{"id":28266,"date":"2014-02-07T09:00:35","date_gmt":"2014-02-07T17:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=28266"},"modified":"2014-02-07T10:11:36","modified_gmt":"2014-02-07T18:11:36","slug":"guess-price-round-7-finally-winner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/02\/07\/guess-price-round-7-finally-winner\/","title":{"rendered":"Guess the Price Round 7: We (Finally) Have a Winner!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Way back in September we launched our latest price-guessing contest: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2013\/09\/10\/guess-price-round-7-west-seattle-almost-beach\/\" title=\"Guess the Price Round 7: West Seattle Almost-Beach\">Guess the Price Round 7: West Seattle Almost-Beach<\/a>.  Forty readers made guesses this round before the contest deadline.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/WA\/Seattle\/3015-64th-Ave-SW-98116\/home\/150435\" title=\"3015 64th Ave SW, Seattle, WA 98116\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/Guess-the-Price_7_3015-64th-Ave-SW-98116-front-tn.jpg\" title=\"3015 64th Ave SW, Seattle, WA 98116\" alt=\"3015 64th Ave SW, Seattle, WA 98116\" style=\"border:1px solid #000000; float:right; margin:5px 0 10px 10px;\" \/><\/a>Today&#8217;s &#8220;Guess the Price&#8221; guest star is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.redfin.com\/WA\/Seattle\/3015-64th-Ave-SW-98116\/home\/150435\" title=\"3015 64th Ave SW, Seattle, WA 98116\">3015 64th Ave SW<\/a> in West Seattle.<\/p>\n<p>This round&#8217;s home hit the market last Wednesday with an <strong>asking price of $529,000<\/strong>. It last sold almost 13 years ago in November 2000 for $320,000, so today&#8217;s asking price represents average annual appreciation of just under 4 percent.  For reference, the Case-Shiller index for Seattle has gained roughly 3 percent per year over the same period, a rate that would put the current value of this home at $475,000.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Your guesses ranged from $425,000 to $540,000.  The average price guessed was $512,220, and the median guess was $515,000.  Here&#8217;s the plot of all the guesses, with the final close price &#038; date marked in green:<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/Guess-the-Price_3015-64th-Ave-SW.png\" style=\"border:0;\" title=\"Price Guesses: 3015 64th Ave SW, Seattle, WA 98116\" alt=\"Price Guesses: 3015 64th Ave SW, Seattle, WA 98116\" width=\"600\" height=\"450\" \/><\/div>\n<p>According to the NWMLS, the home sold on January 31 (almost five months after listing), with a closing price of <strong>$451,000<\/strong>.  Only one person guessed lower than the sale price.  However, that person was not the closest.  The closest guess was $468,850 by Anna.  Congratulations!<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the difference between the average guess and the final sale price our contests so far:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>-2.2%<\/li>\n<li>+5.5%<\/li>\n<li>-10.5%<\/li>\n<li>+10.0%<\/li>\n<li>+2.8%<\/li>\n<li>-2.4%<\/li>\n<li>+13.6%<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Bummer, you guys were way off this time around.  Never thought I would say this, but apparently we have far too optimistic a crowd here!  Heh.<\/p>\n<p>Stay tuned in the next few weeks, when we&#8217;ll kick off another round of Guess the Price.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Way back in September we launched our latest price-guessing contest: Guess the Price Round 7: West Seattle Almost-Beach. Forty readers made guesses this round before the contest deadline. Today&#8217;s &#8220;Guess the Price&#8221; guest star is 3015 64th Ave SW in West Seattle. This round&#8217;s home hit the market last Wednesday with an asking price of&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28268,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: Guess the Price Round 7: We (Finally) Have a Winner!","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[206],"tags":[145,556,734,735],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-28266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-features","tag-appraisal","tag-contest","tag-game","tag-guess-the-price"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Guess the Price Round 7: We (Finally) Have a Winner! \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/02\/07\/guess-price-round-7-finally-winner\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Guess the Price Round 7: We (Finally) Have a Winner! \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Way back in September we launched our latest price-guessing contest: Guess the Price Round 7: West Seattle Almost-Beach. 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