{"id":29401,"date":"2014-09-04T14:00:52","date_gmt":"2014-09-04T21:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=29401"},"modified":"2014-09-04T14:55:06","modified_gmt":"2014-09-04T21:55:06","slug":"nwmls-closed-sales-median-price-dip-august","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/09\/04\/nwmls-closed-sales-median-price-dip-august\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Closed Sales, Median Price Dip in August"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>August market stats were published by the NWMLS today.  Here&#8217;s a snippet from their press release: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.northwestmls.com\/index.cfm?\/News--Information\" title=\"Western Washington housing market stability continues with modest gains in sales, prices\">Western Washington housing market stability continues with modest gains in sales, prices<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Stability&#8221; seemed to characterize the direction of Western Washington&#8217;s housing market during August, according to new figures from Northwest Multiple Listing Service.<\/p>\n<p>Both the volume of sales and prices rose slightly from a year ago, although both indicators slipped somewhat from July. MLS members also reported a modest year-over-year increase in inventory, but the number of new listings added to the selection during August was the smallest since April.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;What we are seeing now with the market is a moderated growth in appreciation, a normalizing of sales volume, and continued health overall,&#8221; declared MLS director George Moorhead, the owner and designated broker at Bentley Properties in Bothell. &#8220;It is not a call for alarm,&#8221; Moorhead emphasized, describing it as &#8220;just a balancing and adjusting of a healthy market.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Compared to usual enthusiastic, back-patting, celebratory tone we&#8217;ve seen in these releases lately, this month&#8217;s issue is downright somber. But <strong>nobody panic<\/strong>! Everything is <em>stable<\/em>. There is <strong>no call for alarm<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Okay, let&#8217;s get on with our usual monthly stats.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">August 2014<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>4,967<\/td>\n<td>+2.2%<\/td>\n<td>+1.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,384<\/td>\n<td>-10.6%<\/td>\n<td>-6.9%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.33<\/td>\n<td>-1.5%<\/td>\n<td>+2.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,782<\/td>\n<td>-4.1%<\/td>\n<td>-2.2%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>2.08<\/td>\n<td>+14.2%<\/td>\n<td>+8.9%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$437,000<\/td>\n<td>-6.6%<\/td>\n<td>+1.6%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> (<a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">Excel 2003 format<\/a>), but keep in mind the caution above.<\/p>\n<p>The big story this month is two-fold: closed sales and the median price both dropped considerably between July and August. Only one August on record (going back through 1993) has seen a bigger month-over-month decline in closed sales, August 2010 at -10.9% just barely edged out this August at -10.6%. Prior to this year, on average between July and August closed sales actually <em>increased<\/em> 1.8%.<\/p>\n<p>The second big story is the median price, which fell a whopping 6.6% in the month&mdash;the largest decline on record for <em>any summer month<\/em> (July, August, September) going all the way back through 1993.<\/p>\n<p>Median Price July to August 2013: -0.9%<br \/>\nMedian Price July to August 2014: -6.6%<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/KingCoSFHClosed2014-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29401]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/KingCoSFHClosed2014-08-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sales took quite a dip month-over-month and saw their second-biggest year-over-year decline this year, but remain well above the post-bubble crash levels seen from 2008 through 2011.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29401]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-08-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Inventory inched up much more slowly in August than it had in the months prior.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2014-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29401]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2014-08-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Still moving ever so slightly toward buyers.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/KingCoSFHPrices2014-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29401]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/KingCoSFHPrices2014-08-600x408.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The year-over-year growth in median price fell to its lowest point since April 2012, which was the last month that prices were still down from a year earlier.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2014-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29401]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2014-08-600x436.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>August 2014: $437,000<br \/>\nNovember 2006: $435,000<\/p>\n<p>Here are the articles from the Seattle Times and P-I:<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2024463590_augusthomesalesxml.html\" title=\"King Co. home prices in August up from year ago\">King Co. home prices in August up from year ago<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle P-I: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/realestate\/article\/Seattle-house-prices-down-from-July-s-record-5734021.php\" title=\"Seattle house prices down from July's record\">Seattle house prices down from July&#8217;s record<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back tomorrow for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>August market stats were published by the NWMLS today. Here&#8217;s a snippet from their press release: Western Washington housing market stability continues with modest gains in sales, prices. &#8220;Stability&#8221; seemed to characterize the direction of Western Washington&#8217;s housing market during August, according to new figures from Northwest Multiple Listing Service. Both the volume of sales&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29405,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Closed Sales, Median Price Dip in August http:\/\/wp.me\/pe2Bv-7Ed","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-29401","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Closed Sales, Median Price Dip in August \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/09\/04\/nwmls-closed-sales-median-price-dip-august\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Closed Sales, Median Price Dip in August \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"August market stats were published by the NWMLS today. 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