{"id":28398,"date":"2014-03-05T23:00:42","date_gmt":"2014-03-06T07:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=28398"},"modified":"2014-03-05T23:40:05","modified_gmt":"2014-03-06T07:40:05","slug":"nwmls-sales-slipping-because-of-the-seahawks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/03\/05\/nwmls-sales-slipping-because-of-the-seahawks\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Sales Are Slipping Because of the Seahawks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>February market stats were published by the NWMLS earlier today.  I had an extremely busy day so I&#8217;m only just now getting to posting them.  Here&#8217;s a snippet from their press release: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.northwestmls.com\/index.cfm?\/News--Information\" title=\"Home Sales Shrink as Buyers Take a Timeout due to Inventory shortages, Seahawks Playoffs\">Home Sales Shrink as Buyers Take a Timeout due to Inventory shortages, Seahawks Playoffs<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Northwest Multiple Listing Service brokers reported 507 fewer pending sales during February than the same month in 2013, but members believe the 6.5 percent decline isn&#8217;t due to a shortage of buyers. &#8220;If we just had enough homes to sell we would easily be outpacing last year&#8217;s pending numbers,&#8221; said Mike Gain, CEO and president of Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Northwest Real Estate. &#8220;Locally, we are literally starving for inventory,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p>Another industry leader pointed not only to a &#8220;severe shortage of homes for sale&#8221; in the most sought-after price ranges, but also to the fan frenzy surrounding the Seahawks as a factor in the setback of sales. &#8220;The Seahawks&#8217; run to the Super Bowl affected sales,&#8221; reported J. Lennox Scott. Since the Super Bowl Championship game, he said listing activity has picked up, resulting in brisk sales activity for the new, but still limited inventory.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Lennox Scott has become a parody of himself.<\/p>\n<p>On with our usual monthly stats.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">February 2014<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>3,173<\/td>\n<td>+1.3%<\/td>\n<td>+7.7%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>1,241<\/td>\n<td>-5.2%<\/td>\n<td>-5.0%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.39<\/td>\n<td>+28.4%<\/td>\n<td>-1.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,154<\/td>\n<td>+7.2%<\/td>\n<td>-12.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>2.56<\/td>\n<td>+6.9%<\/td>\n<td>+13.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$405,400<\/td>\n<td>-1.1%<\/td>\n<td>+11.1%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> (<a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">Excel 2003 format<\/a>), but keep in mind the caution above.<\/p>\n<p>Pending sales hit year-over-year double-digit losses for the first time in nearly three years, while closed sales shrank by their largest amount in nearly as long.  Prices came in well above last year, but unlike last year they fell between January and February.<\/p>\n<p>Median Price January to February 2013: +4.3%<br \/>\nMedian Price January to February 2014: -1.1%<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/KingCoSFHClosed2014-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[28398]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/KingCoSFHClosed2014-02-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>February home sales came in slightly below last year, in the middle to the lower-end of the pack.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[28398]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-02-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Second-lowest inventory on record for a February, beating last year just slightly.  You would think that with home prices up so much from the bottom two years ago there would be more sellers finally getting &#8220;off the fence&#8221; and listing their home.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2014-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[28398]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2014-02-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Very slightly trending toward a buyer&#8217;s market, with the supply trend in the black, and the demand trend in the red.  We&#8217;ll still need a lot more movement than this before the market actually becomes a buyer&#8217;s market.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/KingCoSFHPrices2014-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[28398]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/KingCoSFHPrices2014-02-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The median sale price inched down some more in February and year-over-year number dipped.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2014-02.png\" rel=\"lightbox[28398]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2014-02-600x436.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>February 2014: $405,400<br \/>\nMarch 2006: $405,000<br \/>\nHere are the articles from the Seattle Times and P-I:<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2023056793_homesalesfebxml.html\" title=\"Home prices dip again in King County\">Home prices dip again in King County<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle P-I: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/realestate\/article\/Fewer-home-sales-more-listings-drive-up-5291415.php\" title=\"Fewer home sales, more listings drive up inventory in Seattle area\">Fewer home sales, more listings drive up inventory in Seattle area<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back later tomorrow for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>February market stats were published by the NWMLS earlier today. I had an extremely busy day so I&#8217;m only just now getting to posting them. Here&#8217;s a snippet from their press release: Home Sales Shrink as Buyers Take a Timeout due to Inventory shortages, Seahawks Playoffs. Northwest Multiple Listing Service brokers reported 507 fewer pending&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28401,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Sales Are Slipping Because of the Seahawks","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-28398","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Sales Are Slipping Because of the Seahawks \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/03\/05\/nwmls-sales-slipping-because-of-the-seahawks\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Sales Are Slipping Because of the Seahawks \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"February market stats were published by the NWMLS earlier today. I had an extremely busy day so I&#8217;m only just now getting to posting them. Here&#8217;s a snippet from their press release: Home Sales Shrink as Buyers Take a Timeout due to Inventory shortages, Seahawks Playoffs. 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