{"id":27454,"date":"2013-10-04T16:26:54","date_gmt":"2013-10-04T23:26:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=27454"},"modified":"2013-10-04T16:26:54","modified_gmt":"2013-10-04T23:26:54","slug":"nwmls-inventory-up-home-sales-prices-down","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/10\/04\/nwmls-inventory-up-home-sales-prices-down\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Inventory Up, Home Sales &#038; Prices Down"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>They have not yet published the press release to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nwrealestate.com\/nwrpub\/common\/news.cfm\" title=\"NWMLS Press Release\">their website<\/a>, but September market stats are now available from the NWMLS.  Once they post a press release I&#8217;ll update this post with a brief snippet.  Until then, let&#8217;s just go straight to the stats.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">September 2013<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>4,965<\/td>\n<td>+1.3%<\/td>\n<td>-0.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,200<\/td>\n<td>-14.1%<\/td>\n<td>+22.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.19<\/td>\n<td>-9.1%<\/td>\n<td>-8.5%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,508<\/td>\n<td>-11.8%<\/td>\n<td>+3.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>1.98<\/td>\n<td>+14.9%<\/td>\n<td>-4.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$420,000<\/td>\n<td>-2.3%<\/td>\n<td>+12.0%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> (<a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">Excel 2003 format<\/a>), but keep in mind the caution above.<\/p>\n<p>Just like we said earlier this week in the stats preview, inventory ticked up one more time this year, but didn&#8217;t <em>quite<\/em> beat 2012&#8217;s number yet.  Pending sales fell for the fourth month in a row, while closed sales fell for the second month.  The median price dipped slightly, putting home prices on par with where they were in February 2005 after adjusting for inflation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Median Price\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSFH-Median-Inflation_2013-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[27454]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Median Price - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSFH-Median-Inflation_2013-09-600x435.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Median Price\" width=\"600\" height=\"435\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed2013-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[27454]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSFHClosed2013-09-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales fall between August and September most years, and 2013 was no exception.  The decline was somewhat on the large side though, as the 6th largest drop in the last 21 years.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSFHInventory2013-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[27454]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSFHInventory2013-09-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Still didn&#8217;t quite hit year-over-year positive inventory in September, even though we saw a month-over-month increase while last year the same period saw a decrease.  Inventory was down less than one percent from a year ago&mdash;a lot better for buyers than the 44.7% year-over-year decrease we saw in January.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2013-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[27454]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2013-09-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The supply trend almost hit zero, while the demand trend moved back up a bit.  We&#8217;re still quite a ways from a good market for buyers.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSFHPrices2013-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[27454]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSFHPrices2013-09-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The median sale price fell for the second month in a row in September, but year-over-year the median price is still up double digits.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2013-09.png\" rel=\"lightbox[27454]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2013-09-600x436.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>September 2013: $420,000<br \/>\nApril 2006: $419,000<\/p>\n<p>Here are today&#8217;s articles from the Times and P-I:<br \/>\nSeattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2021964803_homesalesseptxml.html\" title=\"King County home prices fell 2.3 percent last month\">King County home prices fell 2.3 percent last month<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle P-I: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/realestate\/article\/Home-selection-the-best-since-February-4869678.php\" title=\"Home selection the best since February\">Home selection the best since February<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back Monday for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>They have not yet published the press release to their website, but September market stats are now available from the NWMLS. Once they post a press release I&#8217;ll update this post with a brief snippet. Until then, let&#8217;s just go straight to the stats. CAUTION NWMLS monthly reports include an undisclosed and varying number ofsales&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27459,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Inventory Up, Home Sales & Prices Down http:\/\/wp.me\/pe2Bv-78O","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-27454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Inventory Up, Home Sales &amp; Prices Down \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/10\/04\/nwmls-inventory-up-home-sales-prices-down\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Inventory Up, Home Sales &amp; Prices Down \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"They have not yet published the press release to their website, but September market stats are now available from the NWMLS. 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