600x436.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>January 2013: $350,000<br \/>\nApril 2005: $350,000<\/p>\n<p>As of yet I haven&#8217;t seen any stories posted on the Times or P-I.  I&#8217;ll update this post when they do.<\/p>\n<p>Check back tomorrow for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n<p><strong>[Update]<\/strong><br \/>\nSeattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2020293941_homesales06xml.html\" title=\"King County home prices dip to March lows\">King County home prices dip to March lows<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle P-I: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/realestate\/article\/Low-home-inventory-driving-up-prices-4253349.php\" title=\"Low home inventory driving up prices\">Low home inventory driving up prices<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>December market stats were published by the NWMLS this morning. Here&#8217;s a snippet from their press release: Brokers report brisk sales, but rising frustration for home buyers. &#8220;I personally have never seen the ratio between active buyers and available inventory in Seattle\u2019s close-in neighborhoods so out of balance,&#8221; remarked Mike Skahen, owner\/designated broker at Lake&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Prices Dipped, Inventory Inched Up in January http:\/\/wp.me\/pe2Bv-6DJ","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-25527","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Prices Dipped, Inventory Inched Up in January \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/02\/05\/nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Prices Dipped, Inventory Inched Up in January \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"December market stats were published by the NWMLS this morning. 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Here&#8217;s a snippet from their press release: Brokers report brisk sales, but rising frustration for home buyers. &#8220;I personally have never seen the ratio between active buyers and available inventory in Seattle\u2019s close-in neighborhoods so out of balance,&#8221; remarked Mike Skahen, owner\/designated broker at Lake...","twitter_image":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/images-global\/down-red.gif","twitter_creator":"@The_Tim","twitter_site":"@SeattleBubble","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"The Tim","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/02\/05\/nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january\/","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/02\/05\/nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january\/","name":"NWMLS: Prices Dipped, Inventory Inched Up in January \u2022 Seattle Bubble","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/02\/05\/nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/02\/05\/nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHClosed2013-01-600x408.png","datePublished":"2013-02-05T20:02:06+00:00","dateModified":"2013-02-06T05:12:06+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/02\/05\/nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/02\/05\/nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/02\/05\/nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHClosed2013-01.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/KingCoSFHClosed2013-01.png","width":907,"height":618},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/02\/05\/nwmls-prices-dipped-inventory-inched-up-in-january\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"NWMLS: Prices Dipped, Inventory Inched Up in January"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/","name":"Seattle Bubble","description":"local\u00a0real\u00a0estate\u00a0news, statistics,\u00a0and\u00a0commentary without\u00a0the\u00a0sales\u00a0spin.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7de7c0dd14bee1a2c67f7ce86bc4505f","name":"The Tim","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/37756956c11dcc50d2559761ffa5ee70","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/19e5770990a1681615608091b2de571b10c3e03bbac7d07bb2ae15297ee72fbc?s=96&d=retro&r=g","caption":"The Tim"},"description":"Tim Ellis is the founder of Seattle Bubble. 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