{"id":29715,"date":"2014-10-28T08:37:16","date_gmt":"2014-10-28T15:37:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=29715"},"modified":"2014-10-28T08:37:16","modified_gmt":"2014-10-28T15:37:16","slug":"case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-begin-autumn-decline-earlier-last-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/10\/28\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-begin-autumn-decline-earlier-last-year\/","title":{"rendered":"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Begin the Autumn Decline Earlier Than Last Year"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the <a title=\"S&amp;P\/Case-Shiller\u00ae Home Price Indices\" href=\"http:\/\/us.spindices.com\/index-family\/real-estate\/sp-case-shiller\">Case-Shiller Home Price Index<\/a>.  According to August data, Seattle-area home prices were:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>0.0% Change July to August<br \/>\n<strong>Up 6.6% YOY.<\/strong><br \/>\n<em>Down<\/em> 11.1% from the July 2007 peak<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Last year at this time prices were still rising. They increased 0.5% from July to August and year-over-year prices were up 13.2% (the highest point gains have hit since late 2006).<\/p>\n<p>The August data shows a continued cooldown in the crazy home price gains we had been seeing, with the year-over-year level dropping to its lowest level since October 2012.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an interactive graph of the year-over-year change for all twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities, courtesy of <a href=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/\" title=\"Tableau Software\">Tableau Software<\/a>  (check and un-check the boxes on the right):<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 600px; height: 700px; margin: 0 auto;\">\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<div class=\"tableauPlaceholder\" style=\"width:604px; height:669px;\"><noscript><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/10\/28\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-begin-autumn-decline-earlier-last-year\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"YOY Change\" src=\"http:&#47;&#47;public.tableausoftware.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Ca&#47;Case-Shiller-YOY&#47;YOYChange&#47;1_rss.png\" style=\"border: none\" \/><\/a><\/noscript><object class=\"tableauViz\" width=\"604\" height=\"669\" style=\"display:none;\"><param name=\"host_url\" value=\"http%3A%2F%2Fpublic.tableausoftware.com%2F\" \/><param name=\"site_root\" value=\"\" \/><param name=\"name\" value=\"Case-Shiller-YOY&#47;YOYChange\" \/><param name=\"tabs\" value=\"no\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"static_image\" value=\"http:&#47;&#47;public.tableausoftware.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Ca&#47;Case-Shiller-YOY&#47;YOYChange&#47;1.png\" \/><param name=\"animate_transition\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_static_image\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_spinner\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_overlay\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_count\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><\/div>\n<div style=\"width:604px;height:22px;padding:0px 10px 0px 0px;color:black;font:normal 8pt verdana,helvetica,arial,sans-serif;\">\n<div style=\"float:right; padding-right:8px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tableausoftware.com\/public?ref=http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/views\/Case-Shiller-YOY\/YOYChange\" target=\"_blank\">Powered by Tableau<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Seattle&#8217;s position for month-over-month changes fell from #12 in July to #16 in August.  Detroit, Dallas, Denver, Las Vegas, New York, Atlanta, Chicago, Portland, Miami, Minneapolis, Cleveland, Tampa, Phoenix, Boston, and Washington DC all saw home prices rise more between July and August than they did in Seattle.<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/Case-ShillerHPI_MOM_2014-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29715]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/Case-ShillerHPI_MOM_2014-08-600x436.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Month-to-Month\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Hit the jump for the rest of our monthly Case-Shiller charts, including the interactive chart of raw index data for all 20 cities.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->In August, seven of the twenty Case-Shiller-tracked cities gained more year-over-year than Seattle (two fewer than July):<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Miami at +10.5%<\/li>\n<li>Las Vegas at +10.1%<\/li>\n<li>San Francisco at +9.0%<\/li>\n<li>Dallas at +7.3%<\/li>\n<li>Portland at +7.2%<\/li>\n<li>Detroit at +7.0%<\/li>\n<li>Los Angeles at +6.8%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Twelve cities gained less than Seattle as of August: Denver, San Diego, Tampa, Atlanta, Boston, Phoenix, Minneapolis, New York, Washington, Chicago, Charlotte, and Cleveland.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the interactive chart of the raw HPI for all twenty cities through August.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 600px; height: 700px; margin: 0 auto;\">\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<div class=\"tableauPlaceholder\" style=\"width:604px; height:669px;\"><noscript><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/10\/28\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-begin-autumn-decline-earlier-last-year\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI \" src=\"http:&#47;&#47;public.tableausoftware.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Ca&#47;Case-Shiller&#47;Case-ShillerHPI&#47;1_rss.png\" style=\"border: none\" \/><\/a><\/noscript><object class=\"tableauViz\" width=\"604\" height=\"669\" style=\"display:none;\"><param name=\"host_url\" value=\"http%3A%2F%2Fpublic.tableausoftware.com%2F\" \/><param name=\"site_root\" value=\"\" \/><param name=\"name\" value=\"Case-Shiller&#47;Case-ShillerHPI\" \/><param name=\"tabs\" value=\"no\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"static_image\" value=\"http:&#47;&#47;public.tableausoftware.com&#47;static&#47;images&#47;Ca&#47;Case-Shiller&#47;Case-ShillerHPI&#47;1.png\" \/><param name=\"animate_transition\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_static_image\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_spinner\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_overlay\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_count\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><\/div>\n<div style=\"width:604px;height:22px;padding:0px 10px 0px 0px;color:black;font:normal 8pt verdana,helvetica,arial,sans-serif;\">\n<div style=\"float:right; padding-right:8px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tableausoftware.com\/public?ref=http:\/\/public.tableausoftware.com\/views\/Case-Shiller\/Case-ShillerHPI\" target=\"_blank\">Powered by Tableau<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an update to the peak-decline graph, inspired by a graph <a title=\"Comment by CrystalBall\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2008\/01\/29\/case-shiller-november-seattle-playing-catch-up\/#comment-38661\">created by reader CrystalBall<\/a>.  This chart takes the twelve cities whose peak index was greater than 175, and tracks how far they have fallen so far from their peak.  The horizontal axis shows the total number of months since each individual city peaked.<\/p>\n<p style=\"width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak - Click to enlarge\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/Case-ShillerHPI_Decline-From-Peak_2014-08.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29715]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/Case-ShillerHPI_Decline-From-Peak_2014-08-600x436.png\" alt=\"Case-Shiller HPI: Decline From Peak\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In the eighty-four months since the price peak in Seattle prices have declined 11.1%.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, let&#8217;s see what month in the past Seattle&#8217;s current prices most compare to.  As of August 2014, Seattle prices are still roughly right around where they were in March 2006.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; width: 600px; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/Case-ShillerHPI_Seattle-Reverting_2014-08.png\" title=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index\" rel=\"lightbox[29715]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/Case-ShillerHPI_Seattle-Reverting_2014-08-600x436.png\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index - Click to enlarge\" alt=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Price Index\" width=\"600\" height=\"436\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back later this week for a post on the Case-Shiller data for Seattle&#8217;s price tiers.<\/p>\n<p>(<em>Home Price Indices, <a title=\"S&amp;P\/Case-Shiller\u00ae Home Price Indices\" href=\"http:\/\/us.spindices.com\/index-family\/real-estate\/sp-case-shiller\">Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s<\/a>, 10.28.2014<\/em>)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to August data, Seattle-area home prices were: 0.0% Change July to August Up 6.6% YOY. Down 11.1% from the July 2007 peak Last year at this time prices were still rising. They increased 0.5% from July to August and year-over-year&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29717,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Begin the Autumn Decline Earlier Than Last Year http:\/\/wp.me\/pe2Bv-7Jh","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[136,86,222,200,531],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-29715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-california","tag-case-shiller","tag-graphs","tag-statistics","tag-tableau"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Begin the Autumn Decline Earlier Than Last Year \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/10\/28\/case-shiller-seattle-home-prices-begin-autumn-decline-earlier-last-year\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Case-Shiller: Seattle Home Prices Begin the Autumn Decline Earlier Than Last Year \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Let&#8217;s have a look at the latest data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. According to August data, Seattle-area home prices were: 0.0% Change July to August Up 6.6% YOY. Down 11.1% from the July 2007 peak Last year at this time prices were still rising. 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