{"id":285,"date":"2006-07-09T12:14:00","date_gmt":"2006-07-09T19:14:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=285"},"modified":"2006-07-09T12:14:00","modified_gmt":"2006-07-09T19:14:00","slug":"rents-predicted-to-rise-still","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2006\/07\/09\/rents-predicted-to-rise-still\/","title":{"rendered":"Rents Predicted To Rise&#8230; Still"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A number of readers pointed out an article in yesterday&#8217;s Seattle Times about &#8220;multifamily housing&#8221; (apartments) that&#8217;s full of <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.blogspot.com\/2006\/05\/even-rent-unaffordable-to-thousands.html\" title=\"Even Rent Unaffordable To Thousands\">the usual pep-talk and rah-rah-speak<\/a> claiming that <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.nwsource.com\/html\/realestate\/2003111681_realinvestors09.html\" title=\"Multifamily market makes its big move\">prices have nowhere to go but up, up, up, and isn&#8217;t that just wonderful<\/a>!<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>With apartment vacancy rates declining and job growth increasing, real-estate investors are snapping up properties in anticipation of a three-year boom in the multifamily market around Seattle.<\/p>\n<p>Local investors are beefing up holdings, and out-of-state investors are buying large buildings, even as developers take more apartments off the rental market and convert them to condominiums.<br \/>&#8230;<br \/>Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors, a research firm in Seattle, reports apartment vacancies were 4.6 percent as of April, down from 6.5 percent a year ago. This is the first time the rate has fallen below 5 percent since 2001, the firm said.<\/p>\n<p>Starting next spring, rates are predicted to dip below 4 percent and stay there through the end of 2008. Dupre + Scott expects rents will rise about 5.2 percent a year.<\/p>\n<p>Condo conversions play into the dipping vacancy rate, Bosl said.<\/p>\n<p>He cited Dupre + Scott data that indicate that in 2005, more apartments were converted to condos and taken off the rental market than new apartments were built and added to the market.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Seattle is a favorite of the investment community now,&#8221; said Peter Larsen, a principal with Paragon Real Estate Advisors in Seattle, a firm that sells buildings with 10 to 100 units and typically priced from $1 million to $12 million. &#8220;People&#8217;s expectation of rising rents is outpacing their fear of rising interest rates.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Larsen said mid-sized buildings his firm represents are selling faster, with some properties moving in only 30 days.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Of course, one thing this article doesn&#8217;t mention is how many condo conversion apartments have come back on the market as rentals as the &#8220;investors&#8221; try to turn a buck&#8230;  That&#8217;s the kind of real investigative reporting I can only dream about in Seattle.<\/p>\n<p>However, even if the claims made in this article are 100% true, I would still be convinced that renting is by far the better deal right now.  You can get a pretty darn nice apartment for $1,250 per month&mdash;far less than even most interest-only mortgages on condos around here.  Even if rents go up 5%, you&#8217;re only looking at an increase of $62.50 per month, barely pushing you over the $1,300 mark, and still a far cry from the cost of a mortgage.<\/p>\n<p>So maybe mildly rents really is a win-win situation for everyone.  Renters still pay far less than they would owning, and apartment owners turn a greater profit.<\/p>\n<p>(<i>Jane Hodges, <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.nwsource.com\/html\/realestate\/2003111681_realinvestors09.html\" title=\"Multifamily market makes its big move\">Seattle Times<\/a>, 07.08.2006<\/i>)<\/p>\n<div style=\"font-weight: bold; color: #B6655F; font-variant: small-caps; float: right; font-size: 85%; margin-top: 10px;\">Please read <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.blogspot.com\/2006\/07\/more-user-friendly-seattle-bubble.html\">the rules<\/a> before posting a comment.<\/div>\n<div class=\"blogger-post-footer\">\n<div style=\"margin: 0 auto; padding: 2px; font-size: 12px; width: 150px; text-align: center; border: 1px dashed #4386ce; background-color: #D5E2F1;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/xclick\/business=paypal%40timandjeni.com&#038;no_note=1&#038;tax=0&#038;currency_code=USD&#038;lc=US&#038;item_name=Seattle%20Bubble%20Donation\" title=\"Seattle Bubble Tip Jar\">Seattle Bubble Tip Jar<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A number of readers pointed out an article in yesterday&#8217;s Seattle Times about &#8220;multifamily housing&#8221; (apartments) that&#8217;s full of the usual pep-talk and rah-rah-speak claiming that prices have nowhere to go but up, up, up, and isn&#8217;t that just wonderful! With apartment vacancy rates declining and job growth increasing, real-estate investors are snapping up properties&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[1113],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Rents Predicted To Rise... 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