{"id":29835,"date":"2014-11-05T14:14:16","date_gmt":"2014-11-05T22:14:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/?p=29835"},"modified":"2014-11-05T14:14:16","modified_gmt":"2014-11-05T22:14:16","slug":"nwmls-prices-sag-sales-stay-strong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/11\/05\/nwmls-prices-sag-sales-stay-strong\/","title":{"rendered":"NWMLS: Prices Sag as Sales Stay Strong"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>October market stats were published by the NWMLS today. They haven&#8217;t published their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.northwestmls.com\/index.cfm?\/News--Information\" title=\"NWMLS Press Release\">press release to its typical location<\/a> yet, so let&#8217;s just dive right into our usual monthly stats.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 590px; margin:0 auto 15px; border: 5px solid #000000; background:#FFFF00; color:#000000; font-variant: small-caps; font-size:130%; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 3px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 150%; background:#000000; color:#FFFF00; margin:-3px -3px -10px; padding:5px;\">CAUTION<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">NWMLS monthly reports include an <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/08\/11\/one-more-look-at-bogus-reports-from-the-nwmls\/\" title=\"One More Look at Bogus Reports from the NWMLS\" style=\"color:#000000; text-decoration:underline;\">undisclosed and varying number<\/a> of<br \/>sales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your King County SFH summary, with the arrows to show whether the year-over-year direction of each indicator is favorable or unfavorable news for buyers and sellers (green = favorable, red = unfavorable):<\/p>\n<style>.CNNTable {margin: 5px auto 15px;} .CNNTable td {padding: 0px 5px; text-align: center; font-size: .9em;} .top_row {font-weight: bold;} .CNNTable img {border:0;margin:0;}<\/style>\n<table class=\"CNNTable\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tr class=\"top_row\">\n<th style=\"font-size: 105%; border-top: 0; border-left: 0;\">October 2014<\/th>\n<th>Number<\/th>\n<th>MOM<\/th>\n<th>YOY<\/th>\n<th>Buyers<\/th>\n<th>Sellers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Active Listings<\/td>\n<td>4,504<\/td>\n<td>-9.2%<\/td>\n<td>-1.6%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Closed Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,238<\/td>\n<td>+5.9%<\/td>\n<td>+2.3%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">SAAS (<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/27\/seasonally-adjusted-active-supply-a-new-measure-of-market-virility\/\" title=\"Seasonally Adjusted Active Supply: A New Measure of Market Virility\">?<\/a>)<\/td>\n<td>1.15<\/td>\n<td>-13.3%<\/td>\n<td>+2.6%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Pending Sales<\/td>\n<td>2,640<\/td>\n<td>+0.9%<\/td>\n<td>+2.4%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Months of Supply<\/td>\n<td>2.01<\/td>\n<td>-14.2%<\/td>\n<td>-3.8%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\">Median Price<a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/10\/declines-in-kings-median-price-softened-by-sales-shifts\/\" title=\"Declines in King's Median Price Softened by Sales Shifts\">*<\/a><\/td>\n<td>$447,250<\/td>\n<td>-2.8%<\/td>\n<td>+5.0%<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/down-red.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/images-global\/up-green.gif\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Feel free to download the updated <a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xlsx)]\">Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet<\/a> (<a title=\"Seattle Bubble Spreadsheet (Excel 2003)\" href=\"[download(Seattle_Bubble.xls)]\">Excel 2003 format<\/a>), but keep in mind the caution above.<\/p>\n<p>Closed sales bumped up in October, which is not as uncommon as you might think. Similar increases were seen between September and October in 2012, 2010, and 2009. Prices dipped back down a bit (once again most likely due to <a href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/tag\/king-geographic-sales\/\" title=\"geographic mix posts\">more shifts in the geographic mix<\/a>). Meanwhile listings continued to decrease as they do at this time every year.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s your closed sales yearly comparison chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/KingCoSFHClosed2014-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29835]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Closed Sales - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/KingCoSFHClosed2014-10.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Closed Sales\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Closed sales bumped up in the month, which is somewhat odd for this time of year, but not unprecedented. Between 2000 and 2013, sales fell an average of 6.7% between September and October, versus a gain of 5.9% this year. Sales increased in October in three other recent years: +10.2% in 2012, +13.0% in 2010, and +8.7% in 2009.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the graph of inventory with each year overlaid on the same chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Inventory\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29835]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Inventory - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/KingCoSFHInventory2014-10.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Inventory\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Inventory continued its annual slide with a another monthly dip.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the supply\/demand YOY graph.  &#8220;Demand&#8221; in this chart is represented by closed sales, which have had a consistent definition throughout the decade (unlike pending sales from NWMLS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2014-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29835]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/KingCoSupplyVsDemandPct2014-10.png\" alt=\"King County Supply vs Demand % Change YOY\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The size of the change on this chart was small, but it did totally flip directions back to a seller&#8217;s market, with increasing sales and decreasing listings.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the median home price YOY change graph:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/KingCoSFHPrices2014-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29835]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/KingCoSFHPrices2014-10.png\" alt=\"King County SFH YOY Price Change\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The year-over-year growth in median price fell back down last month to its second-lowest point in 29 months.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, here is the chart comparing King County SFH prices each month for every year back to 1994 (not adjusted for inflation).<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto; font-size: 0.8em; text-align: center;\"><a title=\"King County SFH Prices\" href=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2014-10.png\" rel=\"lightbox[29835]\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 0;\" title=\"King County SFH Prices - Click to enlarge\" src=\"http:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/KingCoSFHPricesYearly2014-10.png\" alt=\"King County SFH Prices\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Although prices fell from September, last month set a new record for the highest median price ever for an October, beating out the previous high of $443,950 set in 2007.<\/p>\n<p>October 2014: $447,250<br \/>\nOctober 2007: $443,950<\/p>\n<p>Here are the articles from the Seattle Times and P-I:<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Times: <a href=\"http:\/\/seattletimes.com\/html\/businesstechnology\/2024961231_octhomesalesxml.html\" title=\"Region\u2019s October home prices dip slightly, but still up for year\">Region\u2019s October home prices dip slightly, but still up for year<\/a><br \/>\nSeattle P-I: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattlepi.com\/realestate\/article\/Area-house-prices-sales-up-inventory-down-5873543.php\" title=\"Area house prices, sales up; inventory down\">Area house prices, sales up; inventory down<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Check back tomorrow for the full reporting roundup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>October market stats were published by the NWMLS today. They haven&#8217;t published their press release to its typical location yet, so let&#8217;s just dive right into our usual monthly stats. CAUTION NWMLS monthly reports include an undisclosed and varying number ofsales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics. Here&#8217;s your King County&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29840,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"On the blog: NWMLS: Prices Sag as Sales Stay Strong http:\/\/wp.me\/pe2Bv-7Ld","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,616],"tags":[6,521,200],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-29835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stats","category-counties","tag-nwmls","tag-saas","tag-statistics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NWMLS: Prices Sag as Sales Stay Strong \u2022 Seattle Bubble<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/seattlebubble.com\/blog\/2014\/11\/05\/nwmls-prices-sag-sales-stay-strong\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"NWMLS: Prices Sag as Sales Stay Strong \u2022 Seattle Bubble\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"October market stats were published by the NWMLS today. They haven&#8217;t published their press release to its typical location yet, so let&#8217;s just dive right into our usual monthly stats. CAUTION NWMLS monthly reports include an undisclosed and varying number ofsales from previous months in their pending and closed sales statistics. 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